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A framework for finding product-market fit | Todd Jackson (First Round Capital)

Todd Jackson is a Partner at First Round Capital. Before moving into venture capital, he played a crucial role as VP of Product and Design at Dropbox, guiding the company until its IPO in 2018. Prior to Dropbox, Todd led product management for Twitter’s Content and Discovery teams after selling his startup, Cover, to Twitter in 2014. Before Cover, Todd oversaw product development for Facebook’s Newsfeed, Photos, and Groups. He kickstarted his career at Google as an associate product manager and eventually led product for Gmail, witnessing its growth from beta to 200 million users. In our conversation, we discuss: • Why product-market fit (PMF) matters • First Round Capital’s four-part PMF framework • Level one: Nascent product-market fit • Level two: Developing product-market fit • Level three: Strong product-market fit • Level four: Extreme product-market fit • Examples of companies at each level • How to know if you’re stuck at a level, and how to get unstuck • What to change if you’re stuck: persona, problem, promise, and product • The goals and challenges at each stage — Brought to you by: • WorkOS—The modern API for auth and user identity: https://workos.com/lenny • Eppo—Run reliable, impactful experiments: https://www.geteppo.com/ • CommandBar—AI-powered user assistance for modern products and impatient users: https://www.commandbar.com/lenny Find the transcript and references at: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/a-framework-for-finding-product-market Where to find Todd Jackson: • X: https://twitter.com/tjack • LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/toddj0/ Where to find Lenny: • Newsletter: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com • X: https://twitter.com/lennysan • LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lennyrachitsky/ In this episode, we cover: (00:00) Todd’s background (06:07) First Round Capital’s PMF framework (09:07) Why product-market fit is so important (11:02) Who can benefit from this framework (12:55) The product-market fit method (16:54) Broad overview of the framework (21:35) Level one: nascent product-market fit (33:16) The four P’s (39:13) Level two: developing product-market fit (49:13) Signs you’re stuck at level two, and what to do (55:12) Level three: strong product-market fit (01:00:17) Signs you’re stuck at level three, and what to do (01:02:22) Level four: extreme product-market fit (01:06:55) Rough timelines for each level (01:11:18) A quick recap of the framework (01:12:15) Diving deeper on the four P’s: what to do if you’re stuck (01:13:56) Dollar-driven discovery (01:25:11) Apply for the product-market-fit method program Production and marketing by https://penname.co/. For inquiries about sponsoring the podcast, email podcast@lennyrachitsky.com. Lenny may be an investor in the companies discussed.

Todd JacksonguestLenny Rachitskyhost
Apr 10, 20241h 27mWatch on YouTube ↗

At a glance

WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT

Four-Level Roadmap To Product-Market Fit For B2B Founders

  1. Todd Jackson, partner at First Round Capital and longtime product leader, shares a structured, data-informed framework for B2B, sales-led startups to understand and systematically achieve product-market fit (PMF).
  2. He breaks PMF into four levels—nascent, developing, strong, and extreme—across three dimensions: satisfaction, demand, and efficiency, explaining what each level feels like, typical metrics, and how long they tend to take.
  3. A key tool is the “four Ps” (persona, problem, promise, product) that founders can actively adjust when they’re stuck, illustrated through case studies like Vanta, Lattice, Looker, Ironclad, Plaid, and others.
  4. Todd also previews First Round’s free Product/Market Fit Method program, which gives early B2B founders a structured, hands-on process (including dollar-driven customer discovery and founder-led sales) to materially increase their odds of reaching strong and extreme PMF.

IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING

5 ideas

Treat product-market fit as a multi-level journey, not a binary event.

Todd defines four levels of PMF (L1–L4) that typically unfold over 4–6 years, with each level emphasizing different dimensions—starting with satisfaction, then demand, then efficiency—rather than expecting a sudden 'geyser' moment.

At Level 1, optimize only for deep satisfaction with a tiny set of customers.

Your job is to find 3–5 paying customers with an urgent, important problem and deliver a highly satisfying solution—often manually or inefficiently—before worrying about scale, channels, or margins, as Vanta did with early SOC 2 work.

Use the four Ps to decide how to pivot when stuck.

If growth stalls, systematically revisit persona, problem, promise (positioning), and product; for example, Lattice kept its persona (heads of HR) but changed the problem, promise, and product from OKRs to performance management, while Plaid kept product code but changed the other three Ps.

Level 2 is about unlocking repeatable demand, not just grinding more sales.

Once you have ~5 satisfied customers, the focus shifts to getting to ~25 through emerging scalable channels (cold outbound, content, partnerships, events), while watching for yellow flags like high regretted churn, slow cycles with low ACV, and flatlining inbound interest.

Strong and extreme PMF depend on efficiency as much as growth.

At Levels 3 and 4, you’re aiming for 25–100+ customers and $5M–$25M+ ARR with improving efficiency metrics (burn multiple, gross margin, payback, NRR) so that each marginal customer is easier and cheaper to win and serve, rather than “$1 in, $2 out” WeWork-style economics.

WORDS WORTH SAVING

5 quotes

Finding product-market fit is the single most important thing that your startup does in the first three years.

Todd Jackson

Product-market fit is not a one-size-fits-all thing and it doesn't just happen overnight.

Todd Jackson

Most founders do like a 10% pivot, and what they need to be doing is a 200% pivot.

Todd Jackson (quoting Jack Altman)

We can't guarantee success here. What we are trying to do is increase your odds and reduce the role of luck.

Todd Jackson

Every customer we got, whether that was number four or number 14, felt like the last customer we were ever going to find.

Todd Jackson (quoting David Hsu of Retool)

Why product-market fit is critical yet poorly defined and under-instructedThe four levels of product-market fit: nascent, developing, strong, extremeThe three PMF dimensions: satisfaction, demand, and efficiencyThe four Ps (persona, problem, promise, product) as levers for pivotsReal-world PMF journeys: Vanta, Lattice, Looker, Ironclad, Plaid, Retool, othersDollar-driven customer discovery and testing willingness to payFirst Round’s Product/Market Fit Method program and who it’s for

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