The Diary of a CEOIran War Expert: “I Worry They Will Attack Us On Home Soil!” | Robert Pape
Episode Details
EPISODE INFO
- Released
- July 23, 2026
- Duration
- 1h 41m
- Channel
- The Diary of a CEO
- Watch on YouTube
- ▶ Open ↗
EPISODE DESCRIPTION
The War everyone assumed was over may be about to become something far worse than we could have expected. Professor Robert Pape explains exactly why the deadliest phase of this war is still ahead, and how this could trigger a wave of terror across the world. Robert Pape is a Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago and director of the Chicago Project on Security and Threats. A renowned political scientist, he has advised every White House since 9/11 on military strategy and is the author of the upcoming book “Our Own Worst Enemies: America and the Age of Violent Populism”. He explains:
- Why the US bombing campaign failed to topple Iran’s regime, even after killing its top leaders
- How Iran seized control of 20% of the world’s oil supply within days of the war starting
- Why the failed agreement handed Iran a path to becoming the most powerful country in the region
- Why both China and Russia gain from America staying stuck in the Middle East
- Why he thinks US ground troops could be next
- Why he thinks there will be a clash between Congress and the president over who really controls the power to go to war
00:00:00 Intro 00:02:42 Why Robert Pape Isn't Surprised 00:04:24 Why the US Blocked the Strait of Hormuz 00:05:43 The Secret JD Vance Peace Deal (MOU) 00:08:33 Iran as Regional Hegemon, Explained 00:10:00 How Do We Know This Is the Real Document? 00:21:25 Did the War Actually Make Iran Stronger? 00:22:26 The Viral Tweet: How Is Iran Still Hitting US Bases? 00:24:57 Trump Says Iran Is Destroyed — So How? 00:25:59 Where Iran Hides Its Drones ("A Truck in California") 00:29:24 Iran Is Building New Drones the Whole Time 00:32:37 Are We on the Verge of a Global Economic Crisis? 00:36:47 What "Owning the L" Would Actually Look Like 00:38:57 Trump: The US Runs Out of Oil in 4 Weeks 00:40:52 The Midterm Elections Time Bomb 00:52:33 The Vietnam Parallel: LBJ's Trap 00:55:26 Can the US Force the Strait of Hormuz Open? 01:03:27 A 70% Chance of Boots on the Ground in Iran 01:14:59 Why Invading (Not Bombing) Sparks Suicide Attacks 01:24:25 When the Two Crises Collide: A New 1960s? 01:25:21 Will Trump Lose the Midterms? 01:27:00 Is the US Running Out of Weapons? 01:29:00 What Is Trump's Real Objective? 01:34:39 Pape's Prediction for the Next Few Months Follow Robert:
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SPEAKERS
Robert Pape
guestPolitical scientist and war/terrorism expert at the University of Chicago, known for research on suicide terrorism and forecasting conflict dynamics.
Steven Bartlett
hostEntrepreneur and host of The Diary of a CEO.
EPISODE SUMMARY
In this episode of The Diary of a CEO, featuring Robert Pape and Steven Bartlett, Iran War Expert: “I Worry They Will Attack Us On Home Soil!” | Robert Pape explores war escalation trap: Hormuz blockade, economic shock, boots-on-ground risk rising Pape says airpower and blockade tactics predictably failed to topple Iran’s regime, and the war has instead strengthened Iran by enabling it to control the Strait of Hormuz and threaten global shipping.
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