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E81: All-In Summit: Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner on markets, downturns & investment cycles

This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami! 0:00 Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner break down the state and historical significance of 2022's market downturn 12:27 How VCs will handle capital commitments from LPs, underwriting startups in the new reality 24:14 Bull run mistakes, why VCs don't underwrite lower valuations, handling distributions 33:52 Gurley's take on WeCrashed & Super Pumped TV series, how sophisticated investors got "gaslit" by the market, influx of capital creating consumer-surplus businesses 47:54 Brad predicts the market for next year, Bill gives post-Benchmark plans Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect #allin #tech #news

Jason CalacanishostDavid FriedberghostChamath PalihapitiyahostBrad GerstnerguestBill GurleyguestHost (All-In Podcast)host
May 23, 202251mWatch on YouTube ↗

Episode Details

EPISODE INFO

Released
May 23, 2022
Duration
51m
Channel
All-In Podcast
Watch on YouTube
▶ Open ↗

EPISODE DESCRIPTION

This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami! 0:00 Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner break down the state and historical significance of 2022's market downturn 12:27 How VCs will handle capital commitments from LPs, underwriting startups in the new reality 24:14 Bull run mistakes, why VCs don't underwrite lower valuations, handling distributions 33:52 Gurley's take on WeCrashed & Super Pumped TV series, how sophisticated investors got "gaslit" by the market, influx of capital creating consumer-surplus businesses 47:54 Brad predicts the market for next year, Bill gives post-Benchmark plans Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect #allin #tech #news

SPEAKERS

  • Jason Calacanis

    host
  • David Friedberg

    host
  • Chamath Palihapitiya

    host
  • Brad Gerstner

    guest
  • Bill Gurley

    guest
  • Narrator

    other
  • Host (All-In Podcast)

    host

EPISODE SUMMARY

In this episode of All-In Podcast, featuring Jason Calacanis and David Sacks, E81: All-In Summit: Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner on markets, downturns & investment cycles explores venture veterans dissect boom, bust, valuations and the next investment vintage Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner unpack the structural cyclicality of venture capital, arguing that risk builds slowly over years and then unwinds abruptly, creating painful but necessary resets. They link the recent tech crash mainly to rising interest rates and the end of ultra-cheap money, emphasizing how this reprices all assets, especially long-duration growth stocks and late-stage venture. Both contend that hyperinflation fears are likely overstated, and that as inflation data rolls over, markets should gravitate back toward long-term valuation trends. They see early‑stage venture and selected public tech stocks becoming attractive again, while warning investors and founders to abandon pandemic-era price anchors, focus on fundamentals, and expect deep dispersion between true winners and everyone else.

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