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E36: New FTC Chair, breaking up big tech, government silent spying, Jon Stewart, wildfires & more

Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Show Notes: 00:00 Besties intro 03:37 Lina Khan appointed to the Chair of the Federal Trade Commission 07:02 Will Lina break up big tech? Which one will be first? 18:02 Potential repercussions to consumers 27:48 Sacks’ antitrust experience at PayPal vs. eBay, Visa & MasterCard 29:50 Google’s multi-trillion dollar data trove 35:40 The U.S. government's capability to silently take data while “gagging” Big Tech 53:32 COVID’s psychic shadow, Friedberg’s office landlord is still requiring masks 1:00:17 Jon Stewart’s lab leak bit on Stephen Colbert’s show 1:10:04 California’s wildfire risk increasing with climate change 1:20:57 Bestie summer plans Referenced in the show: Chamath's 2019 Annual Letter re: Big Tech breakup https://www.socialcapital.com/annual-letters/2019 Big Tech Gag Order (mentioned by Sacks) https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/06/13/microsoft-brad-smith-trump-justice-department-gag-orders/ Obama Administration Record Seizure (mentioned by Sacks) https://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/14/us/phone-records-of-journalists-of-the-associated-press-seized-by-us.html?referringSource=articleShare California Forest fire maps (mentioned by Friedberg) https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1398474379214802951/photo/1 Jon Stewart On Vaccine Science And The Wuhan Lab Theory https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sSfejgwbDQ8 #allin #tech #news

Jason CalacanishostDavid FriedberghostChamath Palihapitiyahost
Jun 18, 20211h 27mWatch on YouTube ↗

CHAPTERS

  1. 0:00 – 3:39

    Besties cold open: monologue stats, Italy buttons, and audience remix culture

    The hosts riff on inside jokes, Chamath’s Italy wardrobe, and a fan-built Twitter account that tracks who talks the most. They also shout out the community’s animations and music remixes, setting the tone before diving into policy and tech news.

    • Playful banter about LP meetings, outfits, and “monologues”
    • Fans using AI/tools to analyze talk time and produce charts
    • Shout-outs to community creators (animations, music remixes)
    • Transition into the first major topic: Lina Khan and the FTC
  2. 3:39 – 7:02

    Lina Khan confirmed as FTC Chair: her antitrust framework and Amazon focus

    Jason summarizes Lina Khan’s background, her key antitrust papers, and why her approach differs from traditional consumer-price-focused enforcement. The group discusses her specific examples (Amazon Basics, AWS, platform separation) and why her appointment drew bipartisan support.

    • Khan confirmed 69–28; notable for being 32 and deeply tech-literate
    • Her critique: platforms shouldn’t both host markets and compete in them (e.g., Amazon Basics)
    • Concerns about cloud consolidation and infrastructure fragility
    • Potential remedies: spin-outs (AWS), separations (Google Maps vs Android), negotiated outcomes vs decade-long trials
    • Bipartisan dynamics: inequality lens (left) vs censorship lens (right)
  3. 7:02 – 10:47

    ‘Hipster antitrust’ vs consumer welfare: power, common carrier ideas, and political risk

    Chamath frames the pro-competition case against platform gatekeeping but warns that shifting from consumer welfare to ‘power’ lacks a clear limiting principle. The hosts debate common-carrier style regulation as a potential bipartisan path, alongside fears of lobbying capture and politicized enforcement.

    • Gatekeeper problem: platforms using monopoly infrastructure to crush downstream apps
    • Consumer welfare standard vs ‘power concentration’ standard
    • Common carrier concept as a cross-ideological regulatory compromise
    • Risk: hyper-politicization, lobbying escalation, and regulatory overreach
    • Examples invoked: app stores’ 30% rake; Spotify vs Apple
  4. 10:47 – 19:14

    How antitrust law actually bites: Sherman/Clayton/FTC Act and where cases may stick

    Friedberg outlines three pillars of antitrust enforcement and why old doctrines struggle with tech’s ‘free/cheap’ pricing strategies. He argues FTC Act theories (unfair methods / deceptive practices) may be more viable, and suggests Facebook/Google may present clearer fact patterns than Amazon.

    • Sherman Act designed for 1800s price hikes; tech often drives prices down to win
    • Clayton Act and HSR filings govern mergers/large deals
    • FTC Act’s ‘unfair methods’ and ‘unfair/deceptive’ practices as flexible tools
    • Theory: subsidize to win dominance, then raise effective prices (e.g., ad CPM increases)
    • View that Facebook/Google provide more actionable examples than Amazon
  5. 19:14 – 25:43

    If Big Tech were broken up: impact on consumers vs startups (and the talent ‘sucking sound’)

    Jason runs a thought experiment on spinning out assets like YouTube, Instagram, WhatsApp, AWS, and opening iOS to alternative app stores. The panel contrasts startup upside (less gatekeeping, more opportunity) with consumer tradeoffs (loss of subsidies, potential paid services) and the hidden ‘payment’ of personal data.

    • Breakup scenario: spin-outs and unbundling defaults/preinstalls
    • Startups: reduced platform leverage and more competitive access
    • Talent capture: Big Tech compensation discourages engineers from founding/joining startups
    • Consumers: may pay more directly, but gain transparency about data-value exchange
    • Privacy as a differentiated product (Apple’s posture vs ad-driven models)
  6. 25:43 – 27:48

    Platform self-preferencing case study: Yelp/Google and the ITA Software → Google Flights story

    The hosts use travel search as a concrete example of a platform moving from infrastructure to competing against customers. They discuss Google’s acquisition of ITA Software, how surfacing answers directly in search improves user convenience, and why it can still harm competition long-term.

    • Yelp’s complaint: Google leveraging search dominance to favor its own offerings
    • ITA Software acquisition as buying the ‘engine’ behind competitors’ flight search
    • Consumer benefit: fewer clicks and better UX by answering directly in search
    • Competitive harm: intermediaries and vertical startups get squeezed out
    • Khan-style argument: long-term competition matters beyond short-term price/UX
  7. 27:48 – 35:41

    Sacks on PayPal vs eBay/Visa/Mastercard: why antitrust threats matter for innovation

    Sacks explains how PayPal depended on access to dominant platforms and networks, and how antitrust pressure deterred incumbents from ‘switching off’ a startup. The story supports the view that credible enforcement can preserve innovation pathways even when consumers like the incumbent’s integrated product.

    • PayPal launched on top of eBay’s marketplace; risk of platform exclusion
    • Antitrust ‘saber-rattling’ used to prevent eBay from cutting off access
    • Similar dynamics with Visa/MasterCard network dependence
    • Claim: without enforcement threat, monopolies/duopolies stifle innovation
    • Reinforces common-carrier/gatekeeper framing for key infrastructure
  8. 35:41 – 47:01

    Apple gag order and DOJ subpoenas: silent data seizure, due process, and bipartisan parallels

    The group unpacks reports that DOJ subpoenaed Apple for account data tied to figures including Don McGahn and members of Congress, under secrecy orders. They argue the core issue is due process: cloud-held records enable government end-runs around notifying targets, while companies have weak incentives to resist.

    • DOJ subpoenas + gag orders prevent targets from knowing/involving counsel
    • Debate over intent: legitimate leak probe vs politically motivated surveillance
    • Comparison to Obama-era AP subpoenas; ‘the real scandal is what’s legal’
    • Proposal: mandatory notice to targets (or tighter standards for secrecy)
    • Conflict-of-interest concern: Big Tech may comply to avoid regulatory retaliation
  9. 47:01 – 52:32

    From privacy to hyper-transparency: philosophical detour and scale of subpoena machine

    Chamath explores a thought experiment where everyone’s information is broadly visible, contrasting it with the fear of centralized control by governments or firms. The hosts return to practical stakes: subpoena volume, low opposition rates, and the principle that targets—not platforms—should be able to contest seizures.

    • Sci-fi reference: ‘The Light of Other Days’ and a transparent-information world
    • Key anxiety: concentration of information power, not information itself
    • Due process framing: Fifth Amendment implications of secret investigations
    • Claimed scale: hundreds of subpoenas per week; few challenged
    • Need for structural safeguards rather than relying on platforms to protect users
  10. 52:32 – 59:40

    COVID’s ‘psychic shadow’: lingering mask rules, zeroism, and emergency power incentives

    With deaths and cases falling, the hosts discuss why some institutions keep mask mandates and how social norms lag behind data. They critique ‘zeroism’ and extended emergency powers, arguing incentives (funding, control, liability) can prolong restrictions beyond clear public-health necessity.

    • Landlords/employers maintaining masks despite lifted mandates
    • Post-crisis behavior persistence (9/11 TSA analogy)
    • ‘Zeroism’ critique: waiting for zero cases as an impossible threshold
    • Newsom emergency powers and the politics/incentives of extending them
    • Expectation of litigation over private policies and employee guidelines
  11. 59:40 – 1:00:22

    Censorship and shifting ‘truth’: YouTube removals, ivermectin debate, and science as process

    The discussion pivots to content moderation and how pandemic-era policies narrowed allowable debate, even among experts. They argue science advances through challenging assumptions and warn that political alignment increasingly substitutes for evidence-based discourse.

    • YouTube removing Bret Weinstein discussion; contrast with Apple hosting audio
    • Claim: platforms shouldn’t be ‘gatekeepers of truth’
    • Science defined as iterative process, not fixed doctrine
    • Political sorting (‘red vs blue’) distorts truth-seeking and discourse
    • Concern about labeling/deplatforming during uncertainty
  12. 1:00:22 – 1:09:21

    Jon Stewart’s lab-leak bit on Colbert: comedy as a release valve for taboo topics

    The hosts break down Stewart’s Wuhan-lab satire, why it landed so hard, and how similar claims were recently censored online. They also note Colbert’s discomfort and discuss how comedy can puncture consensus narratives and re-open discussion space.

    • Stewart’s core joke: the outbreak matches the lab’s focus and location
    • Observation: same content would’ve triggered bans months earlier
    • Colbert’s attempts to qualify vs Stewart’s relentless riffing
    • Comedy’s role: spotlighting contradictions and pretension
    • Broader point: society shifting back toward open debate post-crisis
  13. 1:09:21 – 1:20:57

    California wildfire outlook: drought, snowpack collapse, carbon math, and forest management tradeoffs

    The hosts review worsening drought indicators and the mechanics of fire risk—tinder, heat, and wind—alongside carbon release impacts. They debate controlled burns, land management costs, political obstacles, and the likelihood of another severe season across the western U.S.

    • Snowpack near zero; widespread extreme drought and early-season acreage burned
    • Last year’s scale: millions of acres; fires emit enormous carbon (vs vehicles)
    • Controlled burns vs public resistance (smoke, local politics)
    • Economics: forest management costs vs carbon-credit incentives
    • Utility shutoffs to prevent line-spark fires; expectation of brownouts and ‘Martian skies’
  14. 1:20:57 – 1:27:33

    Escape plans and wrap: leaving California, summer moves, and heartfelt besties sign-off

    The conversation turns personal: relocating during fire season, considering Austin/Miami, and preparing homes with generators and air filters. They close with appreciation for the audience and for each other, including a shout-out to a listener note that underscored the show’s role during the pandemic.

    • Personal contingency planning: generators, air filtration, temporary relocation
    • Austin and Miami discussed as appealing alternatives
    • Listener ‘Sam’ note and the podcast as social support during the pandemic
    • Emotional ‘love you’ exchange and running jokes about social awkwardness
    • Final banter and sign-off

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