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E13: SPACsgiving Special! Vaccine news, innovation vs regulation, fixing higher ed, challenge trials

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Referenced in the show: NYT Article - Politics, Science and the Remarkable Race for a Coronavirus Vaccine https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/21/us/politics/coronavirus-vaccine.html Show Notes: 0:00 Besties congratulate Friedberg & Chamath for taking Metromile public, Chamath explains a PIPE, Sacks & Jason express their discontent for being left out of the first bestie SPAC 10:59 More positive vaccine news, NYT article on Operation Warp Speed: did the Trump administration nail it? 21:50 How will the COVID experience impact the response to the next pandemic? Morality of challenge trials, hypocrisy of regulatory capture around gambling, drug use, pharma, etc. 35:25 Why innovation has occurred so rapidly on the Internet: Permissionless innovation & lack of regulators, regulation vs. innovation 47:07 Thoughts on ISAs & how they could disrupt overpriced higher education, Dave Chappelle's contract with Comedy Central 59:58 Trump accepts defeat (sort of), Biden's cabinet selections so far 1:06:29 What the besties are thankful for 1:14:50 Peace in the Middle East being achieved by declining reliance on oil, based on resume alone - would Trump have won if not for his antics? 1:21:01 Code 13! #allin #tech #news

Jason CalacanishostDavid FriedberghostChamath Palihapitiyahost
Nov 24, 20201h 21mWatch on YouTube ↗

At a glance

WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT

SPAC success, vaccine breakthroughs, and reimagining regulation, education, risk

  1. The hosts open by celebrating David Friedberg’s Metromile SPAC and use it to discuss usage-based insurance, machine learning, and the SPAC/PIPE financing structure.
  2. They then pivot to COVID-19 vaccine breakthroughs, explaining mRNA technology, Operation Warp Speed, and when herd immunity and normal life might realistically return.
  3. A large portion of the conversation critiques how regulation slows innovation in drugs, challenge trials, tech, and education, contrasting it with permissive risk in gambling, drugs, and everyday life.
  4. They close with a deep dive on higher education, income share agreements, regulatory capture, and a more personal reflection on what the pandemic has taught them about family, mental health, and character.

IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING

5 ideas

Usage-based insurance plus real-world data can build powerful moats.

Metromile charges per mile using telematics data, heavily weighting miles driven (70% of risk) over fine-grained driving behavior; as autonomous features spread, dynamic pricing tied to who/what is driving will further differentiate data-rich insurers.

Operation Warp Speed quietly executed a highly effective, parallelized vaccine strategy.

The U.S. funded multiple vaccine candidates in parallel and scaled manufacturing before results were known, accepting billions in potential waste to save time; this “spray and pray” portfolio approach produced multiple high-efficacy vaccines within a year.

mRNA platforms can radically compress vaccine development timelines.

By sending RNA instructions so your own cells print viral proteins, mRNA vaccines can be designed within days of sequencing a pathogen; in future pandemics, the bottleneck will be human trials and regulation, not the underlying vaccine design.

Challenge trials and multi-path regulatory routes could vastly speed lifesaving drugs.

The group argues that informed adults should be allowed to assume medical risk—much as we permit extreme sports, war service, and hard drug use—and that regulators should enable challenge trials and alternative approval paths, especially in crises.

Regulatory capture often protects incumbents while hurting consumers and innovators.

Examples from clinical trials, drug development, cosmetology licensing, and gambling show how rules can be shaped to entrench existing business models, slowing R&D, raising barriers for the poor, and misaligning risk protection with actual public benefit.

WORDS WORTH SAVING

5 quotes

The most incredible dividend of climate change is peace.

Chamath Palihapitiya

The reason why innovation has happened so fast on the internet is because of one word: permissionless.

David Sacks

In theory, in the future, you could take any virus, read its DNA in an hour, code RNA for it, and produce an immune response.

David Friedberg

It does not make sense that you can drink yourself to death, smoke yourself to death, gamble away your money, or openly do illicit drugs, but you can’t participate in a thoughtful trial backed by scientific research.

Chamath Palihapitiya

We need to celebrate vocational capability, because this mythical bachelor’s degree just means nothing.

David Friedberg

Metromile’s pay-per-mile auto insurance model and SPAC/PIPE transactionCOVID-19 vaccines, Operation Warp Speed, and mRNA technologyEthics and policy around challenge trials and medical regulationRegulatory capture, permissionless innovation, and Section 230-style reformsHigher education, credentialism, and income share agreements (ISAs)Vocational training vs. traditional college and the future of workPolitical fallout of the 2020 election, Trump’s legacy, and Middle East peace

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