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How AI agents are creating a shadow payroll problem

Kalshi and Polymarket hit Super Bowl scale; CBO debt projections stoke fear. The bigger story: AI token spend is approaching salary-equivalent costs per seat.

Jason CalacanishostDavid FriedberghostChamath Palihapitiyahost
Feb 13, 20261h 13mWatch on YouTube ↗

Episode Details

EPISODE INFO

Released
February 13, 2026
Duration
1h 13m
Channel
All-In Podcast
Watch on YouTube
▶ Open ↗

EPISODE DESCRIPTION

(0:00) Bestie intros (0:23) AI updates: On-prem comeback, token budgets surpass salaries (19:19) Prediction markets: Super Bowl insider trading, how to police? (28:44) All-In Liquidity: The ultimate investor conference (32:48) CBO report: Death spiral, growth opportunity, or golden age? (48:06) State of the economy and US jobs (1:03:22) Ferrari's fully electric car goes viral Apply for Liquidity: https://allinliquidity.com Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://hbr.org/2026/02/ai-doesnt-reduce-work-it-intensifies-it?ab=HP-latest-text-3 https://x.com/mattshumer_/status/2021256989876109403 https://x.com/Jason/status/2021272988100984862 https://x.com/chamath/status/2022009107964899755 https://x.com/chamath/status/2021991383327027322 https://lobstertank.co/?v=1 https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2026-02/61882-Executive-Summary.pdf https://www.covers.com/industry/prediction-markets-sportsbooks-super-bowl-nevada-betting-handle-february-2026 https://defirate.com/news/insider-trading-claims-hit-super-bowl-prediction-markets/ https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israeli-soldiers-accused-of-using-polymarket-to-bet-on-strikes-72d53012 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SzuvVcH2amc https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2026-02/61882-Executive-Summary.pdf https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFRGDA188S https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/2021608233866027065 https://www.ice.gov/news/releases/asplundh-tree-experts-co-pays-largest-civil-settlement-agreement-ever-levied-ice https://www.justice.gov/usao-edpa/pr/asplundh-tree-expert-co-charged-recruiting-hiring-and-employing-unauthorized-aliens https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/tree-company-pay-record-fine-immigration-practices-n805756 https://www.kff.org/racial-equity-and-health-policy/kff-la-times-survey-of-immigrants/#d53efe98-31a4-48f1-944f-b1b1aff36c06 #allin #tech #news

SPEAKERS

  • Jason Calacanis

    host
  • David Friedberg

    host
  • Chamath Palihapitiya

    host

EPISODE SUMMARY

In this episode of All-In Podcast, featuring Jason Calacanis and David Sacks, How AI agents are creating a shadow payroll problem explores aI agents boom, prediction markets controversy, debt fears, Ferrari EV shift The hosts debate a study suggesting AI tools increase work intensity rather than reducing workload, arguing early adopters gain “superpowers” and that enterprise AI adoption will be driven bottom-up by employees.

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