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Billion dollar failures, and billion dollar success | Tom Conrad (Quibi, Pandora, Pets.com, Zero)

Tom Conrad is the CEO of Zero and on the board of Sonos. He began his career in engineering at Apple, where he helped build key features that remain in iOS today. Tom was previously the VP of Product at Snap and the chief technology officer of Pandora. He also held leadership positions at notable tech flops Pets.com and Quibi, giving him a unique perspective not only on what it takes to build a successful company but also on lessons from failure. In today’s conversation, we discuss: • Lessons learned from the infamous failures of Pets.com and Quibi • Lessons learned from the successes of Apple, Pandora, and Snap • Advice on choosing where to work • Understanding the math formula of a business • How to avoid burnout • Why Tom says not everyone needs to be a founder • What he’s building now — Brought to you by Coda—Meet the evolution of docs: https://coda.io/lenny | Jira Product Discovery—Atlassian’s new prioritization and roadmapping tool built for product teams: https://atlassian.com/lenny/?utm_source=lennypodcast&utm_medium=paid-audio&utm_campaign=fy24q1-jpd-imc | HelpBar by Chameleon—the free in-app universal search solution built for SaaS: https://helpbar.ai/lenny/?utm_source=lennys-podcast&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_campaign=helpbar-launch-lennys-podcast Find the transcript at: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/billion-dollar-failures-and-billion Where to find Tom Conrad: • X: https://twitter.com/tconrad • LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomconrad/ Where to find Lenny: • Newsletter: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com • X: https://twitter.com/lennysan • LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lennyrachitsky/ In this episode, we cover: (00:00) Tom’s background (04:40) Landing a gig at Apple (07:41) Pioneering the blinking folder design on iOS (11:04) Advice on choosing where to work (12:43) The importance of trusting your gut when it comes to people (14:05) Lessons from failed ventures (17:32) Why and how Pets.com shut down (18:30) How Tom’s experience at Quibi renewed his passion for building (28:48) Takeaways from Quibi and why it ultimately failed (31:42) Failing is okay (35:04) Tom’s career at Apple (39:11) Lessons from You Don’t Know Jack (40:24) Lessons from building Pandora (48:24) Looking back at Pandora and what could have been done differently (55:17) How Tom became VP of Product at Snapchat (1:01:31) Tom’s philosophy on being involved as CEO (1:05:51) Tom’s current role as CEO of Zero, and what he’s learned along the way (1:10:37) How Zero builds product (1:18:33) Advice on work-life balance (1:27:22) Contrarian corner: why not everyone needs to be a founder (1:30:08) Lightning round Referenced: • Ron Lichty on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ronlichty/ • 11 reasons why Quibi crashed and burned in less than a year: https://www.theverge.com/2020/10/22/21528404/quibi-shut-down-cost-subscribers-content-tv-movies-katzenberg-whitman-tiktok-netflix • Meg Whitman: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meg_Whitman • Jeffrey Katzenberg on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jeffrey-katzenberg-4b3b47123/ • John Sculley on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/johnsculley/ • Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/ • How Pandora Soothed the Savage Beast: https://www.fastcompany.com/3001052/how-pandora-soothed-savage-beast • Joe Kennedy on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/joe-kennedy-329417/ • Why Did Yahoo Pay $160 Million for Musicmatch?: https://www.wired.com/2007/07/why-did-yahoo-p/ • TikTok Is the New TV: https://www.wired.com/story/tiktok-new-show-tv-takeover/ • Evan Spiegel on X: https://twitter.com/evanspiegel • Flashtags: https://lane.substack.com/p/flashtags • Patrick Spence on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/patrickspence/ • The Philosophy of Ikigai: 3 Examples About Finding Purpose: https://positivepsychology.com/ikigai • The Subtle Art of Not Giving a F*ck: A Counterintuitive Approach to Living a Good Life: https://www.amazon.com/Subtle-Art-Not-Giving-Counterintuitive/dp/0062457713 • High Growth Handbook: Scaling Startups from 10 to 10,000 People: https://www.amazon.com/High-Growth-Handbook-Elad-Gil/dp/1732265100 • Hyperion: https://www.amazon.com/Hyperion-Cantos-Dan-Simmons/dp/0553283685 • A Fire Upon the Deep: https://www.amazon.com/Fire-Upon-Deep-Zones-Thought/dp/0812515285/ • Mrs. Davis on Peacock: https://www.peacocktv.com/stream-tv/mrs-davis • Watchmen on HBO: https://www.hbo.com/watchmen • Lost on Hulu: https://www.hulu.com/series/lost-466b3994-b574-44f1-88bc-63707507a6cb • Eartune replacement tips: https://eartune.com/products/eartune-fidelity-ufa • Charles Eames’s quote: https://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/charles_eames_169188 • Compuserve: https://www.compuserve.com/ • Steve Wilhite: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steve_Wilhite Production and marketing by https://penname.co/. For inquiries about sponsoring the podcast, email podcast@lennyrachitsky.com. Lenny may be an investor in the companies discussed.

Tom ConradguestLenny Rachitskyhost
Nov 26, 20231h 40mWatch on YouTube ↗

CHAPTERS

  1. 0:00 – 0:49

    Cold open: Why the tech industry might need fewer founders

    Tom argues against the common belief that everyone should start a company. He explains how many talented people would create more impact by joining the right team and working on a problem with a “winning” business equation, rather than raising a small seed round for a low-ceiling idea.

    • Not everyone needs to be a founder to have impact, acclaim, or financial success
    • Overabundance of small startups can dilute talent and effort
    • Collaboration on the right problem can outperform solo founding
    • The importance of choosing problems with strong underlying “math”
  2. 0:49 – 1:51

    Tom’s career arc: iconic wins, notorious failures, and what this episode covers

    Lenny introduces Tom’s background across Apple, Pandora, Snap, Quibi, and Pets.com, framing a conversation about product success, failure, leadership, and health. The episode sets up a theme: what Tom learned from both billion-dollar outcomes and billion-dollar mistakes.

    • Tom’s roles: Apple engineer, Pandora CTO, Snap VP Product, Quibi CPO, Pets.com leader
    • Episode focus: lessons from successes and failures
    • Themes: choosing teams, business-model math, leadership, burnout/health
  3. 1:51 – 5:05

    Sponsor break + setting up the Apple Finder story

    After sponsor messages, Lenny tees up Tom’s early Apple story about building a now-ubiquitous interaction: dragging into folders with a visual cue. The conversation transitions from biography into a concrete product/engineering lesson.

    • Sponsor messages (Coda, Jira Product Discovery)
    • Prompt: origin story of folder drag-and-drop + blinking folder cue
    • Framing: lessons that persist through decades of product evolution
  4. 5:05 – 7:36

    Childhood obsession to Apple job: how Tom got in (and the role of luck)

    Tom describes wanting to work at Apple since the original Macintosh, then landing an internship and ultimately a full-time role through a lucky timing window. He highlights how early career paths can hinge on small, unpredictable moments.

    • Early inspiration: the original Macintosh team and signatures inside the case
    • Apple recruiting pipeline at University of Michigan
    • Internship → direct outreach to Finder manager
    • A job offer enabled by a ‘use it or lose it’ hiring slot
    • Repeated theme: luck as a career accelerant
  5. 7:36 – 11:05

    Inventing spring-loaded folders: the 2am blink that shipped for decades

    Tom recounts building spring-loaded folders in the Finder and improvising a blinking animation late at night as a placeholder. The “temporary” design decision endured across multiple rewrites (Mac OS, OS X, iOS), illustrating how shortcuts can ossify into permanent UX.

    • Spring-loaded folders: hover to open nested folders while dragging
    • The blink animation was an expedient placeholder
    • Feature shipped years later—still blinking
    • Reimplemented later with the same behavior despite fresh codebases
    • Lesson: product “shortcuts” can become legacy design standards
  6. 11:05 – 14:01

    Choosing where to work: optimizing for people, and trusting your gut

    Tom’s advice evolves from picking companies based on product passion to prioritizing the people you’ll collaborate with daily. He emphasizes that dissatisfaction is often predictable—you sensed it early—and you should trust those instincts when evaluating teams.

    • Career satisfaction correlates more with people than external success metrics
    • Evaluate: values, working styles, challenge/latitude balance
    • Most people can read interpersonal fit better than they admit
    • When it goes wrong, you often ‘knew’ during the decision process
    • Practical heuristic: trust your gut about people
  7. 14:01 – 18:40

    Learning from failures: Pets.com, overfunding, and the decision to shut down

    Tom explains why Pets.com became a famous failure—and why the business itself wasn’t inherently stupid (Chewy proved it later). He details how overfunding and competitive arms races distort decision-making, and shares the unusual choice to wind down early and return remaining capital.

    • Pets.com vs. the myth: shipping pet supplies can work, but timing matters (dial-up era)
    • Overfunding can be an albatross: irrational spend + zero-sum competition
    • Promotional arms race among similarly funded competitors
    • Pets.com went public then shut down quickly (19 months)
    • Company shut down strategically and returned remaining investor funds
  8. 18:40 – 23:43

    Quibi’s pull: rebuilding passion, building from scratch, and the hidden constraints

    Tom shares how Quibi unexpectedly reignited his love for building software after he considered leaving the industry. He describes joining initially as a part-time favor that quickly became full-time, driven by the excitement of building a new team and modern architecture from the ground up.

    • Post-Snap fatigue: considering leaving software entirely
    • Meg Whitman and Jeffrey Katzenberg’s pitch (NewTV)
    • Joined as a temporary help request; quickly became deeply involved
    • Joy of greenfield org design + product build + modern tech stack
    • Emotional complexity: gratitude for the craft despite public failure
  9. 23:43 – 35:56

    Why Quibi failed: broken business math, distribution assumptions, and COVID’s impact

    Tom diagnoses Quibi as a business-equation problem, not merely an execution problem. He breaks down the huge content cost structure, the requirement to be a top app immediately, and how COVID undermined both “on-the-go” consumption and a major portion of Quibi’s premium daily production model.

    • Core model: bespoke premium library at massive cost needed high retention fast
    • Produced ~70 shows in ~18 months—huge output, but still insufficient scale
    • Daily studio-produced content collapsed when COVID hit; production moved to garages
    • Hollywood marketing thesis: celebrities would drive massive app adoption
    • Distribution requirement: top-10 app-store ranking from day one was improbable
    • Key lesson: some cost structures don’t allow slow iteration—must be a hit quickly
  10. 35:56 – 40:13

    Apple (again) + You Don’t Know Jack: breadth vs. depth, and learning to really ship

    Tom reflects on Apple’s pre-Steve era culture where perfection and debate slowed shipping, while cross-functional “breadth” was rewarded. He contrasts that with Berkeley Systems, where his role demanded deep execution—an experience that forced him to become a stronger engineering leader and builder.

    • Apple’s struggle to ship consumer software features in that era
    • Cultural dynamic: consensus could collapse due to one strong critique
    • Personal reflection: being ‘wide but shallow’ early in career
    • Berkeley Systems (You Don’t Know Jack, After Dark flying toaster): clear swim lanes
    • Lesson: deep skill and delivery discipline can be career-defining
  11. 40:13 – 48:25

    Pandora’s origin: luck, mission-driven product, and radical customer closeness

    Tom recounts how a random meeting led him to Savage Beast, which later became Pandora’s foundation. He highlights Pandora’s early “real humans” approach to users—where support emails went to the whole company—fueling word-of-mouth growth without paid acquisition.

    • Post-dotcom ‘nuclear winter’ → enterprise detour → return to consumer ambition
    • Chance Coachella collision leads to meeting Tim Westergren
    • Shift to ‘one-click personal radio’ vision under CEO Joe Kennedy
    • Support model: all@pandora.com alias; everyone responds; no macros/FAQ deflection
    • Growth engine: delight + authenticity → organic word of mouth; no paid UA
  12. 48:25 – 55:21

    Pandora in hindsight: the market you pick and the licensing structure that boxed you in

    Tom explains why Pandora didn’t become the enduring category leader despite massive scale. He points to capital constraints and, more importantly, a strategic misread: betting on disrupting terrestrial radio while the industry converged on on-demand streaming models favored by labels and investors.

    • Early investor skepticism in digital music limited access to capital
    • Spotify benefited from later-era optimism and bigger comparable outcomes
    • Pandora bet on the larger radio ad market vs. the smaller recorded-music market
    • Labels preferred Spotify-style deals; Pandora’s statutory license created tension
    • Late shift toward direct deals was necessary but came too late
  13. 55:21 – 1:01:40

    Snap: the lightning-fast hire, executing a founder’s vision, and learning to take bigger swings

    Tom shares the unusual recruiting process that ended in an offer the same day, then describes how the role differed from Pandora: less autonomy, more execution of Evan Spiegel’s vision. A major takeaway was how strong investor support enables bold, repeated risk-taking—and how that reshaped Tom’s own appetite for big bets.

    • Ad hoc interview day → written offer handed over within hours
    • Role reality: ‘right hand’ executing founder-led product vision
    • Evan Spiegel: high standards, detail orientation, and decisive leadership
    • Investor trust enables speculative bets and acquisitions with asymmetric upside
    • Lesson: cultivate an environment (and mindset) that permits big swings
  14. 1:01:40 – 1:05:48

    CEO craft: when product CEOs should get into details (and the danger of accidental directives)

    Tom explores how CEO involvement changes by company stage, contrasting Apple’s indecision with Steve Jobs’ decisive model. He describes the CEO’s “gravity”: even casual suggestions can derail priorities, so leaders must manage how their input lands.

    • Large orgs can stall via overthinking; CEOs can cut through indecision
    • Apple anecdote: ‘1000 to 1 is a tie’ dynamic; Steve’s return ended voting
    • Small orgs benefit from lighter-touch leadership and empowered teams
    • CEO ‘suggestions’ often become de facto orders despite disclaimers
    • Practical tension: stay close enough to understand, not so close you dictate
  15. 1:05:48 – 1:18:27

    Becoming CEO of Zero: health motivation, product momentum, and building around unit economics

    Tom explains why he chose Zero—personal health alignment, desire to shape culture, and an existing product with traction. He describes focusing on retention, funnels, and capital efficiency, with a strong emphasis on modeling the business to find high-leverage improvements.

    • Post-Quibi reflection: desire for values/culture impact + more meaningful mission
    • Personal metabolic health wake-up during the pandemic led him to Zero as a user
    • Zero’s traction: millions of users, meaningful paid base, organic growth
    • Operational focus: unit economics, conversion, retention, LTV expansion
    • CEO surprise: building full business models and doing hands-on FP&A work
  16. 1:18:27 – 1:27:20

    Avoiding burnout over decades: ikigai, sustainable culture, and choosing relationships over ‘freedom’

    Tom shares frameworks and personal lessons for staying energized over a long career. He emphasizes finding work that aligns with what you love and what you’re good at, rejecting performative hustle culture, and learning that relationships—not constant novelty—are what make work (and life) sustaining.

    • Ikigai framework: love, skill, world needs, and paid work intersection
    • Sustainable culture: celebrate output, not performative long hours
    • Early career lesson: consistent 8:30–5:30 contributors can outperform night-owls
    • Post-Pandora break: experiences weren’t as fulfilling as relationships
    • Collaboration is the magnet that repeatedly pulls him back to work
  17. 1:27:20 – 1:40:03

    Contrarian Corner + Lightning Round: founders, books, products, and closing asks

    Tom returns to his contrarian view that fewer people should found companies, and more should join teams with strong fundamentals. The lightning round covers favorite books, interview questions, a beloved product tweak (AirPods tips), the GIF/JIF debate, and where to find him and Zero.

    • Contrarian: you can achieve impact and success without being the founder
    • Founders take unique risks—Tom distinguishes CEO-from-founder experience
    • Lightning round: High Growth Handbook, Hyperion, favorite shows (Mrs. Davis)
    • Interviewing: ask for real past experiences; define what a ‘great day’ looks like
    • Product love: replacement AirPods tips; favorite motto on details making design
    • Wrap-up: where to reach Tom and how listeners can help (try Zero, send feedback)

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