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Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections

(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:29) Macro picture: Soft landing secured? Rate cut on the horizon? Partisan economic perception (20:48) AI sentiment turns Bearish due to massive spend with little revenue (40:51) A16Z's 20K GPU cluster (46:41) Broad implications of France elections (1:06:10) Hot swap update: President Biden holds firm as backers flee, chaos in the press corps, speed-run primary chances Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/teddyschleifer/status/1811423421861113915 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/11/cpi-inflation-report-june-2024.html https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-071124/card/odds-of-a-september-rate-cut-jump-as-inflation-cools-Du34tNx5OPXwQpXrKTT2 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://ycharts.com/indicators/sp_500_pe_ratio https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-poll-analysis-americans-rate-economy-partisan-lens https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20240709188/heres-how-far-the-dow-has-fallen-behind-the-sp-500-so-far-in-2024 https://youtu.be/R6hJh-OwoZw https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/ais-600b-question https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/gs-research/gen-ai-too-much-spend-too-little-benefit/report.pdf https://www.theinformation.com/articles/andreessen-horowitz-is-building-a-stash-of-more-than-20-000-gpus-to-win-ai-deals https://x.com/natfriedman/status/1668650915505803266 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13594307/french-election-candidates-drop-rn-le-pen-victory.html https://x.com/CilComLFC/status/1810110921383010563 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/opinion/joe-biden-democratic-nominee.html https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2024/07/11/what-obama-and-pelosi-are-doing-about-biden-00167520 https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/disastrous-biden-campaign-fundraising-takes-major-hit-rcna161214 https://x.com/greenfield64/status/1811199262350532767 https://x.com/Olivianuzzi/status/1808924240529535352 https://x.com/peterjhasson/status/1811052411584164210 https://youtu.be/kOeARghNIaY https://www.semafor.com/article/07/07/2024/blitz-primary-could-open-up-democratic-race-if-biden-drops-out #allin #tech #news

Jason CalacanishostChamath PalihapitiyahostDavid FriedberghostEd O’Keefe (CBS News reporter, clip)guestTom Cruise (Tropic Thunder / Les Grossman clip)guest
Jul 12, 20241h 25mWatch on YouTube ↗

Episode Details

EPISODE INFO

Released
July 12, 2024
Duration
1h 25m
Channel
All-In Podcast
Watch on YouTube
▶ Open ↗

EPISODE DESCRIPTION

(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:29) Macro picture: Soft landing secured? Rate cut on the horizon? Partisan economic perception (20:48) AI sentiment turns Bearish due to massive spend with little revenue (40:51) A16Z's 20K GPU cluster (46:41) Broad implications of France elections (1:06:10) Hot swap update: President Biden holds firm as backers flee, chaos in the press corps, speed-run primary chances Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/teddyschleifer/status/1811423421861113915 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/11/cpi-inflation-report-june-2024.html https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-071124/card/odds-of-a-september-rate-cut-jump-as-inflation-cools-Du34tNx5OPXwQpXrKTT2 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://ycharts.com/indicators/sp_500_pe_ratio https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-poll-analysis-americans-rate-economy-partisan-lens https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20240709188/heres-how-far-the-dow-has-fallen-behind-the-sp-500-so-far-in-2024 https://youtu.be/R6hJh-OwoZw https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/ais-600b-question https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/gs-research/gen-ai-too-much-spend-too-little-benefit/report.pdf https://www.theinformation.com/articles/andreessen-horowitz-is-building-a-stash-of-more-than-20-000-gpus-to-win-ai-deals https://x.com/natfriedman/status/1668650915505803266 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13594307/french-election-candidates-drop-rn-le-pen-victory.html https://x.com/CilComLFC/status/1810110921383010563 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/opinion/joe-biden-democratic-nominee.html https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2024/07/11/what-obama-and-pelosi-are-doing-about-biden-00167520 https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/disastrous-biden-campaign-fundraising-takes-major-hit-rcna161214 https://x.com/greenfield64/status/1811199262350532767 https://x.com/Olivianuzzi/status/1808924240529535352 https://x.com/peterjhasson/status/1811052411584164210 https://youtu.be/kOeARghNIaY https://www.semafor.com/article/07/07/2024/blitz-primary-could-open-up-democratic-race-if-biden-drops-out #allin #tech #news

SPEAKERS

  • Jason Calacanis

    host
  • Chamath Palihapitiya

    host
  • David Friedberg

    host
  • Ed O’Keefe (CBS News reporter, clip)

    guest
  • Tom Cruise (Tropic Thunder / Les Grossman clip)

    guest

EPISODE SUMMARY

In this episode of All-In Podcast, featuring Jason Calacanis and Chamath Palihapitiya, Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections explores aI Bubble, Soft Landing Doubts, French Upheaval, Biden Cover-Up Claims The episode opens with banter before diving into U.S. macroeconomics, where the hosts debate whether the Federal Reserve has truly engineered a soft landing as inflation cools but underlying economic fragilities persist. They then scrutinize the AI investment boom, arguing that capital from the ZIRP era has flooded into AI infrastructure and startups far faster than sustainable revenue or real productivity gains have materialized. The conversation widens to global politics, using the French election and other recent votes to explore rising populism, perceived socialism vs. free markets, and backlash to mass immigration and globalization. The show closes with a heated segment on Biden’s cognitive fitness, alleged media and White House cover-ups, and speculative scenarios for a last‑minute Democratic “speed run primary” to replace him as the nominee.

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