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E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI's news deal, FCC targets Elon, the limits of free speech & more

(0:00) Bestie intros: Mullets! (2:56) Recapping Friedberg's holiday party (9:29) Jury rules in favor of Epic Games over Google: How to handle the app store duopoly? (23:21) OpenAI inks deal with Axel Springer (35:02) FCC cancels Starlink subsidy, dissenting FCC Commissioner says federal agencies are targeting Elon Musk on Biden's orders (58:25) Alex Jones reinstated on X (1:22:59) Sacks receives an unlikely apology (1:27:32) Besties take two questions from the audience Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.theverge.com/23994174/epic-google-trial-jury-verdict-monopoly-google-play https://www.theverge.com/23959932/epic-v-google-trial-antitrust-play-store-fortnite-recap https://www.wsj.com/tech/google-loses-antitrust-case-brought-by-epic-games-651f5987 https://support.google.com/googleplay/android-developer/answer/112622 https://twitter.com/openai/status/1734940445824937993 https://www.ap.org/ap-in-the-news/2023/chatgpt-maker-openai-signs-deal-with-ap-to-license-news-stories https://www.axios.com/2023/12/13/openai-chatgpt-axel-springer-news-deal https://fairuse.stanford.edu/overview/fair-use/four-factors https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1730035957850833023 https://www.theverge.com/2023/12/12/23999070/spacex-starlink-fcc-rural-digital-opportunity-fund-fcc-rejected https://docs.fcc.gov/public/attachments/DOC-399068A1.pdf https://twitter.com/HansMahncke/status/1735003655697244308 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/13/us/politics/hunter-biden-impeachment-testimony.html https://twitter.com/BrendanCarrFCC/status/1734780816599703983 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1733529033575465381 https://twitter.com/DrJBhattacharya/status/1602052936921939968 https://medium.com/craft-ventures/section-230-mend-it-dont-end-it-e33799a43a5f https://twitter.com/TheChiefNerd/status/1733496554701365582 https://twitter.com/Mark60480727/status/1735335623207038994 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1735164131806986441 https://twitter.com/MomCooksFS/status/1735341157800915278 #allin #tech #news

Jason CalacanishostDavid FriedberghostChamath PalihapitiyahostAlex JonesguestJoe Roganguest
Dec 16, 20231h 39mWatch on YouTube ↗

CHAPTERS

  1. 0:00 – 4:08

    Mullets, ponytails, and fit checks: besties roast each other to kick off the show

    The episode opens with jokes about mullets and old photos, including Sacks’ ponytail and a ‘fit check’ explainer. The banter sets the tone with rapid-fire teasing and callbacks.

    • Sacks’ hair photo and the ‘Thomas Jefferson’ ChatGPT comparison
    • J-Cal shares his 1984 mullet photo
    • Explanation of what a ‘fit check’ is
    • Group riffing on everyone’s past hairstyles and looks
  2. 4:08 – 9:16

    Friedberg’s holiday party recap: no-show gifts, ‘where’s the meat,’ and sugar disasters

    They recap Friedberg’s holiday party, including Sacks missing it but sending a formal gift delivery. Chamath and J-Cal complain about the food situation, culminating in Chamath’s baklava-and-brownie spiral.

    • Sacks misses the party, but sends a wrapped gift via driver
    • J-Cal pre-games with steak/burgers to prepare for veggie-heavy menu
    • Chamath’s ‘is there meat?’ text and the ‘no sushi’ bet
    • Chamath leaves furious after eating mostly sugar
    • Side tangent: Chamath discovers Popeyes chicken sandwich
  3. 9:16 – 17:18

    Epic beats Google in antitrust: what the verdict means for the app store duopoly

    J-Cal summarizes Epic’s courtroom win against Google over Play Store practices, highlighting alleged anti-competitive tactics like ‘Project Hug’ payouts. The group debates whether this changes anything meaningful for developers and the broader ecosystem.

    • Jury finds Google violated antitrust laws; Google plans to appeal
    • ‘Project Hug’ and incentive payments to discourage competing stores
    • Take rates (30%) and how app store economics hit startups
    • Why Epic sought policy changes rather than damages
    • Apple vs. Google differences (jury vs. bench trial; platform openness)
  4. 17:18 – 23:20

    Are 30% fees justified? Monopoly power, boiling-the-frog tactics, and possible remedies

    Sacks argues app stores are monopolies within their ecosystems and become more extractive over time, while Friedberg defends some fee logic as ‘retail-like’ economics. They discuss workarounds (Kindle, Spotify), negotiated rates, and regulatory approaches.

    • Sacks: duopoly dynamics and gatekeepers extract increasing value
    • Why 30% breaks certain business models (SaaS, content-heavy apps)
    • Apple restrictions: banning links and limiting user communication
    • Friedberg: Play Store has tiers (subscriptions, negotiated enterprise deals)
    • Potential fixes: verified alternative app stores, lower fees, policy limits
  5. 23:20 – 35:02

    OpenAI’s Axel Springer deal: training data vs paywalled retrieval, and the copyright fight returns

    They revisit a prior argument about AI using publisher content, prompted by OpenAI’s licensing deal with Axel Springer (Politico, Business Insider) and earlier AP partnership. Friedberg reframes it as paywalled content integration for retrieval, not necessarily training-data access, while Sacks emphasizes fair use for open-web training.

    • Deal provides summaries and links; includes paywalled content access
    • Friedberg: retrieval/integration differs from training on open web data
    • Sacks: fair use should allow training; plagiarism is different from training
    • J-Cal: fair use’s market-harm factor and rights-holder protections
    • Example: DALL·E blocking IP terms (Darth Vader) and prompt workarounds
  6. 35:02 – 44:59

    FCC cancels Starlink subsidy: claims of political retaliation and ‘death by a thousand cuts’ regulation

    The discussion shifts to the FCC rejecting Starlink’s rural broadband subsidies and Commissioner Brendan Carr’s dissent suggesting political targeting of Elon Musk. Sacks and others argue it’s part of a broader pattern of agency actions against Musk’s companies, with debate over legitimate scrutiny vs retribution.

    • FCC cancels ~$885M RDOF award; Carr alleges Biden-directed harassment
    • Sacks: denial based on cherry-picked speed snapshots and premature standards
    • Examples cited: DOJ, FAA, FTC, NLRB, Fish & Wildlife actions; Tesla/SpaceX probes
    • Debate: over-regulation vs targeted retaliation; incentives favor worse competitors
    • Tesla tax credit changes and autopilot ‘recall’ framed as OTA update pressure
  7. 44:59 – 58:19

    Media accountability tangent: NYT misquote of Hunter Biden and the problem of buried corrections

    They detour into media trust after highlighting a New York Times quote that omitted the word ‘financially’ from Hunter Biden’s statement. The group critiques journalistic standards, correction placement, and perceived editorial bias.

    • Side-by-side comparison of transcript vs NYT quote omission
    • Discussion of proper quote editing (ellipsis/brackets)
    • Corrections: visibility and reader impact in digital vs print era
    • Broader distrust in mainstream media as a political actor
    • Link back to accountability demands for agencies and institutions
  8. 58:19 – 1:20:51

    Alex Jones reinstated on X: free speech absolutism vs harm, bans vs timeouts

    They confront Elon’s decision to reinstate Alex Jones after a user poll, while playing a Sandy Hook clip and reacting strongly to its cruelty. The besties debate whether platforms should impose lifetime bans, how to operationalize First Amendment-style rules, and where responsibility lies when speech leads to harassment.

    • Emotional reaction to Sandy Hook conspiracy claims and real-world harm
    • Sacks: slippery slope—Alex Jones ban preceded broader censorship culture
    • Friedberg: private companies can moderate, but government co-option is the danger
    • Chamath: free speech litmus test is defending disliked speech; prefer timeouts
    • Policy ideas: First Amendment categories, escalation/doubling penalties, second chances
  9. 1:20:51 – 1:22:59

    Rogan clip and ‘human complexity’: mental health, accountability, and platforming dilemmas

    Sacks introduces a Joe Rogan clip portraying Jones as flawed but not purely evil, citing mental health and occasional correct ‘conspiracies.’ J-Cal pushes back on platforming people during ‘episodes’ and emphasizes platform responsibility when harm is foreseeable.

    • Rogan: Jones’ mental health/substance issues and occasional accurate early claims
    • Debate over ‘dangerous speech’ as a standard (COVID as example)
    • Incitement legal thresholds vs common-sense risk management
    • Lifetime bans vs temporary suspensions and reinstatement criteria
    • Platform responsibility vs individual culpability for followers’ actions
  10. 1:22:59 – 1:27:41

    Unlikely apology: Nassim Taleb concedes Sacks was right on Ukraine war dynamics

    They pivot to internet rarity—someone admitting they were wrong—after Taleb posts that Sacks’ assessment of Ukraine/Russia relative strength was correct. Sacks explains his method: find experts with track records rather than relying on media narratives.

    • Taleb’s statement: Russia has staying power; settlement likely
    • Sacks on evaluating experts by falsifiable predictions and track records
    • Broader critique of mainstream media reliability and bias
    • VC skillset: synthesizing info, locating credible sources, forming independent takes
  11. 1:27:41 – 1:34:55

    Audience Q1: Harvard President Gay, board strategy, DEI backlash, and free speech vs double standards

    Answering an audience question, Chamath predicts the Harvard board’s response is a tactical delay rather than full support. Sacks frames the controversy as both a free speech dispute and a DEI-driven double-standard problem, while J-Cal argues hypocrisy and identity politics are reaching a dead end.

    • Chamath: board options—fire, fully support, or buy time; expects eventual exit
    • Sacks: Rorschach test—free speech concerns vs DEI inconsistency
    • Risk: expanding speech codes could suppress campus protest and debate
    • J-Cal: hypocrisy (microaggressions vs genocide rhetoric) fuels backlash
    • Discussion of DEI consulting ‘grift’ incentives and shifting willingness to criticize
  12. 1:34:55 – 1:39:25

    Audience Q2: Hiring new grads when elite degrees signal less—co-op programs and Friedberg’s hiring rubric

    They close with advice on evaluating young talent beyond prestigious diplomas. Chamath advocates hiring through co-op programs to assess candidates in real work settings, while Friedberg outlines his structured scoring system around horsepower, skills, motivation, and principles.

    • Chamath: co-op schools (e.g., Waterloo) as a pipeline with built-in evaluation
    • Co-op structure: alternating school/work terms; graduates with real experience
    • Friedberg (Ohalu): assess raw horsepower, skills/experience fit, motivation, principles
    • Motivation as proof of action beyond system constraints; structured scoring approach

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