Uncapped with Jack AltmanPat Grady & Alfred Lin on the Tactics of Great Venture Investing | Ep. 36
At a glance
WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT
Sequoia’s new stewards on conviction, craft, and outlier investing tactics
- Grady and Lin frame Sequoia’s leadership transition as “stewardship,” emphasizing enabling a team of “outliers” rather than running a hierarchical, CEO-style organization.
- They argue venture is an “outlier business,” so consistency is less important than creating room for volatility, strong individual judgment, and high-conviction bets with sufficient ownership.
- The discussion breaks down the venture value chain—sourcing, picking, winning, building, harvesting—and how Sequoia measures inputs (values, capabilities, coverage quality, decision hygiene) given that outputs can be a decade delayed and markups can be mirages.
- They share tactical methods: coverage targets without incentivized gaming, debrief rituals, CRM/data advantages (including a long-running talent “PageRank” map), and coaching investors toward courage by normalizing failure and managing psychological biases.
IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING
5 ideasVenture leadership is about enabling outliers, not directing them.
They contrast operating-company CEOs (optimize consistency) with venture (optimize outliers). To partner with outliers, the firm must let partners operate with autonomy inside shared frameworks.
Consensus doesn’t predict returns; conviction does.
Sequoia’s internal voting data shows consensus vs non-consensus is not a factor. “All sixes” is a warning sign; polarized “nines and ones” can be attractive because it signals real conviction and risk-taking.
Measure investors on inputs because outputs arrive too late (and can be misleading).
Markups can be mirages and outcomes take ~10 years, so they focus on behaviors and capability development (quality of memos, diligence, networks, time allocation) and later inspect the chain if results lag.
Avoid individual activity metrics to prevent gaming; focus on time-investment judgment.
Grady describes how granular funnel quotas can create padding behavior (calling founders you’ll never invest in). Sequoia avoids individualized metrics to keep attention on “net multiple money returns,” not checkboxes.
Sourcing quality beats raw ‘seeing everything’ coverage—watch for “false coverage.”
Demo days and broad meetings can create superficial exposure. The key is deciding which few companies merit deep pursuit, tracking misses, and updating priors through a rolling review of true/false positives/negatives.
WORDS WORTH SAVING
5 quotesOur internal data shows that consensus versus non-consensus does not matter at all. Presence of conviction is what matters.
— Pat Grady
If everybody’s a six, probably shouldn’t make the investment… If three people are nines and three people are one, we should probably make the investment.
— Pat Grady
We’re in the outlier business.
— Pat Grady
The two fears—fear of missing out and fear of looking stupid—are the two fears that prevent people from making the right decisions.
— Alfred Lin
The stability at the partnership level is what allows for volatility at the partner level.
— Pat Grady
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