PivotGoogle Forced to Sell Chrome? DOJ's Bombshell Breakup Plan | Pivot
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15 min read · 3,063 words- 0:00 – 0:30
DOJ’s proposed Google search remedies: sell Chrome, end default deals
- KSKara Swisher
The DOJ is asking a judge in the Google Search monopoly case to force the company to sell its Chrome browser as part of the remedy. Chrome has about 67% of the global market and could go for as much as $20 billion, according to some estimates. The government also wants to stop Google from getting into paid agreements with Apple and others to be the default search engine on phones and browsers. Uh, the DO- DOJ stopped short of requesting a full divestiture of Android. Google called the DOJ proposal extreme and is set to file its own suggestions by December 20th. Remedy hearings will be held in April, and the juz- judges are expected to rule over
- 0:30 – 1:00
Political uncertainty around antitrust enforcement and leadership changes
- KSKara Swisher
the summer. I, I know, you know, all these, all these, uh, agencies are sort of waiting for what happens with Trump, although you just never know because he's had some anti-Google, um, statements and everything else, and there'll be a new head of antitrust at the Justice Department. It's not clear who that's gonna be. Um, what do you... D- What do you think of this remedy? It seems like an unusual thing. Tech writer John Gruber noted Chrome and Android are not standalone businesses. They're appendages to Google. It's like saying, "I have to sell my left foot. It's very
- 1:00 – 1:11
Is Chrome a separable business—or “Google’s left foot”?
- KSKara Swisher
valuable to me but of no value to anyone else." Um, and if a buyer of Chrome is a company like OpenAI or Microsoft, could they be accused of creating, as you just... you know, another monopoly with this purchase?
- 1:11 – 1:40
Scott backs a breakup: fines and “monitors” don’t change incentives
- SGScott Galloway
I like this. The potential remedies were a fine. You can't come up with fines big enough. Uh, some sort of administrator from the government, bureaucrat that had to... They got to go into any meeting and tell them why they shouldn't do something, which they basically can ignore. Stick the, stick the fat, ugly, weird kid in the corner, and then finally, a breakup. So I was happy to see this. Now whether it holds or not... But I- I'm not sure I agree with the writer because, because Chrome, you know, has about two-thirds global share, I think, of the browser market.
- KSKara Swisher
Right, 67.
- 1:40 – 2:46
Why Chrome divestiture could work: attention, bidders, and distribution power
- SGScott Galloway
That's so much attention, um, that's so much attention that a lot of different people could monetize that. So it would have no shortage of bidders. It would, it would, um, uh, immediately stop this default, um, you know, steering everyone towards their search engine. It'd be more of a competition. So I like this. I think... I generally find that the FTC and the DOJ, and this is 'cause they bring in a lot of my colleagues from business schools, are pretty smart about trying to come up with solutions that grow the total market.
- KSKara Swisher
Mm-hmm.
- SGScott Galloway
Uh, so I, I like this. I hope it goes through.
- KSKara Swisher
Yeah, it's interesting.
- SGScott Galloway
I don't know if it'll hold.
- KSKara Swisher
Y- you know, there's so much uncertainty because, as I said, Cantor is, will be leaving, John Cantor, and Lina Khan's tenure may be over, or maybe not. It's very unclear. You might get someone like Brendan Carr, who's making a grab for power at the FCC, which it didn't have, but may be trying to do so. There's all kinds of uncertainty on who's going to be able to run this and then who is going to be the antitrust head. And it is all in the hands of a single judge, um, who's, who, which then can be appealed, et cetera, and the government can stop trying, right? The government
- 2:46 – 3:22
Backroom dynamics and competing power centers in tech-politics
- KSKara Swisher
can go a different direction, depending. Um, you know, it'll be interesting because Sundar Pichai, the head of Alphabet, was on the phone with Trump, and of course, guess who was on the phone with him? There's the whole Elon element. Elon was on a phone call with the CEO of Alphabet with Trump. I mean, there's all these different competing power centers, uh, happening here. So, uh, I, I agree with you. I think there sh- something should be cleaved off of these companies. That's, to me, the only... Because-
- SGScott Galloway
The key question is where was Omarosa?
- KSKara Swisher
(laughs)
- SGScott Galloway
I want her back.
- KSKara Swisher
I know.
- SGScott Galloway
She would act- She actually seems quite credible now.
- KSKara Swisher
No, she does. I can't believe it-
- SGScott Galloway
Yeah.
- KSKara Swisher
... but she is. You're right. I mean-
- SGScott Galloway
Yeah.
- 3:22 – 4:02
Breakups as the only remedy: healthier markets and new businesses
- KSKara Swisher
It'll be interesting to see what the remedy is, but I think the only remedy is the start to breaking up of, or parts of their businesses and then creating whole new vibrant businesses from them, right?
- SGScott Galloway
100%. Mm-hmm.
- KSKara Swisher
It just seems healthier in so many ways. A fine is not gonna work. Uh, threatening with prison is not going to work. You know, it's just... They should just cut them up and create new businesses and see what could be made. I mean, having 67% of the global market, and it does, it does help their other businesses. I can't tell you how many times I open Chrome and it says, "Don't you want to make this your default browser?" Right? I, I unsign out from Google because it's constantly trying to get me sucked into their system for no good reason. So, um, it seems like I would rather it be owned by more people. That's my feeling.
- 4:02 – 4:45
Search as the world’s biggest tollbooth: monopoly rents and data advantage
- SGScott Galloway
But search is arguably-
- KSKara Swisher
Finished.
- SGScott Galloway
I bet on a gross dollar volume basis, search may be the biggest business in the world.
- KSKara Swisher
Yeah, still.
- SGScott Galloway
I think it's 150 or I think it's like a quarter of a trillion-dollar business, but I bet it's got gross margins of 80 or 90 points, and that makes even the iPhone look like a distant...
- KSKara Swisher
Yeah.
- SGScott Galloway
Not, not a great business. So, and essentially, all of this accretes to one player. And if you didn't have this incredible data advantage of looking what everyone is doing on the internet two-thirds of the time and then be able to steer them towards your search engine and then extract all sorts of payments to be the default, uh, you would just have a lot more... All of a sudden, the biggest market in the world wouldn't be a monopoly, which would ultimately lower rents-
- KSKara Swisher
Right.
- SGScott Galloway
... on everyone that has to pay the tollways.
- 4:45 – 5:03
Competition could improve search quality and curb harmful incentives
- KSKara Swisher
That's right. And search would be better as a product.
- SGScott Galloway
That's right.
- KSKara Swisher
Search would be-
- SGScott Galloway
100%. And they'd be forced to innovate. They might... Who knows? Someone might pop up and say, "This is search that is, uh, not gonna, not gonna give misinformation more reach."
- KSKara Swisher
Yep.
- SGScott Galloway
"We're not gonna let computers create content."
- KSKara Swisher
Mm-hmm.
- 5:03 – 5:13
Eric Schmidt’s provocation: free speech rights for humans, not computers
- SGScott Galloway
I had Eric Schmidt on, and he said-
- KSKara Swisher
Mm-hmm.
- SGScott Galloway
... something that I thought was really insightful. He said-
- KSKara Swisher
This is the former... Just for people who don't know, the former Google head.
- SGScott Galloway
Former CEO of Alphabet.
- KSKara Swisher
Yeah.
- SGScott Galloway
Yeah, who-
- KSKara Swisher
I think he never was Alphabet, but Google. But go ahead.
- 5:13 – 6:19
Historical case for breakups: more value, more choice, more innovation
- SGScott Galloway
Oh, you're right. Excuse me. Um, but he said something really interesting. He said, "Humans should have absolutely very strong First Amendment free speech rights." But he said, "Computers should not." And that really struck me as insightful because I think a lot of the misinformation, a lot of the incendiary content that polarizes us is not generated by a human. And I thought that was really an interesting place to start around all of this. But back to breakups and antitrust, ask any economist or ask any lawyer trying to fight against this, what breakup in US history did not end up being a good idea?
- KSKara Swisher
Mm-hmm.
- SGScott Galloway
Every time we have broken up companies, you end up with more powerful, more valuable companies, you end up with more choice, you end up with lower rents, you end up with more innovation. The only person that loses is the person who has the controlling shareholders or the super voting majority shares who want to sit on the iron throne of not just Westeros, but all seven realms.
- KSKara Swisher
Yeah.
- SGScott Galloway
But everybody else, every other stakeholder, the community, the tax base, employ- uh, employees.
- KSKara Swisher
Mm-hmm.
- SGScott Galloway
They then have more companies vying to rent their labor.
- 6:19 – 7:06
Choice as real “free speech”: Bluesky, Threads, and leaving X/Twitter
- KSKara Swisher
That is cr- It's always better. It's always better. Look at what's happening even over in social media. Bluesky, that's that choice. That's, you know, whether you like Threads or not, that's that choice. It feels so much fresher.
- SGScott Galloway
People keep texting me Blue-
- KSKara Swisher
Bluesky.
- SGScott Galloway
People kept texting me Bluesky stuff.
- KSKara Swisher
Yeah, everyone's moving over there, but it's different. They have a different... Like, "This is how our place is gonna be. It's not gonna be mean," and it's not... Like, that's the whole point of different things, uh, is you get to choose what you want. And that's the true free speech. That's my feeling, is you get to... You know, everyone's like, "You have to be..." You know, Elon and his gang are pushing like, "You have to be on Twitter." Like, no, I don't. I can do whatever I fucking want. And if I wanna be in a bubble, great. If I don't, great. Like, the ability to make and choose your own adventure, to me, is the, the op- is freedom. That's my feeling.
Episode duration: 7:07
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