The Twenty Minute VCAnton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT
EVERY SPOKEN WORD
90 min read · 18,223 words- 0:00 – 0:48
Intro
- AOAnton Osika
We have month one retention that's better than ChatGPT's month one retention. (upbeat music)
- HSHarry Stebbings
Anton Osajca, he is the co-founder of Lovable.dev. Fastest-growing company in Europe, what a title.
- AOAnton Osika
Growth starts ramping up after we launch. Growing one million ARR per week at some point, and that just keeps accelerating. The most important thing is talent and culture, and there's more raw available talent in Europe.
- HSHarry Stebbings
When a competitor has a lot of money, do you have to raise too? Ready to go? Anton, fastest-growing company in Europe, what a title. But first, thank you so much for joining me today, man.
- AOAnton Osika
Thank you, Harry. It's, it's always fun to talk to you.
- 0:48 – 2:04
How a Side Project Turned into a $200M Company
- HSHarry Stebbings
Uh, that is very, very kind of you, it's the British accent. But I want to start actually-
- AOAnton Osika
(laughs)
- HSHarry Stebbings
... pre-Lovable, and I spoke to a couple of your investors in your first company, Depict.
- AOAnton Osika
Mm-hmm.
- HSHarry Stebbings
And so I just want to start there. What are your biggest takeaways from Depict that shaped how you think about Lovable?
- AOAnton Osika
We, um, scaled super, super fast at Depict as well. And, uh, and, uh, we did, like moving sup- just very fast, scrappy, we did that, we d- nailed that really well. I think we did really well on this high-potential talent as well, quite junior but high-potential talent. You, you can see that from all the, uh, companies coming out from Depict. The, the, the Depict mafia is, is absolutely real. Um, but what w- I think we did, what works in the beginning is to say yes onto a lot of opportunities, and try out what works. Once you become more people and you have to follow up and maintain, uh, everything that you start, you, you have to be much more focused. So we said yes to too many things at, at Depict, and, uh, we didn't like take this one thing and that we could do ten times better than anyone else. Uh, and then at, as e- the economics, uh, macro-wise turned, uh, worse, we, we didn't continue the scaling, uh, uh, trajectory that we were on initially.
- 2:04 – 5:24
Why Talent is 10x More Valuable Than Experience
- AOAnton Osika
- HSHarry Stebbings
I was just reading an article actually with Paul Buchheit, the founder of Gmail, and he said, "You need three great features in a product, (laughs) and it's really that simple, and make them really, really great." Do you agree with that product simplicity towards feature depth?
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah, I, I think, yeah, just on a produc- product level, you should say no to as many things as possible, and then make it more of like an Apple feeling, the things you do, you do them superb.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Okay, and so we have, hey, don't say, uh, yes to everything. Is there anything else which you did or didn't do that really shaped how you think about the early days of Lovable?
- AOAnton Osika
Mm, no, I think moving fast, um, and I, I would say t- talent's the, the most important thing, and, and culture, how you work together, every day, like how, how people interact and collaborate quickly. Uh, those are the two most important thing for, for almost any company.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Okay, let's just unpack talent, because it's been a cool ... I spoke to Frederik at, uh, Creandum before this, and he said we had to chat about this too. You favor talent over experience, which sounds kind of obvious, (laughs) respectfully. You're gonna go for like an it- like an experienced, untalented person? (laughs)
- AOAnton Osika
(laughs)
- HSHarry Stebbings
But, how, how do you think about your hiring lessons around experience versus talent?
- AOAnton Osika
Um, so I think experience can be a negative thing, (laughs) in some cases. You often want people who are super ambitious and they have a lot to prove, and they are more open-minded towards how, how you should work together in a team. Uh, so, um, I mean, for many roles, I, I think, uh, junior talent is, it's first of all, it's super easy to, to get them into the company. They don't, they're not, uh, already committed to some like many of their n- projects. The best people that you can hire at the young age, they would go on and become founders, and then you can't hire them an- anymore, right? So, so that's why junior, uh, people are often quite good.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Will you hire them if they haven't done what you're hiring them to do before? The benefit's often-
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... of hiring someone experienced is, "Well, I can see they've been at X company for four years, they can do that at my company." Will you hire someone who hasn't done what you're asking them to do before?
- AOAnton Osika
In most cases, yes. Uh, but like, I mean, if, if it's engineering, you have to (laughs) know software engineering, of course. Um, and you, for some roles, you definitely want, uh, in that domain someone with a lot of experience, like w- who can coach and who can, uh, tell the more junior people what great looks like.
- HSHarry Stebbings
These are gonna sound like strange questions, but you mentioned the word ambition there. Did you always know that you would be successful when you were younger building? Did you always think, "I will be successful in something that I do?"
- AOAnton Osika
I, no, I don't think so. I, uh, I, I alwa- I was always frustrated with how people around me didn't understand things as quickly as me, it felt like, and then, uh, after (laughs) at some point, I felt like, well, sometimes, it's me, um, being too naive. I went like that. That's something I learned over time. But, uh, ma- many of the, like, truths about what's going to happen in the future have, I have a very good track, track record on, and I think that's why this, one of the superpowers that have made me s- have made me successful. So like, I, I felt I had that superpower, I didn't know it would translate into building something successfully.
- HSHarry Stebbings
How
- 5:24 – 9:32
How to Use a Waitlist Pre-Launch to 10x Growth
- HSHarry Stebbings
did you first make money? What was your first entrepreneurial thing, Anton?
- AOAnton Osika
Mm. Ooh, I think ... So I always, uh, nerded out with, you know, computers and setting up our, um, like LAN parties when I was a kid and so on. And so, (laughs) I, uh, noticed that m- all neighbors and like friends or families, they had the compu- uh, computers and they had some issue, and then they called th- they wanted my help, and many of them wanted to pay me afterwards. So that became a bit of a side hustle when I was, I was a young teenager.
- HSHarry Stebbings
(laughs) Did you do gaming when you were younger?
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
You're like the... I- I'm so sorry to be rude, but you're like the easiest, like, archetype because you fit, like, all the characteristics (laughs) of, like, successful founders that I have on this show. It's like, number one, made money early. Number two, excel in gaming, uh, both very, very clear, um, archetypes. I wanna move to Lovable. So, GPT Engineer starts as a side project. Where does the idea come from? We've left Depict. G- uh, GPT Engineer starts as a side project. Where does the idea come from?
- AOAnton Osika
Um, this was the spring after ChatGPT came out and I'd been playing with the- with the precursors of that as well. And I- I- I- from already, like, a year before then I felt there's an a-... there's a massive wave coming from scaling up these models with more data. And Depict is not set up for such... (laughs) or are currently not set up for leveraging that. After... Like, I was actually traveling with my now wife, uh, a- as our engagement trip. And when you're traveling, I get extra creative and I... There... Um, I don't think there was anyone who was talking about, like, AI agents at the time, but I, uh, during those, like, sitting on an airplane, I was... I started writing a lot of, like, "Okay, shit, you can... You should hook them up and make..." Uh, you basically put the large language model in a for loop, and then you can have it do a lot of agentic things. And then, uh, when I'm back i- in Sweden, I'm- I'm like, "Okay, where do I apply this?" Obviously on software engineering. And I'd been talking to people about this and I felt no one was really s- sufficiently imaginative to what I was thinking about, and I had to, like, prove a point in that this is g- already now. With the current, uh, first versions of ChatGPT or APIs, you can build an agent that writes code. And then I put together that there were two... I drank a lot of coffee and then I just crammed away. And, um, I got the fir- first version that, I mean, pre- really impressed people. You write a... create a snake game and then you get a running snake game on your computer. Uh, yeah. So that- that was the- the first version of what- what we're building now.
- HSHarry Stebbings
How long did it take you to build v1 with that caffeinated session?
- AOAnton Osika
I think it was, um, like one main weekend and then a bit of polish over with a few hours here and there and t- two weekends after that.
- HSHarry Stebbings
What are the biggest lessons or advice from building many different v1s for many founders that are listening?
- AOAnton Osika
It depends what you're building for. Um, for most f- like, uh, first-time founders, I would really focus on the user and the user problem and say, like, "How can I get one person to love what I'm building in- in this new one?" Uh, that- that's my (laughs) general advice. I didn't do that. I just put out the video on Twitter and it got dozens of academic references and millions of, uh, people using it.
- HSHarry Stebbings
So, ca- take me to that. So we have this weekend. We release the product. What happens then, dude?
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah, so the- the... I wasn't clear to me that I would build a business on this at all. Thought it was fun that there was like... And this was an open source project, so I- I started nourishing, like, a community that went on to work on this open source, uh, project. While I wa- I talked... went to my co-founder and said like, "Okay, so this thing is absolutely huge. Um, I've been thinking of doing something else, to be honest." And here's, like, pre-... Like, this is a bit of a wake-up call for me that it's- it might be time to find a good replacement for me as a CTO at- at Depict. That's what happened next. And then- and then a few months passed.
- 9:32 – 15:35
How to Master a Public Launch: $0 - $1M ARR in a Week
- AOAnton Osika
- HSHarry Stebbings
And so a few months passed, the community continues to grow. What happens then?
- AOAnton Osika
No, but I- I- I figured out a good replacement for me. I decide I need... I want a great co-founder that I can... I was like my- my partner in crime here. And- and there was a guy who is the most super efficient, zero fluff and bullshit, eng- engineer and entrepreneur. So he had sold a company previously that I wanted to work with and I- I- I (laughs) biked to his apartment and said, "Hey, let's take a walk and, uh, plan the future." So he got... I got him o- him on board and then we- we started building and- and created the first version of what became Lov- Lovable.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Okay, so we're building the first version of Lovable. You've got-
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... your co-founder. Talk to me about that time. When did we release and how did the official release go with Lovable as a product and company?
- AOAnton Osika
So the- the launch of, uh, Lovable, like the product, it was one year after we started building. And, um, in the meantime, we launched, like, waitlisted preview versions, uh, called GPT Engineer app. That was... I mean, tha- that's the getting user feedback cycle. And, um, building- building up, I guess, some- some excitement about what we were wor- working on and employer branding as well. And the- the first versions, I- I think they were very good as... Or they were good, they were not very good, and (laughs) we had some people really liking it. But the, like, the- the ha- aha moments were- didn't click for sufficiently man- many people. Like, "Okay, this is how I get real value from this." When we've... When we went on to iterate over the coming year, we packaged together all of these things so that you can ask today, Lovable, "I want to build a- basically a SaaS business." And then, uh, people have built their entire SaaS companies and get... made- made money o- o- by just prompting, uh, our AI. And-
- HSHarry Stebbings
I just wanna... I just wanna break down a couple of different things that you said there. You mentioned the waitlist. Do you have any big lessons or advice on how to do a waitlist strategy well?
- AOAnton Osika
I think that waitlists are useful in that you can control exactly how many people you want to get on board and take user interview- interviews well with. So I think that's the... Like, just get sufficiently many people on the waitlist, find a good way to qualify who you want to talk to. Like, you ha- you probably have a different hypothesis on who should get... who you should talk to, who you're going to sell into, who you... who has the most value from your product and then, uh, qualify only those and talk to them.
- HSHarry Stebbings
When you do the user interviews and user feedback sessions, what are your big lessons or piece of advice on how to do them well? What questions are good? What questions are bad? Any lessons?
- AOAnton Osika
Uh, so there- there... I think for us, there are two different type of user interviews. We- we have this- this type where we just see them use the product and see like, where do they... do- do they understand the product? And so that's more of a u- user experience interview. Um, and the other one is...... uh, to understand. Like, if they have just tried the product a bit, we ask them, "Hey- okay, so you tried the product a bit. What's the- why are you even interested in this?" And ask them, like, what problems they're facing in their business, try to identify what's the biggest pain point that you- that they are actually looking to solve. It might be, "Oh, I want to get more customers and I think I can get more customers if I, uh, can show to my customers that I can get the first version out with AI more- quick- more qui- quickly." Uh, so see, see, tho- those- those type of questions.
- HSHarry Stebbings
How does it change the structure of teams? When you look at teams today, you have, obviously, software engineers, you have designers, you have developers, you have front-end, you have back-end. How does it change the structure of teams themselves?
- AOAnton Osika
Harry, if you want to create y- a personal website for you, it's super productive. You can do it. You don't have a team. It's just you. You just create it with AI. Hey, if you want to ship the first version of your SaaS and start making money, it's all you, it's not a team. Like, a team just slows you down. Then maybe you get some inputs from a designer, like, e- "How does this... Well, how do you think it should look?" And- and so on. Uh, but once you have existing software with users and then you want to iterate and change that software, AI might, uh, absolutely bring down, uh, uh, kind of mess up your entire code base. AI might mess up your code base. So then you would want to work with then a software engineer that ha- knows how to bring- have quality and, uh, consistently keep quality in the product.
- HSHarry Stebbings
You mentioned, like, people took a bit of time to find their aha moment. How important is the time to aha moment?
- AOAnton Osika
I think it's very important to... And it's funny because you ask me this question, and I- I think we are very bad at making, uh, the time to aha moment super short. I think we could, like, double our conversion rates if we become better at, uh, like, speed to aha moment. But you- I- I can say it was something we're doing. Le- let me take credit for something. When you come to Lovable, you just see a prompt box.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Mm-hmm.
- AOAnton Osika
It's very inviting. Instead of getting to your landing page, you- you see a prompt box. And then for the ones that- that do enter a prompt box, you get a quite of quick aha- or the first aha moment. The... (clears throat) And the- the- there has been many aha moments in- in Lovable. It's, uh, quite a complex... S- a software engineer is a very complex feature. But, uh, that- that we are doing well and tha- that's what I- I would recommend. Just give the user something interactive with instant reward.
- HSHarry Stebbings
You mentioned now the prompt box itself.
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
I've had many guests on the show say before that almost the biggest sin that ChatGPT did was make chat the default UI for the future of AI.
- AOAnton Osika
Mm-hmm.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Do you think that, bluntly, chat and the prompting that we have today in- in Lovable and many other products is the right default UI for an age of AI?
- AOAnton Osika
I think yes. Prompting can ex- you can do almost anything with prompting and explaining your thoughts in- in written form. It's, um, uh, it's also easy to implement and iterate on. But- but it's going to get more advanced over time with not just prompting.
- 15:35 – 20:42
Why Raise a Large Seed Round
- AOAnton Osika
- HSHarry Stebbings
I love the way you took a deep breath there. It's like, "This is a weighty question." (laughs)
- AOAnton Osika
(laughs) I'm thinking about it a lot. I mean, we're building the interface for creating software and no one knows what that interface is going to look like. But the age of prompt thing, yes, I think it remains.
- HSHarry Stebbings
But f- I'm kind of going chronologically through this story because it's an amazing story. Um, wha- wha- you rejected YC at some point.
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Talk to me. Why did you reject YC?
- AOAnton Osika
We felt that, at, uh, best, YC would be a lot of dilution and some acceleration, but a lot of dilution and some- some acceleration. And at worst, it would be a distraction, uh, to go do SF and go through all of this, like, fun things that happen when you go to YC. Um, and we- we just took some funding instead and, uh, built, uh, Focus on Talent.
- HSHarry Stebbings
The seed round, when does the seed round come? Does that come post-launch or pre-launch?
- AOAnton Osika
Mm, so that comes, uh, before we launch the l- first, uh, the first w- wait list of our product even.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Okay. How did that seed round go? So, before you've launched the wait list of the product-
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... how did that round go? How did it come to be?
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah, so I- I- I have this advice that I've always gone by, which is to work with investors that you like, and I ha- I had some people that I know from before that I just, uh, think are am- amazing people that I want to have by my side in- if things go sour, if things go well. Uh, and I'd spoke to a few. Uh, I- I kept it very- very brief and I got, like, a preemptive offer and I said, "Yeah, let's- let's do it."
- HSHarry Stebbings
I love it. How big was this round?
- AOAnton Osika
So we- we took three million, and then we added on. Um, I got the advice to say like, "Just get a lot of cash because you never know what happens in the markets." So we- we raised a- quite a large pre-seed round, uh, with an up to, uh, almost $8 million.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Would you advise founders to raise quite large pre-seed rounds if they can? If the money is on the table, would you say take it?
- AOAnton Osika
Depends on how you want to operate. Like, if you like talking to investors, which at the time I was like, "No, I just want to be on the technology," then (laughs) then I'm sorry, sure, take- raise a big pre-seed so you can get time to figure things out. Um, if you like talking to investors, which I- I, uh, I think you should, or if you go- you think it's an interesting to just talk to a lot of interesting, you know, people who care about understanding the market, then I would go sm- raise more iteratively, uh, smaller- smaller rounds.
- HSHarry Stebbings
We're seeing a lot of founders today be immensely dilution-sensitive from day one-
- AOAnton Osika
Mm-hmm.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... in a way that they haven't been before. Like, 10% is like the max they're willing to give up on a round.
- AOAnton Osika
Mm-hmm.
- HSHarry Stebbings
How did you think about dilution sensitivity?
- AOAnton Osika
Uh, here again, like I was a very wise person. I was like, "No, dilution doesn't matter so much. It's all about the size of the pie." And I-... I think that was, I was, uh, both affected by that advice, uh, as well as ............................ No. Minimized dilution, this is, this is my life, life's work. So, that's mainly how I think about it now.
- HSHarry Stebbings
So, we now raise this round. We have-
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... the wait list, we're skipping a little bit. Take me to go-live day. When, when does that happen? And how does go-live ha- go?
- AOAnton Osika
We go live with Lovable the 21st of November last year.
- HSHarry Stebbings
21st of November last year? Shit.
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah. Uh-
- HSHarry Stebbings
That was only four months ago.
- 20:42 – 23:41
How Sustainable is Lovable and AI Revenue
- AOAnton Osika
- HSHarry Stebbings
Can I ask you, you mentioned that like a million ARR a week. How much are you growing now a week?
- AOAnton Osika
Uh, two million ARR per week.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Two million a week now?
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
(laughs) You're like... It's so funny for me, dude, 'cause like when you live in a world of venture, you don't, you don't kind of get this, I don't think, and I don't mean that rudely to you.
- AOAnton Osika
Mm-hmm.
- HSHarry Stebbings
But like, your companies go from like one to four in a year. And that's like, fucking A. Four acts in a year, amazing. That would be good. And then you're like growing two million ARR in a week. Does that sink in? Like, do you know how nuts that is?
- AOAnton Osika
No, I guess not. I, I mean, um, I, a lot of things throughout last few weeks have just blunted me and (laughs) I'm just, I'm just fo- focused on all the things that we have to fix and like improve, and that's all I think about.
- HSHarry Stebbings
What do you think are the most common ways or methods that companies' development process slows down? For founders listening, what should they watch out for that often happens?
- AOAnton Osika
What makes product development slower is usually that you have a complex product, that you have a lot of requirements on your product. So, y- y- you said earlier, Harry, that you should have three, three things that are good in your product. I think that's, uh, generally a very wise thing to do.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Simplicity leads to product direction, knowing where you're going and what you're working on.
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
When you look back since the start of Lovable, where from a product perspective did you invest and spend time where, with the benefit of hindsight, you shouldn't have done?
- AOAnton Osika
Hm. I think at Lovable, we s- we thought a lot about the community and like community features inside of the product. And, uh, that, I think that could have made a lot of sense if we had seen slower growth. But now that it's just like growth is not something we... not a concern, you don't need community features to power growth. So that, I think that was pretty much waste, waste of effort.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Do you agree with the sentiment, build it and they will come? The growth has been amazing. From day one, it feels like since GPT Engineer even, people have just kind of come for the product because it's been amazing and different. Do you believe build it and they will come actually does stand true today?
- AOAnton Osika
If you have a very strong vision of how th- where there is untapped potential, if you really know that deep down and you have a track record of showing that, then build it (laughs) and they will come, is going to work. Um, uh, and, and you also have the runway, your personal, like, energy runway and, and so on to truly make it work and, and make them come. But for m- in most cases, yeah, that is too risky. It's too risky to just build it and they will come. And it's, you can build it and make them come or try to make them come at the same time, and that's much lower, lower risk.
- HSHarry Stebbings
You
- 23:41 – 26:15
What are Lovable’s Biggest Threats: Incumbents or Open Source
- HSHarry Stebbings
said there about energy. And it reminded me of a statement that Nick Revolut said to me in a show when he was talking about his investing. And he said the most successful founders that he invests in are between 30 and 35. They don't have the naivety of the incredibly young founders, but they don't have the, bluntly, tiredness in some ways or the, you know, you have more energy when you're younger-
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... of older founders. How do you think about that given your age today?
- AOAnton Osika
No, I think energy is, uh, is super important. And, uh, (laughs) I think, uh, the naivety is, uh, is a benefit o- o- often. But, uh, I mean, I, I made mistake, a lot of mistakes. I was a first time manager as well at, uh, at Depict pretty much.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Okay. What was the biggest mistake you made?
- AOAnton Osika
Thinking that we should change the culture and become a more of a scale up, something slow moving or like more management layers when we became 40 people. That's, that was the biggest mistake I did.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Why did you think that?
- AOAnton Osika
That was, I mean, my co-founder, um, and other s- senior people we spoke to said like, "Oh, now you have to hire executives," and so on. And that, uh, was, um, that was a bad idea, I think, yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Okay. And so did you start hiring executives?
- AOAnton Osika
Pretty much, yeah. Or no, yeah, we did.
- HSHarry Stebbings
A- and then they don't work?
- AOAnton Osika
Uh, one person I hired didn't work out, uh, which slowed me down and then kind of set us back a lot.
- HSHarry Stebbings
And so when you think about that, what would your advice be to other founders? Don't believe the bullshit you can scale way longer without execs?
- AOAnton Osika
Many founders hire more mercenary style, maybe, like, skilled people, but just, like, they are running in their lane. Um, I hire generalists and I tell, like, try to empower them as much as possible. And y- if you have a lot of gener- super, super smart generalists that you're, um, doing a lot of smart, like, new initiatives and so on, adding executives o- on top of them, um, is high risk and, like, reward is questionable. It's at some point, of course, it makes sense.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Does culture break at any point when you're scaling user base so fast, you're scaling revenue so fast?
- AOAnton Osika
I mean, usually I think it does, yes, or it changes. It changes. It, it evolves, um, for... This is something I'm very mindful about and I, why I're so scared of adding too many heads.
- 26:15 – 26:49
Raising Series A: Should You Always Take the Money
- HSHarry Stebbings
What are you worried about?
- AOAnton Osika
The most important thing for everyone at our company, I, I, which I talk about, is, uh, to role model how much you care about the product, the users, the en- the team, how, how well the team works. And role model and make sure other people care as much as you. And feel, that, that comes from a feeling of, uh, of ownership of the culture and the team. If you're a lot of people, that gets diluted typically. So, um, yeah, that, that's, that's what breaks or that's what's harder.
- 26:49 – 27:53
How to Compete in the US from Europe
- AOAnton Osika
- HSHarry Stebbings
Okay. So we have the team scaling, we have user base, we have revenue scaling.
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
We're making actually a lot of money at this point. Why raise with series A?
- AOAnton Osika
I just had some scheduled check-ins with investors. And there was this one guy and, uh, his team that had, like, obsessed about Lovable for the last few months. And they're, they're here in this... Fredrik, he's here in Stockholm at Cleantum. And, uh, he gi- he just gives, gives, uh, amazing impressions on me. And I'm like, "Okay, I could, I can wait because I know, it's very clear to me that this is just the beginning and I can, uh, I can, could raise later." But we can accelerate by adding an investor as a partner in, on, in helping to find more amazing people, in, um, just as a sounding board. Fredrik helped to grow Spotify from, uh, from nothing. Um, and, uh, I, we decided to raise a small round.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Okay.
- 27:53 – 30:40
Is Europe as F****** as the World Thinks
- HSHarry Stebbings
So you decide to raise a small round. I have to ask this.
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
You have many well-funded competitors in the US. I think it was Neil Murray that said you put, like, "We're Devon that actually works," from, like, very early on (laughs) -
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... which I thought was bold. Um, when a competitor has a lot of money, do you have to raise too?
- AOAnton Osika
I don't think so, no. I mean, you can just, we could bootstrap. Uh (laughs) like, you don't... You can bootstrap, uh, most things so you never have to raise.
- HSHarry Stebbings
But they can outspend you on talent, on customers, on marketing, no?
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah, I mean, if you... I, I'm not afraid of any of those, if being outspent on any of those. I think it's, the only thing that matters is execution. So if you can outperform your execution, then I'm scared.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Where could you improve your execution today?
- AOAnton Osika
Mm.
- HSHarry Stebbings
We spoke about speed of shipping, amazing, culture's great, the talent's phenomenal. Where would you say execution-wise you could improve?
- AOAnton Osika
Hmm. I think you can always improve on, like, how the decision loop, on how fast you take care decisions and you communicate those decisions so that everyone is really on the same page. That's, uh, how, how you do it.
- HSHarry Stebbings
How do you make them today? How could it be improved?
- AOAnton Osika
I think it's about doing fewer... I think we could do fewer things as well, uh, at Lovable. Like, there's a lot of, uh, people with great ideas that... Each, each idea in isolation is great, but you can only have so many, should only exe- execute on so many at the same time.
- HSHarry Stebbings
We mentioned the team and the culture, one-
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... and we mentioned Fredrik there. You've been pretty ardent around building in Europe, keeping the team in Europe, being a European company. A lot of people say to me, "By staying in Europe, you are deliberately not doing what is best for your career. If you were in the Valley, you would be more successful." What is your response to them?
- AOAnton Osika
The most important thing is talent and culture. And i- it's more raw. There's more raw available talent in Europe. Uh, the culture isn't on the, like... The US has more culture that fits succeeding as a startup, I, I have to say, by default. So-
- HSHarry Stebbings
What, what specifically do you think it is about that culture?
- AOAnton Osika
So it's about the, the thought of thinking big and being super ambitious and being very committed to making things work. That, that in, in Europe people are more, like, about, uh, living a balanced, uh, life and, uh, we're, we're kind of taught that we should, uh, uh... In, in Sweden we talk about, uh, the law of Jante, which is that you should be better than others.
- 30:40 – 33:17
Building in Europe vs. Silicon Valley
- AOAnton Osika
- HSHarry Stebbings
Okay. Yes, this, so this concerns me. So how do you respond to people who say you would be more successful if you were in the Valley?
- AOAnton Osika
We would be... So, so if you're a founder, I think you...You have more free entropy of, like, talent to use and channel in some- into something successful. But there are, of course, many benefits from being in the Valley. I think it's a bit of playing on the- on hard mode for here in Europe, and I get excited about playing on hard mode and showing that you can create a category-defining company, uh, which is lovable, in our case, from Europe.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Are you positive about Europe moving forwards? We are in a doom loop around Europe, which we both disagree with and hate. Are you positive, and what guides your thinking?
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah, I'm, uh, I'm super positive. I- I think there is, uh, like, a strong underdog mentality, uh, a- among all of us founders h- now, which is usually a winning concept to be a- to feel like the underdog and having ev- wanting to prove oth- others wrong.
- HSHarry Stebbings
I also think there's incredible superpowers in using the arbitrage pricing of incredible engineers in Europe and selling into the US.
- AOAnton Osika
Mm.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Like, you can build huge companies selling into the US from Europe. Doesn't mean you can't sell into the US just 'cause you're a European company.
- AOAnton Osika
True. No, and it's a very global market.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Dude, um, I've got some questions which are a little bit spicier.
- AOAnton Osika
Ooh.
- HSHarry Stebbings
But I have to ask them, okay? So a s- a spicier one is, if one were to criticize Lovable, they would say, "Amazing. God, look at the revenue growth. Look at the user growth." But it is this, like, AI, um, sugar- sugar revenue? In other words, it's not sustainable, and it will churn very quickly. How do you respond to, "Mm, it's not really real sustainable revenue, and it's not sticky"?
- AOAnton Osika
We have month one retention that's better than ChatGPT's month one retention on paying customers. And so it's about 85%. And that, um, that is just going up. Like, the- of course, there is a lot of things to be desired when you're working with an AI system. There- there's a fraction of people, some pe- people that come in, and they're- they just, like, flip out their credit card because they wanna try, they wanna learn, which is a rational thing to do, and then they know that they are going to stop using it almost, or they almost know. So we have a fraction of users who are like those people.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Wow. 85% month one?
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Wow. That's great 'cause you're also too early to have month six.
- 33:17 – 36:33
The Future of Foundation Models: Who Wins
- HSHarry Stebbings
What could you do today to increase retention most significantly?
- AOAnton Osika
The easiest thing we can do is to give more of the important aha moments to ensure that every- m- all of our users get more of the important aha moments on how to use the product, and-
- HSHarry Stebbings
I- I- I don't- I don't really respectfully agree or get you-
- AOAnton Osika
Uh-huh.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... because, like, you give prompts-
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... under the prompt box. So you say, like, "Build me a SaaS app," or, "Build me a dog website," or whatever the prompt is. Dude, all you need do is click it, and you see the code being written, and then you see it being created. Like, the aha moment is pretty obvious, no?
- AOAnton Osika
So there are many aha moments for- or, like, education moments to get the most value, get the full value out of using it, and they- the most important of those are with regards to when the- when you feel like you're getting stuck, and the AI doesn't understand you. And th- there's a- there are many things in how to get around- a- around that that you can pick up as a user. It is h- how you pr- about how you prompt. It's about how to understand what doesn't work and explain or, uh, to explain clearly what- what the- what problems you're seeing, what- what you find could be the problem when, uh, you're building a more complex feature, and it's about that you can actually onboard an engineer to do small changes to the code base. Like, those are things our users should know, and not everyone knows them.
- HSHarry Stebbings
What's your North Star metric today? If you have one-
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... metric on the TV for the whole team to focus on, what is it?
- AOAnton Osika
Um, it's the number of, uh, users that g- go all the way to getting, like, users on what they built, getting- getting something hosted with users o- on what they built. That's what we focus on.
- HSHarry Stebbings
What's the amount today?
- AOAnton Osika
So we have almost 40,000 paying users, and then that's the proxy for that.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Wow.
- AOAnton Osika
That's pretty s- yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
40,000 paying users. Shit, okay. Do you care about the time it takes to go from start to website created or not?
- AOAnton Osika
We care, but- but I- I have to say, Harry, like, this- these things about the onboarding and how much we can improve, um, is not something that I, uh, we have had the focus on. Like, we were just making the core AI parts better, better, better. That's what we focus on. Uh, so-
- HSHarry Stebbings
Okay, wait, so you- you say about making the core AI parts better, better, better.
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah, yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Amazing. People also say, "Ah, wrappers on top of other people's models."
- AOAnton Osika
Mm.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Why are they wrong with that assumption?
- AOAnton Osika
I mean, it's very easy to create a cool demo with just a wrapper. It's super easy to make a cool demo with just a wrapper. The hard part is to get to or get close to 100% you get what you're asking for, and there's a lot of small details, uh, m- in making that work. There's a lot of small details, and there's a chain of, uh, large language model co- API calls and other algorithms that run, and that chain is, like, you cannot continue to optimize that for years without reaching perfection.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Whose models do you sit on top of today?
- AOAnton Osika
We- we use, uh, all of OpenAI's models, uh, Goo- Google Gemini, and the m- m- the main workhorse is, uh, Anthropic's Claude model for writing the code.
- 36:33 – 43:46
Grok vs OpenAI vs Anthropic: Buy and Short
- AOAnton Osika
- HSHarry Stebbings
I was gonna have this in a quick-fire, but I have to ask it now. You've got Anthropic at 60 billion. You've got OpenAI at 300. Oh, you've got Groq at 50.
- AOAnton Osika
Okay.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Which do you buy, and which do you sell?
- AOAnton Osika
Okay, so, um, I think I would- I- I care about the best talent here, and I feel like...... uh, Elon is very good at talent, so I would buy, I would buy Grok. Uh, I think they are also very ruthless in, like, finding business opportunities. We'll, we'll see about that, but I, I feel like they could be g- good at that. Even though Anthropic is my favorite, I love the, the culture and I love the, like, the leadership there. Um, and I would sh- short OpenAI because they're, they're like s- have been very good in this crappy phase, but they ha- they haven't proven that they can, um, have a clear product direction and focus now over the last year.
- HSHarry Stebbings
So I would push... Sorry, I'm, uh, it's a Sunday. We're allowed to be a little bit more casual. I would push back on you and go the two biggest things that matter in this next wave is brand, yeah?
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Recognition on the consumer side. And it's consumer-facing front end products.
- AOAnton Osika
Mm-hmm.
- HSHarry Stebbings
And when you look at brand, everyone's mother knows ChatGPT. They don't even know OpenAI, but they know ChatGPT. And then on the consumer product side, respectfully, they're way ahead of anyone else.
- AOAnton Osika
That's true.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Am I wrong?
- AOAnton Osika
I just, I just think, uh, we're still early in the days of AI. And if you look at the enterprise revenue, like, Anthropic has almost caught up to OpenAI from nothing, her- from them being absolutely dominated. And I don't know what Grok is going to do here, but I expect them to be having a... Like, OpenAI lost all their best talent to, to Anthropic (laughs) . And I think Grok might be able to pull something off here.
- HSHarry Stebbings
I spoke to a very wise friend of mine before this and they said that the biggest concern that I have is that open source or mega corps of the world with massive distribution advantages come in and win the market. How do you think about that and is that a concern?
- AOAnton Osika
The big mega corps, they move very slowly in many domains, so they're never going to... In, in many years, they're not going to have the best product on the market. There are distribution advantages for some of these mega corps and that's like, the marketing and distribution is, is what I'm more concerned about. Um, but overall, it's going to be a, like, a growing market where you can easily, as a s- as a startup, be b- b- best positioned for some parts of the market.
- HSHarry Stebbings
One thing that's gonna be a, a real shift, I imagine, that you have to face-
- AOAnton Osika
Mm-hmm.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... is the shift from PLG and kind of prosumer to enterprise. How do you think about that shift and is that just not a concern given the speed of revenue ramp? How do you think about that?
- AOAnton Osika
Um, yeah, I think if we would do enterprise, I would want to do that really well. So we're holding off with doing enterprise for now. We're holding off. And, uh, our goal... You may ask about the north, um, North Star Metric. What we want to have is w- we want to be the best place for, for builders to create products and get the 100... Get, get a million of the most talented builders on Lovable. And w- if we succeed in that, that's a great segue into many other areas, including enterprise.
- HSHarry Stebbings
When you look at Shopify, what do you learn from them blazing a trail in the way they have done as efficiently as they have done?
- AOAnton Osika
Hmm. I'd, I'd l- I'd love to hear from you, Harry. What, what's the, w- what does, what are you most impressed by, by, with Shopify?
- HSHarry Stebbings
Honestly-
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... I would say it's their narrative around everyone being an entrepreneur. I think Harley is a phenomenal communicator and storyteller-
- AOAnton Osika
Mm-hmm.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... at bringing very real businesses to life and how Shopify has changed their processes, their sales, and really made an impact. And I, I love Tobi, and I think he's obviously a brilliant technologist, but I think without Harley's storytelling narrative, entrepreneurial vibes to life, it would be a different company. So I would learn from that a lot in terms of how to tell your customer stories.
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah. Yeah, t- no, totally. I, I think Shopify, um, has been able to execute on many things and they just created a good package. I, I, they, they've iterated fast. That's my impression. They've iterated fast on serving all the needs for, for building your e-commerce. And I think this velocity is, was the, one of the, the most i- important thing for building the best product.
- HSHarry Stebbings
When we look forward, dude, what would you most like to build in the product, but for whatever reason, you cannot?
- AOAnton Osika
Why? Well, what would that reason be? I think I can build anything into the pro- product.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Really?
- 43:46 – 49:29
Quick-Fire Round
- HSHarry Stebbings
Dude, I could talk to you all day. I wanna move into a quick fire round.
- AOAnton Osika
Okay. Great. Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
So I say a short statement, you give me your thoughts. So f-
- AOAnton Osika
Okay. Okay. Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
What do you believe that most around you disbelieve?
- AOAnton Osika
I think we have models today that are really smart. I think that's, (laughs) where p- people don't agree with me. They're, they're smarter than humans, but they don't have memory in the same extent as, uh, we do. They don't have context.
- HSHarry Stebbings
How fast will we ramp context and memory given scaling today?
- AOAnton Osika
It's d- the ramp... What you need to ramp is to decide what, like, the, the process for storing r- memory I think is what you have to ramp. And it has to store all of these things. Like, my conversation with Harry has to be stored somehow into the AI system. And all of... Like, my childhood almost has to be stored as well. Uh, I don't know. It's gonna take years.
- HSHarry Stebbings
You can buy and hold one public stock for the next 10 years-
- AOAnton Osika
Okay.
- HSHarry Stebbings
... which one would you buy and hold?
- AOAnton Osika
Um, some talent play, maybe that would... And then the, what comes to mind is Tesla. They're also interestingly positioned outside of, uh, software.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Wow. Okay. What's the most important trait in a founder that no one talks about?
- AOAnton Osika
Uh, okay. I think great judgment, people probably talk about. But, but I think, um, I like people who hire, like see potential in people and is like, "Okay, this, this person can become amazing," and, and the judgment in, in picking talent like that.
- HSHarry Stebbings
What's your biggest weakness as CEO today?
- AOAnton Osika
Um, I'm not as good as multitasking as I would like to be. (laughs)
- HSHarry Stebbings
(laughs) If Lovable failed tomorrow, what would be the reason? Like investors write a pre-mortem, which is like a reason why something doesn't work. What is that?
- AOAnton Osika
Um, we lose momentum and excitement, and that's, like, we, that's what fuels us today, right? All the excitement and the momentum.
- HSHarry Stebbings
What have you changed your mind on in the last 12 months?
- AOAnton Osika
Y- you don't need to be attached to one foundation model provider. They're all going to be amazing. You don't need to... There's not gonna be one winner here.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Are we seeing foundation models be completely commoditized?
- AOAnton Osika
Yes.
- HSHarry Stebbings
We won't see specializations like we do today? I know Claude is better for code and engineering.
- AOAnton Osika
Yeah.
- HSHarry Stebbings
Do you think that will really, uh, equalize?
- AOAnton Osika
Yes.
- HSHarry Stebbings
I love the Swedes, fucking one-word answers. (laughs)
- AOAnton Osika
(laughs)
- HSHarry Stebbings
Um, what's your favorite failure?
- AOAnton Osika
Um, I, I think-
Episode duration: 49:39
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