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Why Iran economic collapse could precede political collapse

Sanctions cut Iranian incomes to $200 a month. Microsoft pledges grid funding; FERC rules and a Cerebras deal reshape the data center power calculus.

Jason CalacanishostDavid FriedberghostChamath Palihapitiyahost
Jan 17, 20261h 10mWatch on YouTube ↗

Episode Details

EPISODE INFO

Released
January 17, 2026
Duration
1h 10m
Channel
All-In Podcast
Watch on YouTube
▶ Open ↗

EPISODE DESCRIPTION

(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:18) Iran's breaking point: regime change coming? (14:28) Solving energy prices: Microsoft first hyperscaler to "pay its own way" and subsidize residential electric costs (31:18) OpenAI's compute deal with Cerebras, the renaissance in decode silicon (35:09) Billionaire backlash in California: Wealth Tax exodus (56:13) Greenland acquisition: Why it's crucial Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31 https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026 https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0364 https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115884759090137876 https://www.ft.com/content/3f392c9b-c07d-42f5-b000-0a7347ad1ec0 https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/openai-forges-multibillion-dollar-computing-partnership-with-cerebras-746a20e4 https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/openai-signs-compute-deal-worth-least-10-billion-chipmaker-cerebras?rc=f8fu8f https://x.com/chamath/status/2011486582386106387 https://x.com/friedberg/status/2011703965143220457 https://x.com/chamath/status/2011197387830935777 https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027 https://x.com/chamath/status/2011197387830935777 #allin #tech #news

SPEAKERS

  • Jason Calacanis

    host
  • David Friedberg

    host
  • Chamath Palihapitiya

    host

EPISODE SUMMARY

In this episode of All-In Podcast, featuring Jason Calacanis and David Sacks, Why Iran economic collapse could precede political collapse explores iran unrest, data-center energy costs, and Trump’s Greenland ambitions debated today The episode opens with banter about the All-In team being invited to Davos, then moves into a fast-changing discussion about protests and potential regime instability in Iran, emphasizing uncertainty and the role of sanctions and information warfare.

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