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Joe Rogan Experience #1453 - Eric Weinstein

Eric Weinstein is a mathematician and economist, and he is also the managing director at Thiel Capital. His new podcast “The Portal” is available now on Apple Podcasts & Spotify. @EricWeinsteinPhD

Joe RoganhostEric Weinsteinguest
Apr 3, 20203h 2mWatch on YouTube ↗

EVERY SPOKEN WORD

  1. 0:0015:00

    What's up, brother? How…

    1. JR

      What's up, brother? How are you?

    2. EW

      Hey, Joe. How are you?

    3. JR

      Good. You hanging in there?

    4. EW

      I have not been off of my property more or less in two weeks, so it's crazy to see another human being.

    5. JR

      Yeah, I don't think this is healthy for us.

    6. EW

      I know.

    7. JR

      This lockdown shit. Everybody's so weirded out. You wanna run into people walking dogs, like, they don't want the dogs to get close to each other, like, "Hi." Everyone's across the street, "Hi."

    8. EW

      And, and I'm a hugger, right?

    9. JR

      Me too.

    10. EW

      And we're in California, so I'm a hugger in California, and all of my instincts are wrong.

    11. JR

      Everything's all messed up. Everyone's confused. The... Here's the big question: how long does it take before we normalize and go back? Like, let's say the end of July, everyone announces, "We got this thing locked down. We have a viable treatment. It's no different than the flu. We get you this chloroquine with, uh, Z-Pak," or whatever the current treatment is.

    12. EW

      Yeah.

    13. JR

      When do people start hugging again?

    14. EW

      What do you mean? It's not... It's gonna be crazy. Yeah, I mean, I think that the idea is we're all so starved for touch-

    15. JR

      Yeah.

    16. EW

      ... that, like, we're gonna have a, uh, a jubilee like you've never seen. People are gonna greet each other with tongues, and we're almost like just acquaintances.

    17. JR

      Well, I don't think that's a good idea.

    18. EW

      (laughs)

    19. JR

      Uh, there's still colds and cooties and all that other stuff.

    20. EW

      I know, but I think-

    21. JR

      (laughs)

    22. EW

      ... I think everybody's losing their shit.

    23. JR

      They definitely are. I've been talking to a lot of friends that are on the, um, extremely cautious side, let's say that. And, you know, they're not going anywhere, and they're wearing gloves and masks when they step outside their house to go do something in the backyard. And then they put the glove and mask down, and they spray it with Lysol when they come inside and... (breathes deeply)

    24. EW

      It's not healthy, and-

    25. JR

      Mm-hmm.

    26. EW

      ... it is also healthy. I mean, the idea that we have not been tested in so long, it's good to remember also that this stuff is live and real, and it has always been live and real. And, you know, if it was possible to live without this stuff, that would be one thing, but the 75-year nap that we've been in since 1945 is itself the greatest threat to all of us.

    27. JR

      Right.

    28. EW

      And, and, and our preparedness is just a wonderful indicator, um, where you actually get to see, this is the quality of your experts, this is the quality of your leadership, this is what they look like when put under stress.

    29. JR

      That's true, right? That is a good... That's a good thing. And I'm impressed with the medical community. I'm impressed with the people that are recognizing that this is a huge problem. Not so impressed with the administration of a lot of these hospitals that haven't prepared in terms of, like, masks and ventilators and a lot of these other things. Not so impressed with politicians, but also, it just seems like everyone, like you said, was in this nap state and hadn't really been tested. And really, globally, no one had been tested since the pandemic of 1918 like this, right?

    30. EW

      '68, uh, which I had, I had the Hong Kong flu, and '57 were sort of the best parallels to this.

  2. 15:0030:00

    Right. Yeah, we don't…

    1. EW

      flights, product. She... Wh- whatever she's doing, she's- she's heroically like taking a ton of this on her shoulders and not, um... I- I- I'm hesitating because I don't even know what I'm allowed to say.

    2. JR

      Right. Yeah, we don't have to talk anymore then.

    3. EW

      Yeah, you should, you should-

    4. JR

      She's a, uh, she's a very interesting person. I'm really glad you introduced me to her. She's fascinating. This, like, this is, uh, a great time to see what people are actually made out of, you know?

    5. EW

      Yeah, who's, who's heroic? The heroic impulse.

    6. JR

      Sure. And- and who can keep their shit together when things go sideways, when things get Western, as it were.

    7. EW

      Well, let me ask you a question.

    8. JR

      Okay.

    9. EW

      Of all of the presidential candidates that were in the race, like, everybody who's dropped out in... As well, which of them would you want in a COVID situation?

    10. JR

      Tulsi.

    11. EW

      Tulsi. That's... By the way, that was my answer as well.

    12. JR

      Instantly.

    13. EW

      I don't... I didn't want her f- foreign policy, that's one of the reasons I wasn't like gung-ho on Tulsi. Uh, didn't like some of the stuff about, um, in India there's some issues about Modi and- and I don't wanna get into that. But if you ask like, who would you want to, like, who has that kind of locked down military, "We have to make sense, the bullshit needs to leave the room," the odd thing is it's a millennial female of color that I would immediately want to subordinate to.

    14. JR

      Well, she's, um-

    15. EW

      'Cause she would also be no bullshit.

    16. JR

      Yeah.

    17. EW

      She- she had the strength to call out all of the nonsense. She would... I- I'm positive she would just say, "This is unacceptable. What are we doing? This is emergency times, we- we gotta suspend these issues. We have to get these things to our, uh, doctors, nurses, emergency technicians." I mean, look, I- I should say that I'm trying to be like smiley and positive, but I am just burning with rage. I cannot believe-

    18. JR

      That- that things weren't set up correctly?

    19. EW

      Th- the scale of the screw-up and trying to even understand a government that I cannot trust as far as I can throw it, to- to- to feel contempt for the Surgeon General of the United States, to say that the World Health Organization is a danger to world health, to say that the CDC is lying. I hate being in a position where I believe these things.

    20. JR

      Yeah. Um, but about Tulsi, uh, she's- she's a person of real character, you know. I don't see her like I see a lot of these people that are running for president. I see them wearing masks, you know. I mean, I don't even need to name names but they- they're- they're doing their best impression of a politician like a shitty comedian will do their best impression of Dave Attell, you know. That's the- the best example that someone gave me of, uh, like the- the comparison. There's- there's- there's a style of communicating that a lot of them have adopted to try to appear. And you can tell that they're coached, they're trying to appear presidential. She's just, that's who she is, man. I've hung out with her off camera, on camera. I've seen her, just the way she communicates with people. Now, I don't know her down to the bone, but what I see, I'm very impressed with and she's developed her character over two tours of duty overseas. I mean-

    21. EW

      Again, who- who volunteers, who takes this-

    22. JR

      Yeah.

    23. EW

      ... stuff on? This is the weird thing because I, you know, really, before COVID, I was in this Bernie Yang Tulsi mindset which is just, what is the fur ball that I can shove down the throat of the DNC to make the party fall apart under that Hillary Clinton overhang?

    24. JR

      Mm-hmm.

    25. EW

      The weird thing is in an actual pandemic...... I am almost positive that she has the stuff.

    26. JR

      Yeah.

    27. EW

      It may not be her year.

    28. JR

      Right. She's only 38.

    29. EW

      She's only 38.

    30. JR

      Yeah.

  3. 30:0045:00

    Yeah. …

    1. EW

      is no mainstream left. What we're really talking about is legacy institutional media.

    2. JR

      Yeah.

    3. EW

      And the great danger is that assume that the mainstream completely exits the building and it's only, you know, 10,000 people trading bullshit amongst themselves but they also control all the institutions. So, like, you, the world, gets to keep reality.

    4. JR

      Mm-hmm.

    5. EW

      And we, the institutions, agree to traffic in bullshit, you can make lots of jokes at our expense, but we are also going to be figuring out whether we're gonna stock masks or what our farming policy is or, um, how the US military should be deployed and where, uh, we should send troops to protect oil fields and all these kind of things. And th- that's what's concerning me is, is that a lot of us are settling for being right and having them look like idiots. And their point is, "Okay, fine. We'll continue on. We'll look like idiots, but we also still control the levers."

    6. JR

      So f-... with legacy media, your, your assertion is that legacy media has a much more impactful presence in terms of foreign policy, in terms of dealing with, uh, pandemic, the response, like things along those lines? Like-

    7. EW

      So let's play with it and see where it goes.

    8. JR

      Okay.

    9. EW

      If you think about Wikipedia, Wikipedia might have a rule that says, "We allow ... We, we don't do original s- research, so please link to authoritative sources." And you say, "Okay, great. What are authoritative sources?"

    10. JR

      Mm-hmm.

    11. EW

      So now the authoritative source is the CDC or the WHO or the surgeon general or the New York Times or CNN or MSNBC. Like i- if you have this c-

    12. JR

      But is MSNBC ... Like with ... If someone just goes on, on the air and talks about something-

    13. EW

      Well, let's have a listen. See, I, I-

    14. JR

      ... is that an authoritative source? Or is it-

    15. EW

      You're-

    16. JR

      Wouldn't it be like an expert in health, like someone who's gone over peer-reviewed studies, someone who is well-educated in-

    17. EW

      Who's the surgeon, who's the surgeon general right now?

    18. JR

      I don't know.

    19. EW

      Or CDC? Is that Redfield?

    20. JR

      I don't know.

    21. EW

      I'm sure he's a competent physician. I also think that there's a whole thing about pretending that masks don't work. "Masks don't work in the general population. Please don't buy them. Our healthcare people need them."

    22. JR

      Is that what they're saying?

    23. EW

      Well, that's what they've been saying, right? And so the, the issue is that you have some piece of nonsense. So the, the, the orig-

    24. JR

      That is a piece of nonsense because California's now changing their recommendation and saying, "If you're going out in public, you should wear a mask."

    25. EW

      It's not just nonsense, it's deadly nonsense. It's deadly physician-killing nonsense. I mean, I'm trying ... Smiles, everyone.

    26. JR

      Smile.

    27. EW

      (laughs) Um, yeah. I mean, what we have is a, is a situation in which we knew that the mask and personal protective equipment supplies are wildly off, to say nothing of ventilators and ICU beds. And now, what do we do about it? So we have rules like, "Please don't bring masks to work because it scares the patients," or, um, "Please don't, uh, wear homemade masks, um, because th- they might actually be more, uh, germ-filled (laughs) or virus-filled." So you're back-propagating s- what you wish to be true to get the action that you're looking for. What we have is a prisoner's dilemma, where if everybody runs and buys up masks, who ... Like, the people we need to be protected most are the heroes who are actually dealing with, you know, multiple COVID patients and taking huge amounts of viral load. So there's no question in my mind that those, those are the people that, as a society, if you would level with us ... Like, there is a speech to give, which would go like this. Um, you know, "My fellow Americans, uh, as Readiness Czar, I am forced to tender my resignation effective Friday this week. Uh, I have failed to heed many of the warnings in our academic literature. Because our s- reserves are severely depleted, it is imperative that we not suffer further loss of life, and therefore, I am, uh, forced to make a, an unusual request. Having failed you, I'm asking everyone who stockpiled masks for personal use to think about doing something sacrificial for the good of us all. Our heroes are currently exposed to the coronavirus and taking huge amounts of viral load, and I'm asking you to donate any unused masks that you have, uh, to this population, as we are desperately trying to replenish our stocks. Please continue to shelter in place and recognize that the benefit to you is minor and the benefit to us all is major. And this will be following your heroic impulse to bring us back together as a nation. Thank you."

    28. JR

      First of all, is there a Readiness Czar?

    29. EW

      No.

    30. JR

      Okay. Second of all, no one's gonna say that. They're, they're never gonna admit-

  4. 45:001:00:00

    Yes. …

    1. EW

      you saw this interaction with the, uh, was it Hong Kong TV asking about-

    2. JR

      Yes.

    3. EW

      ... the WHO about Taiwan.

    4. JR

      Taiwan. Yeah, that was insane. Well, explain that, because it's fucking insane. It, it was insane to watch. First of all, he pretended, the, the head of the WHO pretended he didn't hear them, and then he, he had them say it again-

    5. EW

      So first of all, he moves like ...

    6. JR

      Yes.

    7. EW

      You c- you can see his hand-

    8. JR

      Yes.

    9. EW

      ... like go to cut off the connection.

    10. JR

      And he hung up.

    11. EW

      He says, "I couldn't hear." He says, "Oh, I'll repeat the question." He's like, "No, let's go onto the next one."

    12. JR

      Yeah.

    13. EW

      Well, why would he wanna go onto the next one if he didn't hear it? Come on.

    14. JR

      Yeah.

    15. EW

      I don't even have ... H- here's the point. We are so afraid-

    16. JR

      But e- explain what he did to people that don't know, because people are listening here and they're a little confused.

    17. EW

      He was asked about the Taiwanese response-

    18. JR

      Yes.

    19. EW

      ... to the COVID epidemic, and he didn't wanna say Taiwan, because China claims that Taiwan is part of China.

    20. JR

      Yeah.

    21. EW

      And because China exercises so much influence over the WHO, he wanted to say some very general thing, which is like, "I think all provinces of China have been doing an excellent job."

    22. JR

      Yeah, that's exactly what he said, yeah.

    23. EW

      Meaning a different country, Taiwan, um, because there's a dispute. And so what do you think China's most interested in? China, P- the People's Republic of China, Communist China, Communist Chinese want no recognition of their existing something called Taiwan.

    24. JR

      And why does the World Health Organization give into that?

    25. EW

      Well, how do, how do different nations get control of things? Um, you know, we have influence at the UN, and we've caused the UN to do things that are America-centric. Um, you know, other countries have influence and, and you, you do this by being on particular committees, rotating directorships, who pays, uh, the cost. I, I don't know how, uh, the WHO seems to be so enmeshed with China, and I, I don't want to opine about these things because I wanna keep my voice-

    26. JR

      Right, but it-

    27. EW

      ... cl-

    28. JR

      ... it spoke volumes to watch that guy do that, do that little dance-

    29. EW

      Okay, to me-

    30. JR

      ... trying to avoid saying Taiwan.

  5. 1:00:001:15:00

    Right? And so there…

    1. JR

    2. EW

      Right? And so there is an important partnership across this. If you think about, um... You remember the film Inglourious Basterds? Did you like that one?

    3. JR

      Sure. Loved it.

    4. EW

      Okay. Lieutenant Aldo Ray is this interface between regular army and the psychotic Jews who will kill Nazis given any opportunity. And you need people who interface between, like, the bad boys and the regular units.

    5. JR

      Hm.

    6. EW

      And these are incredibly important, um, what is the plural of nexus? Nexi? I don't know. Uh, w- we got into trouble the first time with, uh, octopus.

    7. JR

      Octopi.

    8. EW

      I- no, it's actually-

    9. JR

      It's not octopuses?

    10. EW

      The, the, the recommended one is octopodes, spelled, spelled octopodes.

    11. JR

      Really?

    12. EW

      Yeah.

    13. JR

      Whoa. But I've seen octopi and-

    14. EW

      Yeah. Well, people, people use oc- they, they use, uh, octopuses, octopi.

    15. JR

      There it is. Plural form of nexus is nexuses or nexus.

    16. EW

      Okay. (laughs)

    17. JR

      Oh, boy.

    18. EW

      Jamie with the win.

    19. JR

      How-

    20. EW

      Thank you.

    21. JR

      ... how weird that it's either or, that it could just be nexus, the plural form of nexus is... Well, that makes sense, I guess.

    22. EW

      So these nexus-

    23. JR

      ... ness.

    24. EW

      Uh-

    25. JR

      Sounds good, like deer. (laughs)

    26. EW

      ... or in cr- (laughs) God.

    27. JR

      Fish.

    28. EW

      I gotta get used to it. Uh, are incredibly important and we have to keep them up. And I'm worried about the, um, corpora- the rebel end of corporate, because these corporations are starting to realize that th- their need for kayfabe is just far exceeding, um-

    29. JR

      Kayfabe?

    30. EW

      Kayfabe. Kayfabe is carnival-speak for the word "fake." And when catch wrestling devolved into professional wrestling, uh-

  6. 1:15:001:15:47

    When they're given no…

    1. EW

      express themselves moronically. Um ...

    2. JR

      When they're given no choice at all, how so?

    3. EW

      Yeah. I want a choice of an actual president that's viable. I don't have one.

    4. JR

      Right.

    5. EW

      So then you're gonna ask me, "Well, which, which of the non-viable people do you like best?"

    6. JR

      Well, this is the, this is the real i- issue with the Democratic Party. They've essentially made us all morons-

    7. EW

      Yeah.

    8. JR

      ... with this Joe Biden thing.

    9. EW

      (laughs)

    10. JR

      They really have. They've made us all morons.

    11. EW

      Can you imagine ... Who do we need ... I mean, ca- who ... I never-

    12. JR

      I never vote for that guy.

    13. EW

      I can't vote for him.

    14. JR

      I can't vote for him.

    15. EW

      I can't vote for Trump.

    16. JR

      There, I would, I'd rather vote for Trump than him. I, I don't think he could handle anything. I mean, you're relying entirely on his cabinet. Like if you wanna talk about a, an individual leader that can communicate, he can't do that. And I, and we don't even know what the fuck he's gonna be like after a year in office. The pressure of being the president of the United States-

Episode duration: 3:02:05

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