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The Joe Rogan ExperienceThe Joe Rogan Experience

Joe Rogan Experience #1470 - Elon Musk

Elon Musk is a business magnet, entrepreneur and engineer.

Joe RoganhostElon Muskguest
May 7, 20202h 0mWatch on YouTube ↗

EVERY SPOKEN WORD

  1. 0:001:37

    Elon’s new baby, the May 4th birthday, and decoding the name “X Æ A-12”

    1. JR

      Welcome back.

    2. EM

      Here we go again.

    3. JR

      Great to see you. And congratulations.

    4. EM

      (laughs) Thank you.

    5. JR

      Um, you will never forget what is going on in the world when you think about when your child is born. You will know-

    6. EM

      Yeah.

    7. JR

      ... for the rest of this child's life, you were born during a weird time.

    8. EM

      That's for sure.

    9. JR

      (laughs) That is for sure. The, probably the weirdest that I can remember.

    10. EM

      Uh, yeah. Yeah. Um, and he was born on, uh, May the 4th.

    11. JR

      And, uh, that's hilarious too.

    12. EM

      Yeah. It's great. He's-

    13. JR

      May the 4th be with him.

    14. EM

      Yeah. Yeah. Exactly.

    15. JR

      Has to be.

    16. EM

      I hope... Hopefully. I sure hope so.

    17. JR

      Perfect.

    18. EM

      Yes.

    19. JR

      I mean, that was the perfect day for you.

    20. EM

      I'm... (claps hands) Yeah.

    21. JR

      And then, what, how do you say the name?

    22. EM

      (laughs) Well, uh, (stuttering)

    23. JR

      Is it a placeholder?

    24. EM

      Yeah. First of all, my partner's the one that, uh, actually mostly came up with the name.

    25. JR

      Congratulations to her.

    26. EM

      Yeah. Yeah. She's great at names. Um, so I mean, it's just X, the letter X. Um, and then the AE is, like, pronounced ash. Um...

    27. JR

      (laughs)

    28. EM

      Yeah. And then, uh, A12, A12 is my contribution.

    29. JR

      Oh, why A12?

    30. EM

      Uh, Archangel-12, the precursor to the SR-71. Coolest plane ever.

  2. 1:375:27

    Babies, brains, and how AI neural nets relate to human development

    1. JR

      Yeah. Pretty great. Um, so is it, uh, does it feel strange to have a child while this craziness is going... Does it feel... You've had children before. Is this any weirder?

    2. EM

      Uh, it's... Actually, I think it's better, uh, being older and having a kid. I appreciate it more.

    3. JR

      Mm-hmm.

    4. EM

      Yeah. Um, k-... Babies are awesome.

    5. JR

      They are pretty awesome.

    6. EM

      They are awesome. Yeah. And-

    7. JR

      When I didn't, when I didn't have m- any of my own, I would see other people's kids, and I didn't not like them.

    8. EM

      Sure.

    9. JR

      But I wasn't drawn to them.

    10. EM

      Sure.

    11. JR

      But now, when I see little people's kids, I'm like, "Oh." I think of them in like, these little love packages.

    12. EM

      Yeah, the little love bugs.

    13. JR

      Yeah. It's just you, you think of them differently when you see them come out and then grow and then eventually start talking to you. Like, your whole idea of what a baby is, is very different.

    14. EM

      Yeah.

    15. JR

      So now, as you, you know, get older and get to appreciate it as a mature, fully-formed adult, it must be really pretty wonderful.

    16. EM

      Yeah. P- Wonderful. It's great. But babies are awesome.

    17. JR

      They are.

    18. EM

      Uh, uh, yeah. That's, uh, that's great. Um, yeah. Um, I mean, also, I've, I've, I've spent a lot of time on AI and n- neural nets, and so you can sort of see the, kind of, the br- brain develop, which is... You know, w- an, uh, uh, an AI neural, neural net is trying to simulate what a brain does, basically. Um, and you can sort of see the... It, it learning very quickly. Uh, you know, it's just... Wow.

    19. JR

      See things fi-... So you're talking about the neural net. You're not talking about a, an actual baby.

    20. EM

      I'm talking about actual, an actual baby.

    21. JR

      But both of them.

    22. EM

      Yes. But, uh, the word neural net comes from the br- the brain. It's like a net of neurons. So, you know, it's like the... Yeah. Humans are the, you know, original gangs to the neural net.

    23. JR

      (laughs)

    24. EM

      (laughs)

    25. JR

      That's a great way to put it.

    26. EM

      Yeah.

    27. JR

      So when you're programming artificial intelligence, or you're working with artificial intelligence, are, are they specifically trying to mimic the developmental process of a human brain?

    28. EM

      In a lot of ways. N- there's some ways that are different. Um, you know, an, an analogy that's often used is like, you know, we, we don't make a submarine swim like a fish.

    29. JR

      Mm-hmm.

    30. EM

      Um, but we take the principles of, of how, you- you know, what, what a... Of hydrodynamics and apply them to a submarine.

  3. 5:2711:09

    Selling houses and minimizing possessions: wealth, “attack vectors,” and meaning

    1. JR

      Now, you're in the middle of this, uh, this strange time where you're selling your houses. You say you don't want any material possessions. And I've been seeing all that, and I've been really excited to talk to you about this.

    2. EM

      Yeah.

    3. JR

      'Cause it's an interesting thing to come from a guy like yourself. Like, why are you doing that?

    4. EM

      I'm slightly sad about it, actually. But-

    5. JR

      Well, th- if you're sad about it, why are you doing it?

    6. EM

      I think th- I think possessions kind of weigh you down. They're n- they're kind of an attack vector.... you know? People say, "Hey, billionaire, you got all this stuff?" Like, "Well, uh, now that I don't have stuff, now what's, what are you gonna do?"

    7. JR

      (laughs) Attack vector meaning like people target it?

    8. EM

      Yeah.

    9. JR

      Hmm. Interesting. Yeah. But you're obviously gonna... So you're gonna rent a place?

    10. EM

      Yeah.

    11. JR

      Okay.

    12. EM

      (laughs)

    13. JR

      And get rid of everything-

    14. EM

      (laughs)

    15. JR

      ... except clothes?

    16. EM

      No, I said like almost everything. So it's like-

    17. JR

      Keep a couple Teslas.

    18. EM

      Yeah, sure I'll save a Tesla.

    19. JR

      You have to.

    20. EM

      Kinda have to.

    21. JR

      Yeah.

    22. EM

      Test the product and stuff. Um, yeah, the things that have sentimental value, for sure, keeping those. You know? Um. Yeah.

    23. JR

      So do you feel like there's-

    24. EM

      I mean, what's, what's the worst that could happen to me? I'll be fine.

    25. JR

      Y- yeah. You could always buy more stuff if you don't like it.

    26. EM

      Suppose so.

    27. JR

      Yeah. I mean, from the money that you sell all your stuff, you could buy new stuff. But do you, you feel like people define you by the fact that you're, you're wealthy and that they-

    28. EM

      Yeah. (laughs)

    29. JR

      ... define you in a pejorative way?

    30. EM

      For sure. I mean, not e- not everyone, but-

  4. 11:0915:23

    Gene Wilder’s house, privacy problems, and choosing Mars over a dream home

    1. JR

      Don't you have Gene Wilder's house?

    2. EM

      I do.

    3. JR

      That's amazing.

    4. EM

      It's awesome.

    5. JR

      Wow.

    6. EM

      Yeah, it's r- it's j- exactly what you'd expect.

    7. JR

      Did you request that the buyer not fuck it up?

    8. EM

      Yeah, that's a requirement.

    9. JR

      Oh, oh, a requirement?

    10. EM

      Yeah.

    11. JR

      That's, that's a good requirement.

    12. EM

      Yeah.

    13. JR

      In that hou- in that case, in that house.

    14. EM

      Yeah. It'll probably sell for less, but still I don't care.

    15. JR

      Ah, he's a legend.

    16. EM

      Yeah, he's awesome.

    17. JR

      You'd want his soul.

    18. EM

      Yeah.

    19. JR

      You'd want his essence-

    20. EM

      Yeah.

    21. JR

      ... in the building.

    22. EM

      It's r- and it's there. That's a real quirky-

    23. JR

      Is it?

    24. EM

      ... quirky house. Yeah.

    25. JR

      What, what makes you say it's there? Like, what do you get out of it?

    26. EM

      (sighs) Um, I mean, a- all the, all the cabinets are like hand- handmade, and, and they're like odd shapes and th- there's like doors to nowhere and strange like corridors and tunnels and-

    27. JR

      Really?

    28. EM

      ... odd, odd paintings on the wall and, um, yeah.

    29. JR

      Did you ever live in it?

    30. EM

      It's very quirky. (laughs) I did live in it briefly, yeah.

  5. 15:2317:53

    Neuralink timeline, safety, and the first human implants

    1. EM

      you know, B- The Boring Company does not take, you know, it's like less than 1% of brain cycles. And, um, and then there's Neuralink, which is, I don't know, maybe it's like 5%. And then-

    2. JR

      5%?

    3. EM

      Yeah, yeah.

    4. JR

      That's, that's a good chunk.

    5. EM

      It's a good chunk. Yeah, yeah.

    6. JR

      We were talking about that last time, and you were trying to figure out when it was actually going to go live, when it's actually going to be available. Are you testing on people right now?

    7. EM

      No, we're not testing on people yet, but I, I think it won't be too long. I think we may be able to implant a Neuralink in less than a year in, in a person, I think.

    8. JR

      Phew. And when you do this, is there any test that you have to do before you do something like this to, to see what percentage of people's bodies are going to reject these things? Is it pu- is it... Is there a potential for rejection?

    9. EM

      It's, it's a very low potential for rejection. I mean, you can think of it like people put in, you know, heart monitors and, um, you know, things for ep- epileptic seizures and deep brain stimulation. Um, obviously, like, you know, artificial hips and-

    10. JR

      Right.

    11. EM

      ... knees and that kind of thing.

    12. JR

      Yeah.

    13. EM

      So the, the probability of... I mean, like, so it's well known, like, what will cause rejection, what, what will not. Um, it's definitely harder when you've got something that is, uh, um, re- sort of reading and writing neurons that's generating a current pulse and reading current pulses. That's, that's a little harder, um, um, than, than a, than a, than, say, a passive device. But it's still, you know, very doable and, um, yeah. There, there are people who have primitive devices in, in their brains right now.

    14. JR

      What kind of devices?

    15. EM

      Oh, like deep, deep brain stimulation is... For, I think for Parkinson's is... Like, has really changed people's lives in, in a big way. Um, which is kind of remarkable because we're... It, it, it kind of, like, zaps your brain. Um, it's like kicking the TV type of thing.

    16. JR

      (laughs)

    17. EM

      Um, and you think like, "Man, ki- kicking the TV shouldn't work."

    18. JR

      It does sometimes.

    19. EM

      Yeah, yeah.

    20. JR

      The old, old TVs.

    21. EM

      It did.

    22. JR

      My grandpa used to slap the top.

    23. EM

      For sure. Yeah.

    24. JR

      And it would work sometimes.

    25. EM

      Yeah. So there's deep brain stimulation, uh, implanted devices in the brain that, uh, have changed people's lives for the better, like fundamentally. Um-

  6. 17:5323:05

    How Neuralink works: skull implant, electrode threads, robot surgery, and reversibility

    1. JR

      Well, let's talk about what you can talk about to what Neuralink is because the last time you were here, I really couldn't discuss it. And then there was a, I guess, a press release or something that sort of outlined-

    2. EM

      Oh yeah, sure. Sure.

    3. JR

      Yeah, that, that, that happened quite a bit after last time you were here. So what exactly...... is it? How do you do... What, what happens if someone, uh, ultimately does get a Neuralink installed, what will take place?

    4. EM

      Well, for version one of the device it would be, um, it basically i- implanted in your skull. So, (laughs) uh, but it would be su- uh, flush with your skull. So you basically, uh, take out a chunk of skull, replace, put, put the Neuralink device in there. Um, you, you put the, the electrode... you'd insert the electrode threads very carefully into the, the brain. Um, and, uh, and then you, you know, stitch it up and, um, and you wouldn't even know that somebody has it. Um, and then it... And so then it, it can interface basically anywhere, any- any, anywhere in your brain. Um, so it could be something that, uh, you know, helps cure, say, uh, eyesight. Like give you... returns your eyesight, even if you've, like, lost your optic nerve type of thing. Uh, could-

    5. JR

      Really?

    6. EM

      Yeah, yeah. Absolutely. Hearing, obviously. Um, I mean, pretty much anything that w- where... that, that... It could, in principle, fix almost anything that is wrong with the brain. Um, and it could, it could, um, restore, uh, limb functionality. So if you've got, uh, i- interface into the motor cortex and then an implant that's, say, uh, that's like a micro-controller, uh, in, in, in your muscle groups, uh, you, you could then create a sort of a neural shunt that restores somebody who's a quadriplegic to full functionality. Like, they can walk around, be normal.

    7. JR

      Whoa.

    8. EM

      Yeah.

    9. JR

      So-

    10. EM

      Maybe slightly better.

    11. JR

      Slightly better?

    12. EM

      O- over time, yes.

    13. JR

      You mean with future iterations?

    14. EM

      Like the, you know, Six Billion Dollar Man.

    15. JR

      Right.

    16. EM

      Although in his days that would... That doesn't seem like much.

    17. JR

      That's pretty cheap. (laughs)

    18. EM

      (laughs) Yeah, yeah.

    19. JR

      Six Billion Dollar Man.

    20. EM

      Yeah.

    21. JR

      So the, the hole would be small-... How big would the hole be that you have to drill and then replace with this piece? It's only one hole?

    22. EM

      Well, um, yeah, the device we're working on right now is about, I'd say about an inch in diameter. Um, and... Y- your skull's pretty thick, by the way. So skulls are-

    23. JR

      Mine is, for sure.

    24. EM

      It might actually literally be (laughs) .

    25. JR

      (laughs)

    26. EM

      Um, I mean, if you're a big, if you're a big guy, your skull is actually fairly thick. Um, skulls like... it's like seven to 14 millimeters.

    27. JR

      Mm.

    28. EM

      Um, so-

    29. JR

      That's probably a couple inches.

    30. EM

      A half inch.

  7. 23:0525:44

    Medical and cognitive potential: restoring senses, movement, memory, and stopping seizures

    1. JR

      And what is the... Besides r- restoring limb function and eyesight and hearing, which are all amazing, is there, there any cognitive benefits that you anticipate from something like this?

    2. EM

      Uh, yeah. I mean, you could for sure, um, uh... I mean, basically it's a generalized, um, sort of, uh, thing for, for fixing any kind of brain injury in, in principle. Like if you... Or if you've got, like, like severe epilepsy or something like that. It could, it could just, it could just sort of stop the epi- epilepsy from occurring. Like it could detect it in real time and then fire a counter pulse and stop the epilepsy. Um, if, um... I mean, there's, there's a whole range of brain injuries. Like p- people... Somebody gets a stroke, they could lose the ability to speak, um, that, that'll, that could also be fixed. So if you've got like stroke damage or if you lose, say, muscle control over part of your face or something like that, I think... And then when, when, when you get old, you tend to, um... if you get like-... you know, Alzheimer's or something like that. Then you lose memory, and th- this could help you with r- you know, restoring your memory, that kind of thing.

    3. JR

      Restoring memory. And what, what is happening that's allowing it to do that? Like, the wires, these, these small wires-

    4. EM

      Yeah.

    5. JR

      ... stimulating these areas of the brain, and then is it that the areas of the brain are... Th- they're, they're losing some sort of electrical force? Like, what is, what is happening?

    6. EM

      Yeah.

    7. JR

      Yeah?

    8. EM

      So it's, it's, it's like, it's like... Think of it just like a bunch of circuits, and there's some, like, circuits that are broken, and we can, like, uh, f- fix those circuits, uh, to substitute for those cir- circuits.

    9. JR

      And so a specific frequency will go through this?

    10. EM

      Yeah, just, um-

    11. JR

      Specific... In that, uh, uh... Would... Is the process figuring out how much or how little has to be?

    12. EM

      Mm-hmm.

    13. JR

      How, how much bl- these areas of the brain have to be juiced up?

    14. EM

      Yeah. I mean, there's still a lot of work to do. So when I say, you know, we got a shot at probably putting it in, in, in a person in, you know, a y- uh, within a, a year, I think... That, that's what, that's what... That's exactly what I mean. I think we, we have a chance of putting it in, in someone and having them, having them s- be healthy and, and restoring some functionality that they've, they've lost.

    15. JR

      The fear is that eventually you're gonna have to cut the whole top of someone's head off and put a new top-

    16. EM

      Sure.

    17. JR

      ... with a whole bunch of wires if you wanna get, you know, the real turbocharged version, the P100D-

    18. EM

      (laughs)

    19. JR

      ... of, of brain stimulation.

  8. 25:4428:49

    AI symbiosis and high-bandwidth communication: “you wouldn’t need to talk”

    1. EM

      It... I mean, ultimately, if you, if you wanna go with full AI symbiosis, you'll probably wanna do something like that.

    2. JR

      Symbiosis is a scary word when it comes to AI.

    3. EM

      It's optional.

    4. JR

      (laughs)

    5. NA

      (laughs)

    6. JR

      I would hope so.

    7. EM

      Yeah.

    8. JR

      It's just... I mean, once you enjoy the Dr. Manhattan lifestyle, once you, once you become a god, seems v- very, very unlikely you're gonna wanna go back to being stupid again. I mean, you, you, you literally could fundamentally change the way-

    9. EM

      Yeah.

    10. JR

      ... human beings interface with each other.

    11. EM

      Yes.

    12. JR

      Yes?

    13. EM

      You wouldn't need to talk.

    14. JR

      (laughs)

    15. NA

      (laughs) (banging sound)

    16. JR

      I'm so scared of that but so excited about it at the same time. Is that weird?

    17. EM

      Y- yeah. I mean, the, the... I think this is one of the paths to, um... (sighs) y- you know, like, think like wha- what are... Wh- what... Like, AI is getting better and better, um, so now let's just, you know, sort of like a, a benign AI scenario. Uh, ev- even in a benign scenario, we're kind of left behind, you know. We're, we're, we're not, we're not along for the ride, um, or just too dumb.

    18. JR

      Right. (laughs)

    19. EM

      So... So, so how do you go along for the ride? Um, yeah, it's like if you can't beat them, join them, so.

    20. JR

      (laughs)

    21. EM

      Um...

    22. JR

      Mm-hmm.

    23. EM

      And we're, we're already, we're already a cyborg to some degree, right, because you've got your phone, you got your laptop, your-

    24. JR

      Glasses.

    25. EM

      Yeah, yeah, got your-

    26. JR

      Yeah.

    27. EM

      ... you know, electronic devices.

    28. JR

      Sure, yeah.

    29. EM

      Um, and, um, I mean, we're... Today, if you've... Your, your phone... If you'll... If you don't bring your phone along, it's like you have missing limb syndrome. It's like, you know, feels like something's r- really, really missing. So y- we're already partly, um, part... you know, partly a cyborg, um, or an AI symbiote essentially, um, it's just that the data rate to the electronics is slow, so... E- especially output. Like, you're just going with your thumbs, I don't know, like, what, what's your data rate? May- optimistically, 100 bits per second. That's being generous. Um, and, and now the computer can, can communicate at, like, you know, hundred... a hundred terabits. Y- you know, how... You know. So, so certainly, you know, gi- gigabits are trivial at this point. So this, this is like m-... You know, basically you can... Your computer could do a, a mill... do things a million times faster or, or, uh, th- you're, you're... At a certain point, it's like talk... the AI is like talking to a tree, okay? It's just boring. (laughs) You talk to a tree, it's very ex- ... it's not very entertaining. Um, so, um, so if you can... if you can solve the, the data rate issue and your... especially output but input, too, then you can improve the symbiosis that is already occurring between man and machine.

  9. 28:4934:31

    Mind reading, The Matrix-style language downloads, and timelines for nonverbal exchange

    1. JR

      So you, you can improve it in what... When you said, "You won't have to talk to each other anymore," we used to joke around about that. I, I've joked around about that a million times in this podcast-

    2. EM

      Yeah.

    3. JR

      ... that one day in the future, there's gonna come a time where you can read each other's minds.

    4. EM

      Yeah. Well-

    5. JR

      You'll, you'll be able to interface with each other in some sort of a non-verbal-

    6. EM

      Mm-hmm.

    7. JR

      ... non- physical way where you will transfer data back and forth to each other without having to actually use your mouth.

    8. EM

      Yeah, exa-

    9. JR

      And make noises.

    10. EM

      E- exactly. So when you... Like, what happens when you... when... Like, the... Let's say you've got some complex idea that you're trying to convey to somebody else, uh, how, how do you do that? Well, your, your brain spends a lot of effort compressing, uh, a complex concept into words. And there's a, there's a lot of, a lot of loss, uh, information loss that occurs when compressing a complex concept into words. And then you say those words, those words are then interpreted, then they're decompressed by the person who is listening, um, and they, they will at best get, uh, a very incomplete understanding of what you're trying con- to convey. It's very difficult to convey a complex concept with precision, um, because you've got compression, decompression. You may have... not even have heard all the words correctly, and so communication is difficult. You know, what we have here is a failure to communicate.

    11. JR

      (laughs)

    12. EM

      It's a cool hand, Luke.

    13. JR

      Yes, and there's... (laughs) Great movie.

    14. EM

      Yeah, great movie.

    15. JR

      And there, there's an interpretation factor, too. Like, you can choose to interpret...... certain s- series of words in, in different ways and they're dependent upon tone, dependent upon-

    16. EM

      Yes.

    17. JR

      ... social cues, even facial expressions, sarcasm. There's a, there's a lot of variables.

    18. EM

      Sarcasm is difficult.

    19. JR

      Yes.

    20. EM

      Yeah.

    21. JR

      And so-

    22. EM

      (laughs)

    23. JR

      ... one o- one of the things that I, I've said is, like, that there could be potentially a universal language that's created through computers that, uh, particularly young kids would pick up very quickly. Like, my kids do TikTok and all this jazz and I, I don't know what they're doing. They just know how to do it.

    24. EM

      Yeah.

    25. JR

      And they know how to do it really quickly. Like, they learn really quickly and they show me how to edit things and-

    26. EM

      Yeah.

    27. JR

      ... it's, if you taught a child from first grade on how to use some new universal language, I mean, essentially like a, a Rosetta Stone and something that's done w- that interprets your thoughts and you can convey your thoughts with no room for interpretation-

    28. EM

      Mm-hmm.

    29. JR

      ... with clear, very clear, th- where you know what a person's saying and you can tell them what you're saying and there's no need for noises, no need for mouth noises, no need for-

    30. EM

      (laughs) Yes.

  10. 34:3157:13

    Saving brain state, replaying memory, simulation unease, and the “brain in a skull vat”

    1. EM

      You, you could also save state and-

    2. JR

      Save state?

    3. EM

      Save state, like s- save your brain state, like, like a save game in a video game.

    4. JR

      Whoa. (laughs) Like, like if you wanna swap from Windows 95-

    5. EM

      Well-

    6. JR

      ... to, like, you (laughs) -

    7. EM

      ... probably a little better than, than that, but yeah.

    8. JR

      (laughs) I think we are Windows 95 right now.

    9. EM

      Yeah.

    10. JR

      W- from a meat.

    11. EM

      From a future perspective, probably.

    12. JR

      Yeah.

    13. EM

      Um, but yeah, I mean, you, you could, uh, save state, um, and restore to that state into a biological being if you, if you wanted to in the future in principle. There's, like, nothing, like, from a physics standpoint that prevents us. Now, you'd, you'd be a little different, but then you're also a little different when you wake up in the morning from yesterday, and you're a little different. In fact, if you say, like, you five years ago versus you today is quite a big difference.

    14. JR

      Yes.

    15. EM

      Um, so you'd be substantially you. I mean, you'd be, you'd, you'd certainly think you're you.

    16. JR

      But the idea of saving yourself and then transforming that into some sort of a biological state, like, you could hang out with 30-year-old you?

    17. EM

      I mean, the possibilities are endless. Um...

    18. JR

      (laughs) That's so weird.

    19. EM

      I mean, just think, think of, like, how your phone can, you can record videos on your phone.

    20. JR

      Mm-hmm.

    21. EM

      Like, there's no, no way you could remember a video-

    22. JR

      Right.

    23. EM

      ... as accurately as your phone or a camera, you know, could. So, uh, now if, if you've got, like, a, you know, some, some, you know, version 10 Neuralink or whatever far in the future, you, you could r- you could remem- you could r- could recall everything just like it's a movie.

    24. JR

      Crystal clear.

    25. EM

      A- i- j- including all, the entire sensory experience.

    26. JR

      Emotions, everything.

    27. EM

      Everything.

    28. JR

      Everything.

    29. EM

      Everything. And play it back. And, and, and you can actually edit it.

    30. JR

      Do you think you could share? Edit it?

  11. 57:131:06:59

    COVID-19 reality check: mortality risk by age, hospitals’ capacity, and pandemic preparedness

    1. JR

      Whoa. Now, when you say civilization is fragile, do you mean because of this COVID-19 shit that's going on right now?

    2. EM

      Wha- What's that? I never heard of it.

    3. JR

      There's this thing.

    4. EM

      Yeah, I know.

    5. JR

      It's like, uh, some people just get a cough.

    6. EM

      I have no idea what you're talking about.

    7. JR

      Other people, it gets much worse.

    8. EM

      Uh, sure.

    9. JR

      Yeah.

    10. EM

      Well, yeah. I mean, this certainly has taken over the mind space of the world to a degree that is quite shocking.

    11. JR

      Yeah. Wow, out of nowhere. That's what's crazy. It's like, you go back to November, nothing. Now here we are December, January, February, March, April, May, six months, totally different world. So from nothing to everything's locked down. There's so much, uh, conflicting information and conflicting opinions about how to proceed.

    12. EM

      Mm-hmm.

    13. JR

      What, what has happened, you, you find things where... There was, uh, a meatpacking plant, I believe, in Missouri, where 300 plus people were asymptomatic, tested positive and were asymptomatic, and then in other places, it just ravages entire communities and kills people, and it's, it's so weird. It d-... It almost appears on the ou-... Like, if you didn't know any better, you'd be like, "What? It seems like there's a bunch of different viruses." Doesn't seem like it's the same thing, or has a bunch of different reactions to the biological variety of, of people.

    14. EM

      Yeah. Um, I mean, I, I kinda saw this whole thing play out in China, uh, before it, it played out in the US, so, um, it's kinda like watching the same movie again, um, but in English. Uh-

    15. JR

      (laughs)

    16. EM

      Um, so, yeah. Um, I remi-... I think the, the, the, the mortality rate is, is much less than what is... Than what, say, the World Health Organization said it was. It's ver-... Much, much less. It's like, probably at least an order of magnitude less.

    17. JR

      Well, it-

    18. EM

      I don't know.

    19. JR

      It seems to be very deadly to very specific kinds of people, and people with specific problems.

    20. EM

      Mm-hmm. Yeah, I mean, if yo- if you're... You, you can look at the mortality statistics, you know, by age and whether they have comorbid- comorbidities, like, do they have, like, basically existing conditions, and, um, by age, um, and, uh... Y-... You know, if, if you're below 60 and, and have no serious health issues, the probability of death is extremely low. It's not zero, but it's extremely low.

    21. JR

      They didn't think that this was the case, though, when they first started to lock down the country. Do you think that it's a, a situation where once they've proceeded in a certain way, it's very difficult to correct course?

    22. EM

      That's almost like people really wanted a panic. They, you know... So it's quite, quite crazy. Um...

    23. JR

      But in some places a panic is deserved, right? Like, if you're-

    24. EM

      Yes.

    25. JR

      ... in the ICU in Manhattan and people are dying left and right, and everyone's on intubators and it's... I- i- i- it seems like...... when you see all these people on ventilators and so many of them are dying, and you see these nurses are dying and doctors are getting sick, in some places that fear is justified. But then in other places, you're, you're reading these stories about hospitals that are, uh, essentially half empty. They're, they're having to furlough doctors-

    26. EM

      Mm-hmm.

    27. JR

      ... and nurses because there's no work for them.

    28. EM

      Most of the hospitals in the United States right now are half empty. Or in some cases, they're at 30% capacity.

    29. JR

      And is this because they've decided to forego elective procedures and, and, and normal things that people would have to go to the hospital for?

    30. EM

      Yes. I mean, and we're, and we're not talking about just... some of these elective procedures are quite important.

  12. 1:06:591:26:58

    Lockdowns vs civil liberties: choice, constitutional concerns, and politicization

    1. JR

      Yeah. When you made a series of tweets recently, uh, you know, uh, I don't remember the exact wording, but essentially you were saying, "Free America now." Like let's-

    2. EM

      I don't think that's the wording.

    3. JR

      ... open it back. That is it?

    4. EM

      (laughs)

    5. JR

      Thank you. (laughs) But, uh, the, the, you know, what was the re- how much do you pay attention to res- the response to that stuff and what was the response? Like did, did anybody go, "Hey, Elon, what the fuck you doing?" Did anybody pull you aside?

    6. EM

      Yeah, of course.

    7. JR

      (laughs) Who does that? Who gets to do that to you?

    8. EM

      Well, I mean, I certainly get that. There's no shortage of negative feedback on Twitter. You know?

    9. JR

      Oh yeah, Twitter.

    10. EM

      (laughs)

    11. JR

      Yeah. But I don't read that.

    12. EM

      It's a-

    13. JR

      Do you read it?

    14. EM

      ... war zone.

    15. JR

      You do sometimes though, right? You do read it.

    16. EM

      That, yeah, I mean, I scroll through the comments. Like I said, yeah, it's a mean war zone.

    17. JR

      Yeah.

    18. EM

      I mean, people knife you good on Twitter.

    19. JR

      (laughs) Something I- I enjoy about the ... Just the, there's a something about the, the freedom of expression that comes from all these people that do attack you. It's like, well, they, if there was no vulnerability whatsoever, they wouldn't attack you. And there, i- it's like there's something about these millions and millions of perspectives that you, you have to, you have to appreciate even if it comes your way, even if the shit storm hits you in the face.

    20. EM

      Sure.

    21. JR

      You gotta appreciate, wow, how amazing is it that all these people do have the ability to express themselves? I mean, you don't, don't necessarily wanna be there when the shit hits you.

    22. EM

      Sure.

    23. JR

      You might wanna get outta the way in anticipation of the shit storm, but the fact that so many people have the ability to reach out. And I think it's, in a lot of ways, it's, uh, I don't wanna say a misused resource, but it's like giving monkeys guns.

    24. EM

      (laughs)

    25. JR

      They just start ... Dah, dah, dah, dah, dah. They start gunning down things that are in front of 'em without any realization of what they're doing.

    26. EM

      Sure.

    27. JR

      They have a rock, they see a window, they throw it. Whoa, look at that! I got Elon mad. Look at that, this guy got mad at me. This, this ... I, I fucking took this person down on Twitter. I got this lady fired. Oh, the fucking business is going under because of Twitter wars.

    28. EM

      (laughs)

    29. JR

      It seems like there's something about it that's this-

    30. EM

      Sure.

Episode duration: 2:00:08

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