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All-In PodcastAll-In Podcast

E39: West coast super drought & climate crisis, Nuclear virtue signaling, chaos in SF & more

Show Notes: 0:00 Super drought & climate crisis on the west coast 25:53 Nuclear energy, virtue signaling, cognitive laziness, positive signals of optimism 36:50 Friedberg's "anti-science" theory 44:48 San Francisco chaos, "crime is down" controversy, viral crime videos 59:42 Are Israel's recent COVID vaccine findings problematic? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: Nuclear energy timeline https://drive.google.com/file/d/1GSIb-vyIvZalcE9LCBFqbQjsvE4uu-c-/view?usp=sharing The Grid: The Fraying Wires Between Americans and Our Energy Future https://www.amazon.com/Grid-Fraying-Between-Americans-Energy-ebook/dp/B01DM9Q6CQ CapRadio - Newsom Misled The Public About Wildfire Prevention Efforts Ahead Of Worst Fire Season On Record https://www.capradio.org/articles/2021/06/23/newsom-misled-the-public-about-wildfire-prevention-efforts-ahead-of-worst-fire-season-on-record/ MarketWatch - Target shortens hours in San Francisco due to ‘alarming rise’ in shoplifting https://www.marketwatch.com/story/target-shortens-hours-in-san-francisco-due-to-alarming-rise-in-shoplifting-11625688560 Israel Ministry of Health - Decline in Vaccine Effectiveness Against Infection and Symptomatic Illness https://www.gov.il/en/departments/news/05072021-03 Tweets: https://twitter.com/friedberg/status/1413044148735672322 https://twitter.com/michelletandler/status/1411362359734542343 https://twitter.com/michelletandler/status/1411943649231851522 https://twitter.com/cyantist/status/1412478525014085632 https://twitter.com/briansugar/status/1412507632267534340 https://twitter.com/activeasian/status/1412252070829182976 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1412160046046203909 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1412163715676327950 https://twitter.com/ThomasSowell/status/1412858750747217922 https://twitter.com/robkhenderson/status/1412899033933307911 https://twitter.com/sfchronicle/status/1409170317826793474 https://twitter.com/briansugar/status/1412507632267534340 #allin #tech #news

Jason CalacanishostChamath PalihapitiyahostDavid Friedberghost
Jul 8, 20211h 10mWatch on YouTube ↗

At a glance

WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT

Super-drought, nuclear politics, San Francisco chaos, and Delta doubts

  1. This All-In Podcast episode weaves together California’s worsening mega-drought, structural failures in water and energy policy, and the political risks facing Governor Gavin Newsom during fire season. The hosts argue for both near-term emergency preparedness (air quality, power backups, community centers) and long-term infrastructure like nuclear power, desalination, and smarter water management, while criticizing environmentalist opposition to nuclear as performative. They then pivot to San Francisco’s crime and governance, alleging data manipulation, ideological capture, and intimidation tactics by DA Chesa Boudin’s office, prompting calls for his recall and even leaving California. The show closes with a discussion of the COVID Delta variant’s impact on vaccine effectiveness, the risk of renewed restrictions, and the global need to accelerate vaccination to slow viral evolution.

IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING

5 ideas

Prepare now for acute drought and fire impacts, not just climate theory.

With record-low soil moisture, depleted snowpack, reduced hydro power and high heat, the hosts argue California should be running daily briefings and pre-positioning masks, air purifiers, generators, and community cooling/power centers before fire season spikes AQI and forces outdoor work and schools to shut down.

Long-term resilience requires serious investment in nuclear, desalination, and grid reform.

They contend that nuclear power paired with desalination could create energy and water abundance, stabilizing agriculture and the grid, but U.S. projects are stymied by litigation, regulation, and political timidity, while countries like France and China move faster.

Water scarcity is as much political and structural as it is physical.

Most California water goes to agriculture (roughly 10x residential use), yet pricing is distorted, leaks and usage are poorly metered, and politically powerful interests (e.g., large growers) shape policy; at the same time, large groundwater and rights-based solutions are blocked by politics and public backlash.

San Francisco’s public safety crisis is compounded by narrative management and loss of trust.

The panel claims DA Chesa Boudin’s office is downgrading charges to make crime stats look better, while allies in media and academia amplify the line that “crime is falling” and label critics as racists, which they see as Orwellian and corrosive to democratic accountability.

Anti-nuclear sentiment among climate advocates may be undermining climate goals.

They argue that overreactions to Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, and Fukushima led to abandoning a low-carbon, reliable energy source, pushing Europe (e.g., Germany) into dirtier or more fragile options, while ignoring the environmental costs of large-scale solar, wind, and battery minerals.

WORDS WORTH SAVING

5 quotes

This is almost like where we were going into COVID... it may not happen, but the probability is high enough that something bad may happen that we should probably start to get prepared for it.

David Friedberg

If we stopped flying after two airline crashes, where would the world be? Now impose that on nuclear energy.

Chamath Palihapitiya

No one will really understand politics until they understand that politicians are not trying to solve our problems. They're trying to solve their own problems.

David Sacks (quoting Thomas Sowell and expanding)

There’s not a shortage of water in the world. It is a function of building desalination plants if that’s what we need.

David Sacks

Pessimists get to be right and optimists get to be rich.

David Sacks

Western US mega-drought, fire risk, and grid stress in CaliforniaShort-term climate adaptation vs. long-term infrastructure (nuclear, desalination, grid)Water politics, agriculture, pricing, and rights in California and the SouthwestSan Francisco crime, DA Chesa Boudin, and alleged data/political manipulationNuclear energy vs. renewables and environmentalist opposition (“nuclear virtue signaling”)Cultural distrust of technology, regulation, and America’s ‘vetocracy’COVID-19 Delta variant, waning vaccine effectiveness, and vaccination strategy

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