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The Joe Rogan ExperienceThe Joe Rogan Experience

Joe Rogan Experience #2234 - Marc Andreessen

This episode is brought to you by Blinds.com. With free samples sent directly to you, virtual design help and pro install services, you'll never shop for custom window treatments anywhere else. Use code ROGAN at checkout for $50 off purchases of $500 or more http://tinyurl.com/bdz4bccf Marc Andreessen is an entrepreneur, investor, and software engineer. He is co-creator of the world's first widely used internet browser, Mosaic, cofounder and general partner at the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, and cohost of "The Ben & Marc Show" podcast. www.a16z.com https://pmarca.substack.com

Marc AndreessenguestJoe Roganhost
Nov 26, 20243h 8mWatch on YouTube ↗

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  1. 0:000:40

    Post‑election relief and the “split timeline” theory

    1. NA

      (drumbeats) Joe Rogan podcast, check it out.

    2. MA

      The Joe Rogan Experience.

    3. JR

      Train by day, Joe Rogan podcast by night. All day. (instrumental music plays) All right. Hello, Mark.

    4. MA

      Hello.

    5. JR

      Good to see you.

    6. MA

      (laughs) Thanks for having me back.

    7. JR

      My pleasure. Good to see you. Well, the world's still, uh, functional.

    8. MA

      It's amazing.

    9. JR

      Yeah, amazing. Um, we, we wanted to talk, you wanted to talk about the post-election, sort of a wrap-up-

    10. MA

      Yeah.

    11. JR

      ... and sort of where we stand. Are you happy?

    12. MA

      Very happy. It is-

    13. JR

      It was a weird one.

    14. MA

      ... morning in America.

    15. JR

      That was, uh, one of the first times ever I felt hopeful-

    16. MA

      Yeah.

    17. JR

      ... after an election. Like, you should've seen the green room at the comedy club.

    18. MA

      Yeah.

    19. JR

      Everybody was like, "Yes."

    20. MA

      Yes.

    21. JR

      Whew.

  2. 0:402:41

    Assassination attempt: unanswered questions vs institutional incompetence

    1. MA

      So, my theory is the timeline, l- like in a science fiction movie, the timeline has split twice-

    2. JR

      Ah.

    3. MA

      ... in the last, in the last, like, nine months.

    4. JR

      What was the first split?

    5. MA

      It was when Trump got shot.

    6. JR

      Oh. Yeah.

    7. MA

      And th- and there was that moment where the world was gonna head in two totally different directions.

    8. JR

      Right. If he got hit ...

    9. MA

      Yeah.

    10. JR

      Yeah.

    11. MA

      And we saw the most conspicuous display of physical bravery I've ever seen-

    12. JR

      Right, afterwards.

    13. MA

      ... at that moment. Exactly.

    14. JR

      Yeah.

    15. MA

      And it could've gone v- you know, horrifically badly for the entire world after that. So, that was timeline split number one. So, that other timeline is out there somewhere-

    16. JR

      Yeah.

    17. MA

      ... and I don't wanna visit it.

    18. JR

      Boy, imagine being stuck there. What kind of horrible karma?

    19. MA

      No.

    20. JR

      I mean, that's a totalitarian, dystopian nightmare.

    21. MA

      That's the bad place.

    22. JR

      Yeah.

    23. MA

      Um, and then, uh, timelines split again on Election Day.

    24. JR

      I know you're a, you fancy a good conspiracy theory.

    25. MA

      Yes.

    26. JR

      And, uh, that, that gentleman being able to pull off what he did-

    27. MA

      Mm-hmm.

    28. JR

      ... and, you know, the way it happened, the way it all went down is, it's a Lee Harvey Oswald 2.0.

    29. MA

      Yeah. Oh, yeah.

    30. JR

      Clearly.

  3. 2:415:40

    The two‑day news cycle and collective memory collapse

    1. JR

      There's also a confidence in the fact that the, uh, the news timeline today is so rapid.

    2. MA

      Mm-hmm.

    3. JR

      The, when things are relevant and people are paying attention to them is, you have a couple days.

    4. MA

      Yeah.

    5. JR

      Even with an assassination attempt on a former president-

    6. MA

      Yeah.

    7. JR

      ... where- wh- where people were murdered.

    8. MA

      Yeah.

    9. JR

      And there's ... It's in and out.

    10. MA

      Yeah, that's right. I think it's exactly ... I think the news cycle now is like a two to three day social media firestorm, and we just cycle from one to the next.

    11. JR

      Yeah.

    12. MA

      And we have the memory of goldfish and ... Right? They, you know, things, right, things that would've been era-defining just come and go with astonishing speed, uh, and shock. By the way, I- I should say, I don't think there was a cons- I- I- I doubt there was a conspiracy. I think anything's possible. I think we just, we have a confidence collapse, and I think we saw that on display when the- when the director at the time, you know, testified. Uh-

    13. JR

      Well, there's all the elements that it could've been a conspiracy, right?

    14. MA

      It- it could've, but this is kind of the thing-

    15. JR

      All of them.

    16. MA

      ... which is just like, it also could've been-

    17. JR

      Right.

    18. MA

      ... systemic confidence collapse and then it's like, okay, would it be better off for the institute, you know, if it looks like a conspiracy, right?

    19. JR

      Yeah.

    20. MA

      Like, you know. Like, w- which world ... Okay, two timelines. Which world would you, would you rather live in, the one with the conspiracies, or the one with just, like, incompetence everywhere?

    21. JR

      Well, I think you have both.

    22. MA

      Right.

    23. JR

      Simultaneously.

    24. MA

      Right.

    25. JR

      I don't think it's binary.

    26. MA

      Right.

    27. JR

      I- I think there's incompetence everywhere and conspiracies are legitimate. They're real.

    28. MA

      Yeah.

    29. JR

      And that one seems like conspiracy. The- the fact that his, uh, his house was professionally scrubbed. There's no social media record of this kid online. There's no nothing.

    30. MA

      He's the only kid of his generation who's that fired up about politics to have no online footprint.

  4. 5:409:22

    2020 election ‘rigging’: censorship pressure and the platform–state nexus

    1. JR

      I mean, I, like I said, after the election, I was like, "Wow. Voting works." (laughs)

    2. MA

      Yeah. Yes. (laughs) Yes. Yeah, how about that? How about that?

    3. JR

      Voting works. That's nice. Like, they don't have the system completely rigged.

    4. MA

      Yeah.

    5. JR

      And then, but they kind of ...... tried to rig it, at least with the media. The, where the real rigging in the 2020 election's, I mean, you can cast all your conspiracies upon it, as in terms of like mail-in ballots and all this jazz. But the real rigging was the collusion-

    6. MA

      Right.

    7. JR

      ... between social media companies and the government to suppress information that would have altered the effect of the election.

    8. MA

      Yeah.

    9. JR

      That's legitimate.

    10. MA

      Oh, yeah, for sure. Yeah, that was like direct interference and it was, you know, aided and abetted by a lot of former, you know, intelligence officials, and-

    11. JR

      Yeah.

    12. MA

      ... by, and by the current administration. You know, tons of pressure on censorship coming from this, you know, the current administration and all their kind of arms of the censor- censorship apparatus. Um...

    13. JR

      You have your hands in the tech community.

    14. MA

      Yeah.

    15. JR

      You have your fingers in all that jazz.

    16. MA

      Yeah.

    17. JR

      Like, what was the general attitude about all that stuff when it was revealed? How did, how did people, you know, how did your peers respond to that?

    18. MA

      I think anybody in social media, the internet companies knew it.

    19. JR

      (laughs)

    20. MA

      So I, I th- it was pretty widely understood. I mean, look, there's nothing that happened at Twitter, in the Twitter files that wasn't happening all the oth- uh, all the other companies, right?

    21. JR

      Right.

    22. MA

      So it's a, it's a consistent pattern. If you got y- the YouTube files, they would look exactly the same. And of course, we should get the YouTube files, right?

    23. JR

      Sure. Yeah.

    24. MA

      And now we probably, we probably will now with, you know, this new administration's probably gonna-

    25. JR

      Yeah.

    26. MA

      ... like carve all this stuff open, but... Yeah, no, look, it was a pattern. And then look, you know, the, the companies bear a lot of responsibility and the people in the companies, you know, made a lot of, I think, bad judgment calls. But the government, the, like, the, the Biden White House was directly exerting censorship pressure, uh, on American companies to censor American citizens.

    27. JR

      Yeah.

    28. MA

      Which I, which I think, by the way, is just flatly illegal. Like, I, I think it's actually subject to criminal charges. Like, I think there are people with criminal liability who were involved in this. So th- there was that, there were also members of Congress doing the same thing, which is also illegal. And then there was a lot of funding of outside third-party groups that were, that were bringing a lot of pressure down on censorship.

    29. JR

      Yeah.

    30. MA

      And, uh, just an example of that is there's a unit at Stanford, you know, right next door, um, you know, to us, that, um, you know, c- was the Internet censorship unit that was funded by the US government-

  5. 9:2212:53

    NGOs as government cutouts: outsourcing what the state ‘can’t’ do

    1. JR

      lose. So head to blinds.com now and grab those Black Friday deals all month long. Use the code ROGAN for $50 off when you spend $500 or more. Limited time offer, rules and restrictions apply. See blinds.com for details. One of the things that I found really kind of shocking was when they revealed how much money the Democrats had spent on the election and how much money was spent on activist groups.

    2. MA

      Yeah. Right.

    3. JR

      It's like, more than $100 million, right?

    4. MA

      Yeah. The, there's just, there's extensive government funding of polit- of, of, of politically oriented NGOs. (laughs)

    5. JR

      Yeah.

    6. MA

      NGO's one of those great terms, right? Non-governmental organization. All right. Like, wh- wh- what, what, what the hell is that? (laughs)

    7. JR

      Right. What is that? Tell me. I don't know.

    8. MA

      Well, it's, it's sort of a charity and, but what it real-

    9. JR

      Sort of.

    10. MA

      Sort of. But most of the time it's, it's a, it's a political e- entity. I- it's an entity with a political agenda. But then it's funded by the government (laughs) in a very large percentage of cases, including the, the NGO, the NGOs and the censorship complex. Like, the government grants, National Science Foundation grants, like dir- d- State Department grants. (laughs)

    11. JR

      Yeah.

    12. MA

      Right? Direct money. And then it, okay, now you've got an NGO funded by the government. Well, that's not an NGO. Like... (laughs)

    13. JR

      Right.

    14. MA

      That's a GO.

    15. JR

      Right.

    16. MA

      Right? And then you've got a conspiracy, y- that, you know, like with censorship, then you have a conspiracy 'cause you've got government officials using government money to fund w- what are, what look like private m- organizations that aren't, d- And then what happens is the government outsources to these (laughs) NGOs the things that it's not legally allowed to do.

    17. JR

      Like what?

    18. MA

      Like, like censorship. (laughs)

    19. JR

      Oh, okay.

    20. MA

      Like violation of First Amendment rights.

    21. JR

      Right.

    22. MA

      Right? The, the government... So the first, so, so what they always say is the First Amendment only applies to the government. The First Amendment says the government cannot, cannot censor American citizens. And so what they do is if you want to censor American citizens, you're in the government, y- y- if you're smart, you don't do that. What you do is you fund an outside organization and then you have them do it.

    23. JR

      Boy.

    24. MA

      Right. A- and that's what's been happening, right? And, and, and, uh-

    25. JR

      That's like hiring a hitman. Like, it's not okay to murder someone, but you can hire someone to murder someone and then you're clean.

    26. MA

      Yeah. And if you want to solve a murder, it's not enough to find out who the hitman was, you have to find out who paid the hitman, right?

    27. JR

      Right. Of course.

    28. MA

      You wanna, you wanna work your way up, up the chain. And so a lot, a lot of this traces into the White House. The best defense the companies have is that a lot of this happened under coercion, right? Because wh- when the, when the government, when the government puts pressure on you, like, it, it might be a phone call, it might be a letter, it might be the threat of an investigation, it might be a subpoena. It, it could take many forms. But when the government does that, it carries ... you know, th- that's a very powerful message. I-... it's like-

    29. JR

      Right.

    30. MA

      ... it's like a message from a mob boss, right?

  6. 12:5316:37

    Paid endorsements, influencer payola, and the credibility collapse of campaign media

    1. MA

      So, I think in some ca- uh, in some cases, it's just, it's just pay-to-play, right? So for, as an example, we know that Kamala's campaign paid certain (laughs) on-air personalities, you know, fou- ... and then they were, they were ... you know, which re- it's to your point, people were very supportive of, of Kamala, who then gave her, you know, interviews that, that went really well. And so I, I think in some cases, you just have straight pay-to-play. That's just how that system works. It's just expected. And then I think you have other organizations, like, like these NGOs and others, activist groups, where they're, they're actually, you know, they actually do field activities, right? And so there's, you know, maybe there's a get-out-the-vote component or there's, you know, a social media influence downstream component or some other, you know, kind of field activity that's happening in support of the election.

    2. JR

      I just didn't think that they pa- like, when ... it's still unclear whether or not celebrities got paid to endorse her.

    3. MA

      Right.

    4. JR

      Y- right? Have you-

    5. MA

      Th- they, they've mixed it up 'cause there's pre- there's, they ... like Oprah says, Oprah says, sh- the, it's the, her production company was paid to put on the production, but she was not paid for the interview.

    6. JR

      Yeah, what happened-

    7. MA

      But it was, you know, two and f- whatever, $2 million-

    8. JR

      $2.5 million.

    9. MA

      ... $2.5 million.

    10. JR

      It was initially listed as one, and then it turned out it was 2.5.

    11. MA

      Right, and so it- she owns a-

    12. JR

      But like, if I own a production company-

    13. MA

      Right.

    14. JR

      ... and my production company gets paid $2.5 million to endorse Trump-

    15. MA

      Right.

    16. JR

      ... and then I go, "I didn't get any of that money."

    17. MA

      Right.

    18. JR

      People are like, "Shut the fuck up."

    19. MA

      Yeah.

    20. JR

      "Of course you got-"

    21. MA

      Yeah.

    22. JR

      "It's your company."

    23. MA

      Yeah.

    24. JR

      "What are you talking about?"

    25. MA

      Yeah.

    26. JR

      And also-

    27. MA

      Yeah.

    28. JR

      ... how much does it cost to do an event?

    29. MA

      Yes.

    30. JR

      How does it cost $2.5 million to put on an event? Like, are you feeding people gold sandwiches?

  7. 16:3719:48

    Corporate media decline and the rise of podcasts as campaign infrastructure

    1. JR

      Well, w- another fascinating aspect of this system that we learned out this time around is the uncontrolled aspect of it, like what, uh, Trump called earned media-

    2. MA

      Right.

    3. JR

      ... was much more powerful than anything else.

    4. MA

      Yeah.

    5. JR

      The uncontrolled version of it. Like, one of the things that, unfortunately for them, m- mass media or corporate media has done is they've diminished their credibility so much, so much so, that like, Joy Reid was on TV today talking about s- saying that Trump was gonna shoot protestors and all ... just wild, unsubstantiated, crazy shit.

    6. MA

      Yeah.

    7. JR

      And the more they do stuff like that, the more that they say things like that, the more it diminishes their impact and the more it drives people-

    8. MA

      Yeah.

    9. JR

      ... to independent media sources.

    10. MA

      Yeah. I'm sure you've seen the ratings collapse that they, that they've, they've been ex- you know, they're down to like, they're down to like ... MSNBC's down to like 50,000 people in the 18 to 20, 18 to 49 demo.

    11. JR

      That is so wild.

    12. MA

      Which is-... tiny. (laughs) Right?

    13. JR

      It's so crazy.

    14. MA

      It's, it's really tiny. So, I think that's happening. Um, the Gallup organization has done polls on trust in institutions including, you know, media for the last 60 years. It's been a steady slide down, um, and in the last, you know, four years, it's fallen off a cliff. I, I think it's real ... Oh, there's another study that came out, um, g- uh, the kids are now watching a lot less TV. Kids are just giving up on TV. Um-

    15. JR

      Yeah.

    16. MA

      ... and they're just, you know, they're on YouTube and TikTok and Instagram and other things. Um, and so, like, I, I, I think it's tipping. Uh, a question I've been asking myself is when, when will the actual ... You know, famously, 1960 was the first television election, right? The, you know, sort of legend has it-

    17. JR

      Sure.

    18. MA

      ... because it was the one where the televised debate really mattered.

    19. JR

      Mm-hmm.

    20. MA

      And if you saw the televised debate, you saw a confident Kennedy and nervous Nixon, and if you heard-

    21. JR

      Right.

    22. MA

      ... it, you experienced something different.

    23. JR

      And handsomeness-

    24. MA

      And handsom-

    25. JR

      ... came into effect.

    26. MA

      And vitality-

    27. JR

      Yes.

    28. MA

      ... and health and-

    29. JR

      Yeah.

    30. MA

      Right? And all, all these things. Um, sort of positive, positive spirit, positive energy. Um, I'm actually not ... This, this might be of, have been the first internet election, or maybe we actually haven't had it yet. Like, I feel like we're really close to the first internet election, but maybe it's not all the way there.

  8. 19:4823:50

    AI governance, autonomous warfare, and a new logic of conflict

    1. JR

      Like, as you said, like, we're in a great timeline, and I think, um, it's a fascinating timeline, too, because there's so much uncertainty, and there's so much ... Right? We are at the verge of AI, you know, uh, OpenAI, you know, Altman has said now that he thinks 2025 will be the year that AI becomes sentient-

    2. MA

      Mm-hmm.

    3. JR

      ... whatever that means. You know?

    4. MA

      Yeah.

    5. JR

      Artificial general intelligence will be-

    6. MA

      Yeah.

    7. JR

      ... will emerge. And who knows how that affects ... I've, I've said publicly, and I'm kind of half joking-

    8. MA

      Yeah.

    9. JR

      ... that we need AI government.

    10. MA

      Yep.

    11. JR

      You know? I mean, it sounds crazy to say-

    12. MA

      Yeah.

    13. JR

      ... but instead of having this, like, alpha chimpanzee-

    14. MA

      (laughs)

    15. JR

      ... that runs the tribe of humans-

    16. MA

      Yeah.

    17. JR

      ... how about we have some, like, really logical, fact-based-

    18. MA

      Yeah.

    19. JR

      ... you know, program-

    20. MA

      Yeah.

    21. JR

      ... that, you know, makes it, like, really reasonable and equitable in a way that we can all agree to?

    22. MA

      Right.

    23. JR

      And let's govern things in that manner.

    24. MA

      Right. So, you can actually simulate this today, 'cause you c- you can go on these systems, ChatGPT or Claude or these others, um, and you c- you can ask, you know, "How should we handle issue X? How should this be run?"

    25. JR

      Yeah, we've done that.

    26. MA

      Right. "How should the, you know-

    27. JR

      Yeah.

    28. MA

      ... Department of Energy do whatever, nuclear policy or whatever?" And, and, uh, what I find when I do that is I discover two things. Number one, of course, these things are, these things have the same problem social media's had, which is they're tremendously politically biased. And-

    29. JR

      Right.

    30. MA

      ... you know, that's on purpose, and they, they need to fix that. And that's gonna be a big topic in the next several years. But the other thing you learn is if you can get through the political, basically, bias and censorship, if you can actually get to a discussion of the actual issue, it's, you get very sophisticated answers.

  9. 23:5028:39

    UAPs, classified programs, and metaphors of demons/angels in a high‑tech age

    1. JR

      I'm sure you're aware of all this UA- UAP disclosure jazz that you see on television.

    2. MA

      Mm-hmm.

    3. JR

      Um, th- the more I look into it, the more I think at least a percentage of it, a healthy percentage of it, is bullshit. And there's probably some government projects where they've developed some very sophisticated propulsion systems that they've applied to drones.

    4. MA

      Mm-hmm.

    5. JR

      And that that's what these people are seeing, and this is one of the reasons why they continually have sightings over secured military spaces, like out in the Eastern seaboard. Like, there's, uh, areas over Virginia where they continually see them, in San Diego, they see them off the coast of San Diego-

    6. MA

      Right.

    7. JR

      ... where there's a place where you would test stuff like that.

    8. MA

      Yeah. Well, so of cou- of course we know that that was the case for a very long time, for sure, from the '50s through the '80s, because we- the development of stealth, right?

    9. JR

      Right.

    10. MA

      Was, was highly classified.

    11. JR

      Mm-hmm.

    12. MA

      And the SR-71 was brand new at one point, and so you had these-

    13. JR

      Yeah.

    14. MA

      ... like, you know, alien, (laughs) you know-

    15. JR

      Do you pay attention to any of that stuff at all?

    16. MA

      Of course, of course, 100%. Yeah. And then, and then, and then by the way, we're not the only ones, and so I- I- I, you know, my speculation would be that a lo- some of the military base stuff is, is, is, you know, the Chinese doing something similar.

    17. JR

      Yes.

    18. MA

      Um, and, you know, we got a glimpse into that with the balloon. Y- y- y-

    19. JR

      Well, that one was goofy, though.

    20. MA

      It got shut down, but still-

    21. JR

      Yeah.

    22. MA

      ... the fact that the Chinese are flying surveillance balloons over American territory-

    23. JR

      Mm-hmm.

    24. MA

      ... and they were able to slip through our early warning systems and just, like, you know, loiter above military bases and, like, you know, take lots of, you know, imagery and do whatever scans they do.

    25. JR

      Yeah.

    26. MA

      And, like nu- literally nothing was happening, and we didn't even know they were there most of the time. And so, like, you know, that is que- that's like a tip of the ice- it feels like a tip of the iceberg kind of thing, where if, if they were doing that, there, there are probably other things going on.

    27. JR

      Well, I've read that someone had commented that similar things had happened during the Trump administration-

    28. MA

      Mm-hmm.

    29. JR

      ... but they didn't tell Trump 'cause they didn't want him to sh- him to shoot them down.

    30. MA

      Hmm, interesting. (laughs)

  10. 28:3947:59

    Woke ideology as religion, social ostracism, and the fight over open discourse

    1. JR

      Well, you express yourself, uh, v- very brilliantly in describing the current state of woke ideology as religion.

    2. MA

      Yeah, that's right.

    3. JR

      And that- the- the way you described it was brilliant, 'cause you were- you were saying that it has all the elements. Excommunication, adherence to a very strict doctrine-

    4. MA

      Right.

    5. JR

      ... all these different aspects of it, th- saying things that you n- everyone knows to be illogical and nonsensical but you must repeat it.

    6. MA

      Right.

    7. JR

      You know, that these things are indicative of people that are in cults or people that are a part of, like, a very, uh, like a serious fundamental religion.

    8. MA

      Yeah. Well, I mean, of course, the big difference between woke and those traditional religions is woke has no concept of redemption.

    9. JR

      Right.

    10. MA

      And no concept of forgiveness.

    11. JR

      Right.

    12. MA

      Right.

    13. JR

      Which is a very evil religion.

    14. MA

      You do not want that- (laughs)

    15. JR

      (laughs)

    16. MA

      ... to be a part of your religion, right?

    17. JR

      Yeah, it's- it's also, it's- well, it's an ill-conceived, right?

    18. MA

      Yes.

    19. JR

      'Cause it's like immature.

    20. MA

      Yes.

    21. JR

      It's an immature religion.

    22. MA

      Yes. It's absolutist. It's inherently totalitarian. It has to be 'cause it can permanently destroy people.

    23. JR

      Yeah.

    24. MA

      Um, woke also understands something that the Greeks understood, which is that, uh, being, um, ostracized and being put to death are the same thing.

    25. JR

      Hmm.

    26. MA

      Um, and so when the Greeks sentenced somebody like Socrates to death, they gave them the option of just leaving.But the problem was-

    27. JR

      Really?

    28. MA

      Yes. Socrates could have just walked out and left. The-

    29. JR

      No kidding?

    30. MA

      The, the, the reason that was considered equivalent sentences is because a- at that time, if you were not a citizen of a particular city, you would get killed in the next city. You'd be identified as the enemy, presumptively, and killed. And so there was no way to survive without being part of your community.

  11. 47:5957:33

    History as a corrective: Rome’s ‘fish ponds,’ virtue, and why civilizations decline

    1. MA

      ... civilization for a long time. The Gre- the Greeks kicked off change, as we understand it, and then- and then- and then- and then the Romans. Do you know about the fish ponds?

    2. JR

      Fish ponds?

    3. MA

      The fish ponds. The fish- Cicero's fish ponds.

    4. JR

      No.

    5. MA

      So, uh, the Roman Empire, you know, ran for, you know, i- in a sort of- Roman Republican Empire in its sort of hea- what you consider its dynamic phase, s- s- sort of vital phase, ran for a few, you know, few hundred years, maybe 400 years total, something like that. And, um, uh, towards the end as it was sort of falling or stagnating and- and increasingly starting to fall apart, (laughs) a friend of mine says, "When the roads got dangerous and nobody could quite explain why," um, right? Um, (laughs) which sounds familiar by the way.

    6. JR

      (laughs)

    7. MA

      Um, Cis- Cicero was, you know, one of the great- one of the great Roman statesmen, and he- he wrote these letters that we have, and- and in the letters, he sends these letters to all of his aristocratic friends, and it- the re- the theme in the letters is, e- b- basically all of the actual competent, capable citizens of Rome are at- are out in the countryside at their villas, uh, perfecting their fish ponds.

    8. JR

      Wow.

    9. MA

      Right? They've pulling into themselves. They've built their- themselves their own protected environments-

    10. JR

      Wow.

    11. MA

      ... right? Um-

    12. JR

      Yeah.

    13. MA

      ... right? Where they control everything.

    14. JR

      Yeah.

    15. MA

      And they're completely focused on ornamentation. They're completely focused on their clothes and- and on their, you know, lifestyles, right?

    16. JR

      Kardashians. They were Kardashians. (laughs)

    17. MA

      (laughs) I'm sure. I don't know if the Kardashians have fish ponds, but if they did, they would be spectacular fish ponds.

    18. JR

      They would be amazing fish ponds.

    19. MA

      I have no doubt they would be the most amazing fish ponds we have ever seen. Um, and he- so he kept railing, he's like, "Stop with the fish ponds. Like, stop working on the fish." Like-

    20. JR

      Ah.

    21. MA

      ... get- get back out here, rejoin the Senate. Like, get back involved in the system.

    22. JR

      Mm.

    23. MA

      Let's keep this thing from caving in.

    24. JR

      Yeah. Yes.

    25. MA

      And I think... You know, look, as- as- as I- you know, the significance I think of, you know... Trump actually talked about this on the campaign, you know, his version of this talking on the camp- campaign trail is just like, "Look, I could be off on a resort. I own all these golf club, golf club, golf club."

    26. JR

      Right.

    27. MA

      "I own many things I could be doing with my life."

    28. JR

      Yeah, of course. And he's 78 years old. He probably would like to do that.

    29. MA

      Exactly, right? And he's, you know, surrounded, his family loves him and like, you know, grandkids and like the whole thing.

    30. JR

      Mm-hmm.

  12. 57:331:18:25

    Election bubbles, Democratic identity crisis, and the inversion of party roles

    1. JR

      Yeah. Um, how fearful were you, uh, leading up to the election that it wouldn't go into the new timeline?

    2. MA

      It was so weird because all the experts said it was 50/50, razor, you know, razor sharp.

    3. JR

      Mm.

    4. MA

      You know, it's this tiny little, you know, thing, 80,000 votes in eight counties. Um-

    5. JR

      Yeah.

    6. MA

      And, you know, um ... And then, then number one, then it wasn't, which means we can take all those experts and just dismiss them forever going forward 'cause they clearly-

    7. JR

      Phew.

    8. MA

      ... they clearly have, clearly have, clearly have no clue, so it's another set of people we don't have to listen to. Um, but I had this really interesting conversation that kept nagging at me with a, um, a senior Democrat who's on his way out of, of, uh, uh, of, of politics, um, and he, he said ... uh, in summer, I said, uh, "How, how certain is ... or what, what's your view?" And, and, and this person said, "Trump's gonna win with 100% certainty."

    9. JR

      Really?

    10. MA

      Um, this is a Democrat, um, and from a sort of purple state. Um, right, so, uh, you know, not New York or California, but like a state with, you know-

    11. JR

      Mm-hmm.

    12. MA

      ... sort of maybe-

    13. JR

      Arizona.

    14. MA

      ... broader cross-section of people. And this person basically said ... Yeah, look, he said, said, "Look, all you have to do is fly anywhere in the country into any purple envir- uh, place and go into a second or third tier, you know, size city and take an Uber for 30 minutes." You know, land at the airport, take an Uber, drive around for 30 minutes, come back, and just ask the driver like, "How's it going," and, "Who are they voting for?" And basically 100% of the time, the answer is gonna be Trump.

    15. JR

      Wow.

    16. MA

      Uh, 'cause people are just ... were ... people were just like completely fed up. They were just completely fed up. And then there was the, you know, Kamala enthusiasm, which th- this person said, you know, the Kamala enthusiasm is like highly focused in New York and California, which don't matter from an electoral standpoint, right? So they're not gonna decide anything.

    17. JR

      But matters huge when it comes to media.

    18. MA

      Oh, sure, of course, but that's, that's the thing, uh, this ... the self-reinforcing nature of the bubble. And this is what's actually-

    19. JR

      Yeah.

    20. MA

      ... so interesting with these media bubbles is like the, the people in these media bubbles are not breaking out. Like, uh, they, they, they're, it's like they're getting deeper into the sort of collective psychosis that they indulge in, and part of it was getting excited about a candidate for which there was very little popular support for once you got outside of these, you know, heavily blue states.

    21. JR

      Yeah.

    22. MA

      And so it ... and it's ... in a lot of ways, it's the most, you know, o- obvious explanation in the world, which is just people just fundamentally did not like the direction of the country was going in and they were just fed up with it. And so-

    23. JR

      There's also this very bizarre arrogance of people that were certain that Kamala Harris was gonna win.

    24. MA

      Mm-hmm.

    25. JR

      Like I'm, I'm sure you've seen the viral video of this lady who's a political analyst who talks about going to the liquor store and buying a bottle of champagne. Have you seen this?

    26. MA

      Mm-hmm. Oh, right, I saw that. Yeah, right, right.

    27. JR

      Yeah. I don't wanna show it 'cause the poor lady-

    28. MA

      Getting ready to-

    29. JR

      ... she's probably living in hell right now. But-

    30. MA

      I'm, I'm a booze guy.... on BlueSky. She's-

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