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Jackie Reses & Kris Dickson: What Happened with SVB? Are VCs to Blame? | E988

Jackie Reses is the CEO of Lead Bank and previous Exec Chair of Square Financial Services and Head of Lending and Banking. One of only people to have started a bank as a de no; Only tech company to get approved for a de novo. Chair Economic Advisory Council of SF Federal Reserve. Kris Dickson is the CFO of Lead Bank and previously the CAO / CFO of post-BK Lehman Brothers parent co-estate for 10 years. Lehman Holdco estate has liquidated and distributed $129 billion to unsecured creditors through the end of 2022. ------------------------------ Timestamps: 0:00 - Why are Jackie and Kris experts on this subject? 2:03 - How and why did SVB fail so fast? 10:13 - Are VCs to blame? 14:52 - Will deposits move to the top 4 banks? 21:29 - What happens now at SBV? 26:55 - Will depositors have their deposits guaranteed? 30:56 - Why doesn’t a big bank buy it? 34:14 - Will there be more bank runs? 41:23 - Is it okay to deposit money into neobanks? 44:35 - Is it okay to move money into a personal account? 47:13 - What is the best and worst case scenario? ------------------------------ In Today’s Episode on SVB We Discuss: What Happened? How and why did SVB fail so fast? Was it the result of systemic problems or a series of management mistakes? What role did VCs play in the downfall of SVB? What role did social media and online banking play in the failing of SVB? What Now? What happens now? Will depositors have their deposits guaranteed? Will there be a buyer for SVB? Who is the most likely? Should founders be worried about moving their money to neo-banks? Should founders in any circumstances transfer money to their personal accounts? What is the best and worst outcome? ------------------------------ Subscribe on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3j2KMcZTtgTNBKwtZBMHvl?si=85bc9196860e4466 Subscribe on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-twenty-minute-vc-20vc-venture-capital-startup/id958230465 Follow Harry Stebbings on Twitter: https://twitter.com/HarryStebbings Follow Jackie Reses on Twitter: https://twitter.com/jackiereses Follow 20VC on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/20vc_reels Follow 20VC on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@20vc_tok Visit our Website: https://www.20vc.com ------------------------------ #SiliconValleyBank #JackieReses #KrisDickson #SVBcollapse #SVBbailout #HarryStebbings

Jackie ResesguestHarry StebbingshostKris Dicksonguest
Mar 12, 202352mWatch on YouTube ↗

At a glance

WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT

Inside SVB’s Collapse: Risk, Rumors, Regulation, And Venture Capital Fallout

  1. The conversation unpacks why Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) failed, centering on its outsized interest-rate bet, concentrated tech/VC depositor base, and a disastrous capital-raise communication that triggered a rapid bank run.
  2. Jackie Reses and Kris Dickson explain how social media, instant messaging, and electronic banking accelerated depositor flight and turned a solvable balance-sheet problem into a liquidity crisis.
  3. They outline the FDIC’s playbook: seizing the bank, assessing assets, paying insured deposits, making an advance dividend to uninsured depositors, and ideally engineering a fast sale to a larger bank.
  4. The discussion also explores whether VCs caused the collapse, what founders should do now to manage banking risk, and why preserving a diverse community and regional banking system matters for the broader economy.

IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING

5 ideas

SVB’s core mistake was a massive duration and concentration risk bet.

SVB invested over $90B in long-dated, low-yield securities while funding them with a highly concentrated, flighty tech/VC depositor base; when rates rose and tech funding dried up, the mark-to-market losses and deposit outflows became lethal.

The capital raise announcement was sequenced and framed in a way that fueled panic.

Announcing a capital raise and exposing a funding hole before securing the money signaled weakness to a tightly networked VC community, prompting ‘no one wants to be last’ behavior and a rapid run instead of calming markets.

Psychology and social media can now topple a bank far faster than fundamentals alone.

Instant communication across VC portfolios, combined with electronic banking, allowed tens of billions to attempt to exit in a day; this speed changes how founders, boards, and regulators must think about liquidity and communication risk.

VCs were acting as fiduciaries, but many underestimated concentration and counterparty risk.

While pulling deposits was rational at the company level, many startups and funds had dangerously concentrated exposure to a single bank; going forward, VCs are likely to impose tighter rules on where and how portfolio companies hold cash.

The FDIC has tools to protect depositors, but speed and confidence are critical.

Typical steps include seizing the bank, paying insured deposits, selling liquid assets to fund an advance dividend to uninsured depositors, and orchestrating a sale; the best outcome is a buyer assuming deposits at par to avoid broader contagion.

WORDS WORTH SAVING

5 quotes

At their core, banks are in the business of managing risk.

Kris Dickson

That announcement did the exact opposite of what it intended to do, and it created immediate fears around the tech community.

Jackie Reses

No one wants to be the last man standing in that bank with your deposits as the FDIC shows up.

Jackie Reses

The real danger in SVB’s failure is a crisis of confidence among depositors more generally.

Kris Dickson

If the outcome of all of this is a super concentration of funding and control of the banking system into systemically important institutions, that would be a travesty.

Kris Dickson

SVB’s risk profile: long-duration securities, rate hikes, and concentrated tech/VC depositsThe triggering role of communications, psychology, and social media in the bank runSystemic versus idiosyncratic risk across the U.S. banking system post-2008 reformsFDIC resolution mechanics: seizure, insured vs. uninsured deposits, asset sales, and buyersThe role and responsibility of VCs and founders in pulling deposits and managing riskPotential contagion, depositor confidence, and the danger of hyper-concentration in megabanksPractical risk management for startups: diversification of banks, neobanks, and governance

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