Nikhil KamathEp# 15 | WTF is Climate Change? Nikhil ft. Sunita, Bhumi, Navroz and Mirik
EVERY SPOKEN WORD
150 min read · 30,110 words- 0:00 – 0:34
Introduction
- NKNikhil Kamath
Everybody has heard of the word climate change, but when I ask them to describe it to me or tell me what it is, uh, not many are able to. [upbeat music] Ready, Meghna? Start. [chuckles]
- 0:34 – 6:14
How Navroz went from engineering to Climate Change
- NKNikhil Kamath
Hi, guys. Welcome, everyone. Uh, I've not done this for a while. We took a break of sorts. The very first thing we do when we begin is introduce each one of you. Uh, who would like to go first?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Sure.
- NKNikhil Kamath
So tell us a bit about you, where you grew up, how did you get into the domain that you are in right now, uh, and just highlights and low points in your life so far.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Okay.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Okay.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Well, for those of us who've been around for a little bit longer, it may take a little longer, but we'll-- I'll try and keep it, keep it brief. You know, I, um, followed the standard South Asian path, as especially as a South Asian male. I started out as an engineer, but I really didn't enjoy it. I started enjoying my political science, politics, history, all this stuff, much more. And so I started getting interested in development and, uh, and I had the opportunity when I was studying. It was, uh, the late nineteen eighties. There was, there was sort of emergence of discussions around the environment, and I took myself off, uh, to the Narmada Valley, and I introduced, and I interviewed people who were associated with the Narmada Bachao Andolan, and many people from my generation actually got into environmentalism through that. It was a very high-profile movement.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Do you actually, uh, uh, you know, do you have to break eggs to make omelets? Is that inevitable consequence of development, or can you do it in a way where you actually don't harm poor people, where you don't dam rivers, where you don't despoil the environment? And I thought this was fascinating. So this was my first kind of entry point, and I wrote a thesis about this and so on and so forth. And then when I graduated from college, and this was in the US, I've had this, uh, uh... I was just in the right place at the right moment. Uh, I'd also done some work on climate change. It was nineteen ninety, and there were preparations to start negotiating a climate change convention. So I got in touch with an organization who was, uh, involved, uh, in the periphery of the Narmada movement, and I said, "Look, I'm looking for a job." And they said, "Well, as it happens, we need somebody to help build a global network on climate change called the Climate Action Network, and are you interested? We don't have very much money." So I was fresh out of college, and I was like, "Well, yeah, sure." Uh, and so I called up, uh, Sunita and Anil Agarwal at CSE. I called up people in Latin America. It was the old days. It was fax machines, photocopiers. I didn't really know what to do in an office. You know, I had a filing cabinet, and I had two files, faxes in and faxes out. I didn't really know what I was doing. You know, I used to read the newspaper under the table because I, I, I'd had never been in an office before. But over the next couple of years, we built up this network, and, uh, uh, civil society organizations from Africa, Asia, Latin America, all showed up, and that organization exists today. It's called the Global Climate Action Network. It's now hundreds, uh, of people. Uh, and the key part was that it brought representatives from the developing world to this global process, because until then, it had only been Americans and Europeans, right? So development issues emerge as part of the conversation, and I'll just give you one anecdote from that period. Very early on, we sat around the table with the Americans, Europeans, people from Malaysia, India, everywhere else, and the Americans, who'd been at this for a while, said, "Okay, we need to come up with a common lobbying position. So what we should say is that we, the richer countries, have caused most of this problem. So we should reduce, you know, say, uh, fifty percent by the year two thousand." This was in nineteen ninety. Very ambitious, right?
- BPBhumi Pednekar
[chuckles]
- NDNavroz K Dubash
"And the developing world will do the same thing five years later." And I still remember a colleague from Malaysia said, "Wait a minute, but our per person emissions are so much smaller that that would lock us into a much lower level of emissions in perpetuity." And the Americans sort of scratched their heads, and they looked at each other, and they realized there wasn't a common ground. And the funny thing is, in many ways, we're still having the same conversation today-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
[chuckles]
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... thirty years later, right? So this was my sort of trial by, by fire. I did this for two years, um, and then I decided, this is sort of crazy. I know nothing about development. I know nothing about the world. I'm sitting at these UN negotiations just because I was in the right place at the right time. I need to step back. And so I went off to do my PhD, and for that, I started looking at water use in Gujarat, in two villages. So I spent a year in these two villages. So the other extreme, from the global straight to the sort of village level, and I studied this as an academic and thinking about what one does about it. Um, and so those two experiences were really kind of shaping and framing. So I'm not going to give you the blow-by-blow, but sort of fast-forward after working for a little while in the US, I came back to India, uh, in early, in the early two thousands. Um, bounced around a little bit, universities, this, that, and the other, and then I landed at a, uh, a wonderful institution, the Centre for Policy Research. And there, uh, I built uh, a team of people working on energy, climate change, uh, environment. Uh, was able to collaborate with, uh, Sunita and other colleagues in other organizations, and, uh, have been there for an, an- for a decade, until just last month.... when I left, uh, along with our group, to set up a new institute called the Sustainable Futures Collaborative, and we are just getting going this year. So that's the, that's the arc.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Tell us a bit about
- 6:14 – 9:25
What is the IPCC?
- NKNikhil Kamath
IPCC, which is, uh-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah
- NKNikhil Kamath
... I think for many people, the Bible of this industry, right?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Right.
- NKNikhil Kamath
You're a co-author in it.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
So as part of my work at CPR, I was, um, uh, so, so, so, you know, I, I both publish, and I do policy work, right? So as part of the policy work, we get invited to sit on government committees, and so on and so forth. But a core belief of our group is that we have to be-- our work and our policy positions need to be based on rigorous work, and therefore, publication is an important part of that. So in that context, I got engaged with the IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. So it's a really strange, uh, beast, right? So it's, it's three working groups: science, impacts, and what are called response strategies. How do you respond to it? And I was in the third, uh, of these, and I did it, uh, twice. Each cycle takes seven years. So the way it works is, you don't come up with new information, but you, your group is meant to be the authoritative compilation of existing information. So I was tasked this last time around with the, uh, unbelievably, uh, impossible task of compiling all the information for chapter thirteen, one of seventeen chapters, and my chapter was called National and Subnational Policies and Institutions. So all the policies and all the institutions needed to address climate change.
- SPSpeaker
Hmm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
And we had to pull that together over the COVID period, through Zoom calls, you know, with, with authors all over the world. And it's a very, very complex process because governments take this really seriously.
- SPSpeaker
Hmm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Right? So governments at the end-- This isn't just a research report. Thank you. This isn't just a research report, because by the end of it, governments approve this report on a line-by-line basis. They approve the summary of it. So they literally put up on the screen one sentence at a time. Governments will comment on it, suggest modifications. The authors have to then go back and say, "This is consistent with the science. This is not consistent with the science." And they're jockeying for position, so it's an incredibly complicated and incredibly painstaking process. So the approval happens over a week, where you're basically locked into a room, working twelve, fourteen, sixteen-hour days with all the government delegates. And very slowly, very incrementally, you come up with formulations about: Is climate change real? What do we do about it? What are the likely impacts? And they put probability metrics by it. This is fifty percent likely, this is ninety percent likely, this is highly likely, and so on. So it's a very unwieldy process, and, um, we'll talk about the negotiations later, I'm sure. They're both incredibly unwieldy processes, and I've had thoughts more than once that you're dealing with this urgent, dramatic situation, and sometimes I feel you couldn't design a more cumbersome process, globally, to deal with this.
- SPSpeaker
And you review it every seven years?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Every seven years, there's another cycle-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Report.
- SPSpeaker
Hmm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... a new set of authors are brought on-
- SPSpeaker
Hmm
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... and you start the whole thing over again to work with them.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Sunita,
- 9:25 – 16:27
Mirik on his early days, education and ventures
- NKNikhil Kamath
would you like to go next?
- SPSpeaker
No, let Mirik go first, maybe. [chuckles]
- NKNikhil Kamath
Yeah, sure.
- MGMirik Gogri
So I think, uh, just a brief about me. I'm born and brought up in Mumbai, so, uh, studied here also, so never sort of went out of the city. Uh, I think early days, uh, so at- when I was, like, four, four and a half years old, there was a... I had a brain tumor, actually, and that got, uh, so that was a challenging time. I don't remember it, about it too much, but, uh, at least for the family and everyone around, it was a challenging time. But, uh, luckily, no major issues, uh, after that. But, uh, that sort of shaped my thinking later on. So I come from a engineering family. My father is an engineer, my uncle is an engineer, elder brother is an engineer. So that whole engineering mindset, uh, that you want to go into engineering, so then did preparation for IIT. Uh, the first attempt was not a very good attempt, so I didn't get a good rank. Uh, took a drop, did the whole thing again, and then again, had a target to go to IIT Bombay. I had an option between IIT Bombay and UCLA, uh, in the second attempt, and then I said, "Look," uh, I had heard so many stories about IIT Bombay from my brother, the mood Indigos, the hostel life, and all that. So I thought, "Look, this is the place." Uh, and then during IIT, at the end of IIT, it was the startup phase, if you remember, like, all the... This was twenty thirteen, twenty twelve-
- NKNikhil Kamath
How old are you now, Mirik?
- MGMirik Gogri
Thirty-three.
- NKNikhil Kamath
What year are you talking about, IIT?
- MGMirik Gogri
So yeah, so I passed out in twenty thirteen, so two thousand and eight, thirteen. So this was a time when the housings of the world and tiny houses of the world. So all sort of my batchmates were either founders and, or startup founders, and there was a whole, at that time, the hope of Powai Valley, uh-
- SPSpeaker
[chuckles]
- MGMirik Gogri
... being created, um. So I also did-- had my own journey there, uh, with my batchmate, uh, Ayush Jain. We started this company called Humming Whale, which had nothing to do with sustainability at all at that time. Uh, it was just a pure play, "Let's create cool things, and then license them or collaborate with big corporates, uh, to make them successful," and your aim is just to create cool things. So over between twenty thirteen and sixteen, we would have made, like, fifteen odd products.
- SPSpeaker
What are these cool things? I'm very curious to know.
- MGMirik Gogri
Uh, so, so one, I think the most famous one, was we made a, a cricket bat, which was more, uh, aerodynamic in nature, and the edges wouldn't travel, uh, to the slips. And that was in reaction to one of the India's test matches in England-
- SPSpeaker
Hmm
- MGMirik Gogri
... the test series where we lost, I think, four zero or something. And I-- we were like, "Okay, can we do something about it?" So we, in IIT, we had all these people who could do the simulations on softwares and lot of iterations, that it, ten iterations. We got it approved from the Marylebone Cricket Club.
- SPSpeaker
Hmm.
- MGMirik Gogri
We sent it there. They said that it's legally allowed. They-- When we met-... everyone, like, at that time, Sachin or Rahul Dravid, or Kohli, Pujara. So it was an interesting time. Uh, for whatever reasons, it didn't scale up as we hoped for. We sold a couple of hundred bats-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm.
- MGMirik Gogri
-uh, and some more interesting things like that. Then we realized, look, this is a passion project. It's not really going to-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm
- MGMirik Gogri
... turn into a business. I think business will require the depth, the focus, and at that time, when you look at the total addressable market of a cricket bat in India, it was like a thousand crore, so not much of a dent that you could do in it. And in 2016, we took the call that, "Let's shut it down." And from 2016, I joined Aarti Industries, which is sort of my company that my father and uncle founded in 1984, so it's going to be 40 years now. And I think for me, the climate journey, around 2019, 2020, just before COVID, so I do read a lot, and I went into the rabbit hole, and the Google and the YouTube algorithms-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm
- MGMirik Gogri
... really trapped me into that, uh, climate phase and did a lot of courses. Uh, so a lot of self-reading, and earlier it was more about just understand the whole problem, not really do anything about it. But then I actually had gone to COP26, and before that, we did some interaction with a few organizations globally. I think COP26, for me, was like the sense of urgency hit me, like, this is the decade, the decisive decade and all those things. And I said: Look, we really... I came back, talked to the family, that we really need to start, uh, within our sphere of influence, whatever that is, work with organizations, and, uh, make our sort of point or make our impact in the overall climate story. So yeah, I think now we are closely working with over 60 organizations globally-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Oh, cool
- MGMirik Gogri
... in various sectors, including Navroz, uh, but others as well, so.
- NKNikhil Kamath
So me and Mirik have not known each other for too long.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Okay.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Last year, we were in Goa at a event.
- MGMirik Gogri
Sangam, Sangam Summit.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Some- And Nandan put us on a table, like four of us together. One of them was a geothermal guy-
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah
- 16:27 – 21:06
How Bhoomi became a Climate Warrior
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Absolutely.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Who would, who would like to go [chuckles] next?
- BPBhumi Pednekar
So I'm Bhumi. I'm an actor. Don't ask me my age. [chuckles] But, um, I live in Bombay, born and brought up. I am, uh, also very passionate about everything, all the conversations, all the action around climate change. I kinda wanna dig into where this started from. Um, I remember we'd learnt about climate change in school, and I was like, "Okay, you know, our environment's changing, our weather is changing, no big deal." But obviously, like, you know, we were told that, uh, fresh water is gonna dry up. You know, there's gonna be drought, like, it's gonna be quite apocalyptic. And then I watched a film called The Day After Tomorrow, and I thought, "This is real. This is gonna happen." And I was very young. I was probably, like, in my pre-teens, and I was like: This is gonna happen, and I'm gonna drown, my family's gonna drown, my city's gonna drown, and, you know, how am I gonna save them?
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
So I think that, that movie impacted me so deeply that I kind of started reading up. I started questioning my elders, people around me, and nobody seemed to care. You know, nobody seemed to care. They were like, "No, it's all okay. It's just a conceptual fact. You know, it's not gonna affect you. It's gonna happen, like, in the future. Your children are gonna outlive it. You know, we are not really gonna see it." And I was like, "Okay." But then, as I kind of went on in my journey, I realized that it's happening now, right? And, uh, it bothered me. I actually had, like, many, many anxious nights-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
... and, uh, because it felt-... very lonely at the start of it, 'cause if I ever went and I spoke to anybody that, "You know, I feel this way," like it bothers me, you know, what's gonna happen?
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
I was made fun of. Nobody really kind of, um... They couldn't comprehend what my thought process was or where my fear came in, and, uh, that's when I kind of went in looking for like-minded people. Uh, there weren't many, I wouldn't lie. Uh, this was, like, maybe... And then I became an actor, and, uh, I realized that I have people-
- NKNikhil Kamath
You wanted to work on climate before acting?
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Yes.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Ah.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Way before acting, way be- You know, I was that child that if there was a natural disaster, I would be on the roads collecting chanda. So I think I've always been, like, an empathetic person, and somebody-
- NKNikhil Kamath
I'll, I'll pay Bhumi a compliment, not because she's sitting in front of me. Uh, but when COVID was going on, we didn't know each other-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Yeah
- NKNikhil Kamath
... and somebody had connected us, and I was like, Bollywood star, you know, like, all of, you know, what would we talk about really? But every time we spoke, Bhumi would always call me and be like, "This person in this remote part of Bangalore is looking for an ambulance, or they're looking for a hospital bed," and she would join all the calls around this very diligently for a very, very long time, and I was so impressed. I was like, "She's not in Bangalore. She works in Bollywood. She's an actress. Why is she calling me to find an ambulance for somebody in remote Bangalore?" Which was very impressive.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Thank you.
- NKNikhil Kamath
So it is-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
That was quite an experience. I mean, you did your fair share, which was so... It was... Yeah, I think, like, everybody did their bit. So just going back to what I was saying, then my acting career started, and I realized, and I've always kind of stood for films that make an impact, and I realized that, okay, now I have the power to reach out to a larger audience, so, you know, might as well use it to advocate for any kind of positive impact that I could, and I started Climate Warrior in 2019. Uh, through Climate Warrior, we did, um, a lot of on-ground work, which were, like, beach cleanups, plastic collection drives, um, talks, panels, wherever my voice could reach and whatever change we could get. Our target audience was pretty much the youth of India, because as you rightly said, they are the change makers. They are the ones that are gonna find the solutions. It's been quite a satisfying journey since I started Climate Warrior, 'cause I've met a lot of like-minded people.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm. Mm.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
So suddenly it didn't feel as lonely, and I was like-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Yeah
- BPBhumi Pednekar
... "Okay, there are people that understand why I get anxious," or, you know, there are people that actually wanna bring about a change, and yeah, that's why I'm here.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Sweet.
- SNSunita Narain
Yes.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
So in fact-
- SNSunita Narain
Sweet. [chuckles]
- NKNikhil Kamath
Sweet. [chuckles]
- SNSunita Narain
So in fact,
- 21:06 – 26:47
Why Sunita started working in the Climate Space
- SNSunita Narain
a lot of what you said, Bhumi, is resonates with me. But strangely enough, even though I'm so much older than you, um, so when we- when I started out, uh, and that's a long time ago, 1980, um, nobody knew the word environment.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Right.
- SNSunita Narain
Okay? And I had this wild idea that I was gonna work in the field of environment, and people asked me why-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... and I still don't know. But I think it goes back to my mother, who was sort of Delhi's, and Navroz knew, was Delhi's most avid gardener, and so, you know, I grew up with green all around me.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
And at that time, nobody really knew what the word environment was. And I, um, and at school, it was very strange, because there are three of us who met at... You know, life is about coincidences, and we met at this strange conference in Delhi, which was organized by now what I say, the grownup, I mean, at that time we said the grownups talking, talking, talking, and not doing anything. [chuckles]
- BPBhumi Pednekar
[chuckles]
- SNSunita Narain
Okay? And, um, we all ended up there, and we set up a... We decided to form a group, just like you.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
But this is 1980. Uh-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Wow.
- SNSunita Narain
It was called Kalpavriksh.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Wow.
- SNSunita Narain
It was a student group. We were all in school. I was in Modern School in Delhi, and there were others in school, and we were all... We used to just meet and take up causes, and we've took up causes all the way from protecting trees, that I still pass that road every day, and I think about it, that... So I don't know if you've been to Delhi, but-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
I have
- SNSunita Narain
... there is this very, there's this road that leads from Safdarjung-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm-hmm
- SNSunita Narain
... uh, tomb, down to IIC. You know that main, what's called the boulevard?
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm-hmm.
- SNSunita Narain
Okay, and at that time, they were going to chop down all the trees, and it was our fight, which actually, and this is 1980, '79, '80, and at that time, so they decided to keep a few, the central verge. So there is a central verge of trees, and there is then the road on both sides. Small victory, but feels good, and we set up a group. And, uh, like Navroz went to the, um, next big campaign that was hitting India, I went to the one before. I went to Chipko.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Chipko. I should just... Sorry to interrupt, Sunita-
- SNSunita Narain
[chuckles]
- NKNikhil Kamath
... but Kalpavriksh is who I went to Narmada with.
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah, I know.
- NKNikhil Kamath
So they were-
- SNSunita Narain
I know, I know.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Wow.
- SNSunita Narain
That was the-
- 26:47 – 35:25
What Changed in the Climate Space : Then Vs Now
- SPSpeaker
I ask you another question?
- SNSunita Narain
Yes, of course.
- SPSpeaker
They say bravery today is not doing what the public wants you to do, but doing what the public doesn't want you to do.
- SPSpeaker
Mm.
- SPSpeaker
Are we at a point on the planet where what the public wants to do is save the environment or save climate or change?
- SNSunita Narain
You've hit the nail on the head, Nikhil. I think today it's important for us, and I hope we'll come to that conversation, because I think today, when I think back on it, I think we were braver 30 years ago. We had the ability to think differently. We, we had more courage. I think now there is a lot more talk and less courage, less imagination, and I think everybody talks about climate change, and-
- SPSpeaker
Because it's cool now?
- SNSunita Narain
It's, it's to some extent cool, to some extent it's real.
- SPSpeaker
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
There is no doubt about it.
- SPSpeaker
Is it one of those things that the people who are talking most about climate also understand it lesser?
- SNSunita Narain
No, I'm not sure-
- SPSpeaker
Well-
- SNSunita Narain
... I would say that. I just think it's a... I think today there's just a lot more talk. It's a cacophony. Everybody's talking, but if I, and I'm sure we will discuss it, where is the action? I mean-
- SPSpeaker
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... when we push for clean air in Delhi-
- SPSpeaker
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... for instance, I was 15 years, 20 years actually, on a court-mandated committee. I had an enormous luxury. I reported directly to the judge, and I was on a committee which Navroz joined also for a while, and I basically, if we gave a report, it was listened to, and I- we pushed. We got CNG in Delhi, and that was very brave, because there was no CNG across... Compressed natural gas.
- SPSpeaker
Yes.
- SNSunita Narain
So essentially, changing the fuel-
- SPSpeaker
Yeah
- SNSunita Narain
... from diesel to gas. We got diesel. Diesel was our bugbear. We couldn't get it banned, but we got the price differential changed. So, you know, a lot of pushing and inconvenient things were done, uh, and it is inconvenient. The point today is we want climate change sorted out. We want the world's existential issue to be solved, but we want to do that at no cost. No cost to us-
- SPSpeaker
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... no cost to anyone, and that's not gonna happen.
- SPSpeaker
Could I just come in-
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah
- SPSpeaker
... on this question of, of bravery? Um, you know, I, I think, I see it probably, uh, uh, bravery is definitely part of the equation, but I see it slightly differently, and perhaps this also, you know, parallel tracks that Sunita and I have forged in our, in our career. I ultimately feel that a lot of the challenge is reimagining the problem and communicating it in a way that you bring the public with you. Because if you want lasting solutions, you have to have the public on board. You have to have support for what you do.
- SPSpeaker
Mm.
- SPSpeaker
And I think that's partly what's-
- SNSunita Narain
But Navroz-
- 35:25 – 38:30
What do environmentalist think about EV
- NKNikhil Kamath
I'm not young, but I'll add-
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah
- NKNikhil Kamath
... myself into that category.
- SNSunita Narain
You're younger than me. [laughing] It's okay.
- NKNikhil Kamath
People looking to invest in electric vehicles or people looking for jobs in the EV industry, how hopeful are you of that industry from a 10-year lens?
- SNSunita Narain
So there are... I'm very hopeful that it's going to happen-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... because it has to happen.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
Let me put it that way.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
The imperative is clear. We- why do we need EV? Let's also understand that, because, um, the rest of the world is very romantic about EV. I mean, EV in the rest, in the Western world, is largely an electrification issue, that the more you electrify and clean up your electricity source, the better it is, rather than having those decentralized many sources using oil. For us, the EV story is slightly different. For us, we need EV to clean up our air pollution.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
I mean, if we get EV into our cities, we will dramatically reduce air, improve air quality. And you know, Mumbai, Delhi, now almost every city of India is choking, absolutely. So EV, for us, is an imperative, but there are two issues which I think we need to address, and address them very clearly. And one is, of course, the war that is happening between the world, the US and China, which is really about the control of-
- NKNikhil Kamath
The supply chain
- SNSunita Narain
... uh, the supply chain-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... which is new minerals-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Yeah
- SNSunita Narain
... technology, battery technology, lithium, cobalt, graphite, all in China.... when climate change began, Nikhil, and it's, it's just a little bit of a digression here. It's important to understand the role of trade, because for most of us, when we looked at climate change, we never saw that there was a parallel thing happening in our world, which was WTO, and free trade was beginning to happen. And as soon as China joined WTO in twenty, uh, twenty, in twenty- 2002, their emissions skyrocketed, and that's the reason why the rest-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Can you, can you elaborate each of these things? WTO is?
- SNSunita Narain
So World Trade Organization, it's basically an agreement. So you have two agreements: you have a global agreement to save the planet under climate change, you have a global agreement to do free trade.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Agreement between?
- SNSunita Narain
Between global.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm-hmm.
- SNSunita Narain
So this is between-
- NKNikhil Kamath
All nations
- SNSunita Narain
... all countries-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... all nations of the world signed, um, and, um, and China was not part of it. China became part of it in 2002, and it's a clear relationship between when China joined and how its emission curve went up. Now, the problem is not that China's emission curve went up, but the fact the rest of the world thought they had reduced their emissions, but they hadn't. They had exported their emissions to China-
- 38:30 – 40:18
What Drives Sunita Today?
- BPBhumi Pednekar
and US.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Sunita, another question to you. You were in the Times 100 Most Influential People list, and you went on Leonardo DiCaprio's documentary and spoke back... Spoke back? No. How do I-
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah, I didn't speak back. I just-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Critiqued him.
- SNSunita Narain
No, I critiqued cli- I told him-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Yeah
- SNSunita Narain
... what I felt about the climate change politics-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Yeah
- SNSunita Narain
... and how inconvenient it was.
- NKNikhil Kamath
So what is giving you the biggest high in your own life right now? Without filters. [laughing]
- SNSunita Narain
[laughing] So, I mean, I look for highs and good things that I can see happen. I'll be very clear, Nikhil, it's not easy anymore-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... okay? Uh, for somebody at, who's seen... I mean, 40 years ago, when we were, when I was in Rio in 1992, it just, I keep calling it the age of innocence. We just felt it was all possible. You could go and scream, you know, "Down with Bush," you know, and-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Were you like this-
- SNSunita Narain
"It will be down with Bush!"
- NKNikhil Kamath
... 40 years ago?
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah, I, uh-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Do you have a picture?
- SNSunita Narain
I was much worse.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
We'd love to have a flashback.
- SNSunita Narain
Much, much, much worse. [laughing]
- BPBhumi Pednekar
[laughing]
- SNSunita Narain
Much worse. I've become very, very genteel.
- NKNikhil Kamath
You actually have a witness.
- SNSunita Narain
You ask, you ask Navroz, I'm mellowed. [laughing]
- BPBhumi Pednekar
[laughing]
- SNSunita Narain
So but I think the, the, the high in my life, I mean, I went, two weeks ago, no, two months ago, I went to these villages in Andhra Pradesh-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... looking at natural farming, and I wrote about it. Amazing! I mean, to meet those women, and to-
- NKNikhil Kamath
And why does that give you a high, subconsciously?
- 40:18 – 45:55
The ‘Shit Story’ : India’s Sewage Story
- SNSunita Narain
So we, I do a lot of work on excreta. That's one of my major areas of work, is shit. And, um, we do these shit flow diagrams. I did a two-volume book called Excreta Matters, essentially arguing that, if you don't get your excreta story right, you cannot understand, you cannot fix your water pollution. Since then-
- NKNikhil Kamath
I'd, I'd love to know more. How do you get your [chuckles] excreta story right?
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah, I, I want to know that, too. Okay, so I'll explain. Don't get me started on this, Bhumi-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
No, please.
- SNSunita Narain
You will regret it.
- NKNikhil Kamath
No, just-
- SNSunita Narain
You will regret it. [laughing]
- BPBhumi Pednekar
I want to know.
- SNSunita Narain
Okay, so-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
This is-
- SNSunita Narain
So the shit story is, uh, if you look in Mumbai-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
Uh, we've done a shit flow diagram for Mumbai or Bangalore or any other-
- NKNikhil Kamath
[chuckles] Which city is better?
- SNSunita Narain
City... Huh?
- NKNikhil Kamath
Which one is better?
- SNSunita Narain
Uh, all of them are bad.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Okay.
- SNSunita Narain
All of them are bad. Most cities of India do not treat- do not have underground sewage-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... to intercept sewage and to take it to a sewage treatment plant-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Treatment
- SNSunita Narain
... clean it up, and then take it to a river. Most cities of India do what Mirik just talked about, the decentralized energy. This is decentralized sewage treatment.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
Okay? What you call on-site sewage treatment. Now, what excites me about it, and I, I, I then started, I got really excited by this, saying, "Here's the potential." I mean, if we could go to the cell phone... I mean, I'm old enough to tell you that when we were trying to get a landline for-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... CSE, for my organization, I actually had to go to Jairam Ramesh, who was OST at that time in Planning Commission, and, of course, Jairam got many... Uh, it was a payback, which I had to... But he had to sign on a piece of paper for us to get a telephone line.
- NKNikhil Kamath
[chuckles]
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Wow!
- SNSunita Narain
Today, all of us-
- 45:55 – 1:01:35
What is Climate Change? Simplified
- BPBhumi Pednekar
is one of our biggest water sources.
- NKNikhil Kamath
So one of the things I've realized talking to people is everybody has heard of the word climate change, but when I ask them to describe it to me or tell me what it is, uh, not many are able to. So the one thing we want to build is awareness. So I'm gonna go through each of you and ask you to define climate change in, say, two minutes. I'll give you my very idiotic, non-aware description of it. Sun emits rays. Each surface on the planet reflects differently the rays back. I think it's called albedo. I remember it using the word albino. When the heat is going back, it gets trapped in the atmosphere by virtue of more carbon dioxide, more methane, more water vapor, whatever, and the temperature rises. But I want each of you, in your own words, describe climate change for me. Some definition will resonate with somebody. Should we start with Navroz?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Maybe let's start with, with Mirik. I'm curious to hear him.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Yeah.
- MGMirik Gogri
So climate change is this, uh, system in which the rate of change in the temperature, on ocean ac- acidification, and the other parameters that impact any locality is higher than the ability of the people or organisms in the locality to adapt.
- NKNikhil Kamath
That's a good definition.
- SNSunita Narain
Mm. That's a nice way to put it.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Navroz?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Well, look, I... So I, I don't want to repeat what Mirik has said on this-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... uh, he, I think he's explained the science-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... uh, of it really well, right? But I think the key point is this: that i-i- to pick up on this point about the rate of change, we are now- the Earth is now warmer on average than at any point it's been in the last hundred thousand years.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm-hmm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
If you look at any of the graphs, you just see this incredible spike right in the last-
- NKNikhil Kamath
30
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... 30, 40 years.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
And it's-
- NKNikhil Kamath
And you're able to correlate that with human involvement.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Absolutely, and I mean-
- NKNikhil Kamath
More carbon, hotter temperature-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
That's right
- NKNikhil Kamath
... more climate change.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
So, since you asked me about the IPCC, let me explain a couple of the quite amazing science, bits of science behind this. But I, what I really want to get to is actually to move away from the scientific definition of climate change. My own definition won't be around science. But let me give you a couple of, uh, uh, examples. So one of the ways in which we know that, and you're completely right, right? We've had these cycles, the Earth has warmed, cooled, et cetera, et cetera. But there have been massive disruptions to life on Earth associated with each of these things. So we say it's natural, sure, it's natural, but the disruption is also natural, and it affects us now, uh, uh, as a species. So one of the things we've done is we look at ice core data, right? So they take literally cores of ice, digging deep down into the Earth. So the deepest is the Vostok ice core data, goes back eight hundred thousand years.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Right? The ice core has kind of rings, because every layer of snowfall has a distinct pattern.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
So they can count how old that i- ice is. Then they look at the air bubbles trapped-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm
- 1:01:35 – 1:07:00
Effects of Politics and Narratives on Climate Change
- NKNikhil Kamath
of politicians who are saying climate change is false, winning elections? Who are they resonating with, and why?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Well, it sounds like Sunita-
- SNSunita Narain
Right.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
-has an answer, but I, I, I do, too. But do you want to go first, Sunita, on this one?
- SNSunita Narain
No, no, go ahead, Navroz.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
I, I'm happy to hear yours.
- SNSunita Narain
Okay. So I, I've been thinking a lot about this.
- NKNikhil Kamath
How do you... Okay, another question while-
- SNSunita Narain
Mm
- NKNikhil Kamath
... we're talking about this.
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- NKNikhil Kamath
How do you deal with politicians while you're talking about climate?
- SNSunita Narain
I think there are three things happening in the world, which is leading to more authoritarian right-wing governments coming in across the world, which is also why you're becoming more denialism on climate change is becoming easier to do. One, I think, action is getting harder now. Um, so the West had easier action, what you call low-hanging fruit. They're all gone. If you look at the United States, so what has the US done to reduce its emissions till now? The US has gone from coal, the use of coal, to the use of shale gas, okay? Now, most of its energy today comes from shale gas.
- NKNikhil Kamath
And they say that's half the amount of emissions as coal?
- SNSunita Narain
So that's again the question.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
So it's half the CO2 emissions, but then when you add to it the methane-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
-emissions, which are also a greenhouse gas, it's hard to say-
- NKNikhil Kamath
You're talking about fracking, right?
- SNSunita Narain
Uh, you're talking about fracking-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Yeah, fracking-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Shale.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Oil, oil and gas
- SNSunita Narain
... you're talking about shale gas. Basically, gas, natural gas.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
Let's sort of-
- NKNikhil Kamath
But from the technology of fracking.
- SNSunita Narain
From the- they've moved to gas.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm.
- 1:07:00 – 1:07:05
Incentives of building low carbon economies
- NDNavroz K Dubash
now where we're teetering on the edge of an opportunity
- 1:07:05 – 1:13:40
Issues with Indian Electricity Distribution Companies
- NDNavroz K Dubash
story, where countries are now seeing their future economic gains-
- SNSunita Narain
Mm
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... actually being about building low-carbon economies, partly because China has spent this last decade very assiduously building these industries.
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
And suddenly, the West is playing catch-up.
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
But they don't f- but, uh, but the, the question now has become the speed of the transition.... if you can't do it fast enough-
- MGMirik Gogri
Mm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
-and you take on obligations, then you still impose costs on the economy.
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
And we are globally in a bit of a catch-22. So you now have a situation where the West is really retrenching. China and India is trying to get competitive in this green economy. It takes a lot of money. It takes a lot of the ability to throw massive subsidies at it. The big question for me is, India might be able to keep pace, and we can talk about this later, but what happens to Africa?
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
What happens to the smaller countries? They're going to be le- they're going to be basically getting the crumbs from this, from this table of green industrial subsidies. So we might be in this dilemma where the most aggressive things to solve climate change might actually make for a more unfair world. That's the kind of tension we are facing.
- SNSunita Narain
It doesn't have to be.
- MGMirik Gogri
But to the point-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
But that's-
- MGMirik Gogri
-uh, like, the one sort of bright spot in this whole thing is, you mentioned economics-
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- MGMirik Gogri
-how economics will India drive.
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- MGMirik Gogri
So that's where if economics of climate change solutions-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah
- MGMirik Gogri
... whether it's through some subsidies at the front, they just end up becoming better, and if you- if the world needs any sort of growth rate in the terms-
- SNSunita Narain
Mm
- MGMirik Gogri
... that people want to use the word-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah
- MGMirik Gogri
... you have a growth rate when you're transitioning away from all these things into something new. You have to build new assets and things like that. So once there's an economic alignment that it just makes sense, with the fact that you need to transform all these assets, I think, as you rightly mentioned, that will take over the narrative-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
That's what shifts the... That's right.
- MGMirik Gogri
And then-
- 1:13:40 – 1:27:27
Grid Storage : Opportunities For Entrepreneurs
- MGMirik Gogri
batteries cost. I think one important cost that has to be solved this decade, and it's, again, a point to the entrepreneurs out there, is around grid storage.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
Is about?
- MGMirik Gogri
Grid storage-
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah
- MGMirik Gogri
... because your solar and wind can't really scale after a point if you don't have very, very good, good grid storage.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah.
- MGMirik Gogri
And I think those cost curves, uh, because I don't think lithium ion can really work in the grid for whatever its challenges are, and lithium always will get a priority to the vehicles, and again, there's a supply-demand deficit there already. Grid storage technologies, again, again, to your point of what can entrepreneurs do, I, I genuinely feel grid storage and innovation around that, that whole supply chain, non-lithium ion based, is an exciting opportunity because the amount of grid storage is, that will be required... I think India's number is, if I'm not wrong, it's around two hundred gigawatt hours by twenty thirty, and we are not even stabilize the grid, so-
- SNSunita Narain
But Mirik, if I may, you know, take this conversation forward and ask you as well on this is, so there are two problems, I mean, I'm- we're handling right now. One is, um, so we, you know, we're all passionate about decentralized solutions, and as you saw, my fecal sludge-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah
- SNSunita Narain
... my rainwater harvesting, all that sort of really excites me to see putting things in the hands of people rather than in the hands of government. So, you know, it's, it's exciting. Build a lake, a pond, put it in the hands of village communities-
- MGMirik Gogri
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... to run it. So that's, that's the resource management. So some many years ago-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Sure
- SNSunita Narain
... and I can, we started working on mini grids, okay? Very passionate about it. Went and saw some mini grids in Chhattisgarh and other places. So I keep coming back to it because I don't want to leave it at, uh, for our research and work, but the cost is just so high.
- MGMirik Gogri
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
I mean, at thirty rupees a unit-
- MGMirik Gogri
It's insane
- SNSunita Narain
... it's not possible to basically replace.
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
Now, either you had a feed-in tariff situation where the government would subsidize it, but you know, it's huge.
- MGMirik Gogri
That's what the point is, that-
- SNSunita Narain
And that's the scaling issue
- MGMirik Gogri
... this is the decade where energy storage has to-- It has to happen to energy storage, what happened to solar and wind the last decade.
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah.
- MGMirik Gogri
And but once you hit that tipping point, in a way, of a solution-
- SNSunita Narain
So my-
- MGMirik Gogri
... then suddenly you're off grid.
- SNSunita Narain
So my question is, and that's I'm asking myself, these-
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah, sure
- 1:27:27 – 1:28:42
One thing government can do to make the Power grids better
- NDNavroz K Dubash
That's right.
- NKNikhil Kamath
One thing they can do to make the power grids of India better.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
They need to, they need to change and mandate that the distribution companies become the agents that provide this backup power, and organize their own power procurement for that purpose, right? So it's a little complicated because it's about the nature of power planning. So power planning is done today for centralized systems.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
We need power planning for decentralized systems.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Navroz, if I can-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
And it's a different form of power planning.
- NKNikhil Kamath
If I can ask you, and it's a simple-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah.
- NKNikhil Kamath
I don't know whether it exists. Like, if you just do time of day pricing, like differential pricing-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
That's one of the things. Yeah
- NKNikhil Kamath
... then, like, that's the simple thing.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Like, if you just have differential pricing based on the generation-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah
- NKNikhil Kamath
... then automatically the demand shifting also may start happening, because then if you-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
That's right
- NKNikhil Kamath
... in the night. So I think, for me, that can be one... It doesn't happen, right? Right now, or?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
No. So time, so time of day pricing-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Ah
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... is one important, important thing that-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Would you say that's the easiest low-hanging fruit?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Um, [sighs] it, it is definitely one of the things to, to put in place. I don't know whether we know enough to know exactly, you know, which is the best lever to pull. We have to pull three or four. But I know we have to
- 1:28:42 – 1:31:20
How to incentivise distribution companies
- NDNavroz K Dubash
change the incentives for the distribution companies. Right now, the distribution companies see renewable energy, uh, by individuals or by small, uh, entities as actually a threat to them. But the second thing I think is really interesting and gets to the core problem I told you about, uh, uh, earlier, right? Which is when-- Which is providing electricity... We're, we're in a loop right now of providing bad quality electricity to poor people who say: "Well, why on earth should I pay? I don't even get electricity when I really need it." And because they don't pay, then they get even less service, right? We need to be actually invoking a very different conversation around electricity, which is not electricity for the sake of electricity, but electricity as a service. And this goes all the way back to somebody, Sunita will, will, will know, a guy called, uh, Dr Amulya Reddy, who's sort of the father of this way of thinking about electricity as a service. So the way we've been thinking about it in our organization is, what if you talked about not providing electricity for the sake of electrons, but you're providing ways of increasing the productive capabilities of people in rural areas? So you're thinking about not subsidizing consumption of electricity, but you subsidize the things that make electricity productive, like cold chains, food processing, small industry. You subsidize that, and then you don't have to subsidize the electricity itself, and then people have an incentive to actually pay for it, right? Because they're... If, if it, if it doesn't-- if it's not good quality electricity, they can't make money. You can also bridge that with a renewable energy story and have intermediate companies coming in and saying: "We will finance and find ways of bringing in this product, and we'll sort of amortize it so you can pay us over time." So the idea of providing not electricity, but-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Can I ask you something?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... enhancing productivity from electricity is the shape.
- NKNikhil Kamath
All of, all of what you're saying is sounding very simple. Why isn't it happening?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Well-
- NKNikhil Kamath
If it was that simple.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Well, I think partly it does take just a, a question of reimagining, and partly you have institutions, in particular the distribution companies, who see their, their incentive is in selling electrons and in not selling electrons to people who are loss-making. That's the dynamic we are in right now, right? If you're going to lose money for every electron you sell, you're selling it at one rupee, it costs you three fifty-six, you're going to find all kinds of ways not to sell it. So shifting the incentive structure is really important.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Okay, moving on.
- 1:31:20 – 1:33:50
What is the Relationship between Pre-industrial temperatures and carbon
- NKNikhil Kamath
Uh, next topic, carbon concentration in the atmosphere. 1800s, it used to be two ninety ppm. They say the world is okay at three fifty. Right now, we're at four twenty. Uh, there is some evidence to say that higher percentage of carbon, higher the temperature. Now, one point one, one point two degree is the rise so far recorded, and everybody's talking about where we will be by two thousand and fifty.
- NKNikhil Kamath
... uh, 1.5 to 2 seems okay. Anything higher sounds crazy. Is that broadly right? 1.5 is okay?
- NKNikhil Kamath
It's okay in the sense of?
- NKNikhil Kamath
The 1.5 is doable.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Oh, okay.
- NKNikhil Kamath
1.5 is doable-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
But that's also so subjective-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Meaning-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Right?
- NKNikhil Kamath
And by the way, it's 2100, I think, the average-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Yeah
- NKNikhil Kamath
... or 2100 or 2050 they are saying. I think the sense is 2.6 is sort of the, 2.6 to 3 is the business as usual scenario-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Which-
- NKNikhil Kamath
For which-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Business as usual in terms of what-
- NKNikhil Kamath
2100. I think everything is 2100.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
In terms of what we're doing now.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Yeah, yeah.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Right now, we're on track for somewhere around 2.6.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Okay, paint me the dystopian picture of 20% of the world dying. What temperature increase is that?
- SNSunita Narain
I don't think that's a, that's a question that anyone can answer.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Not with any certainty.
- SNSunita Narain
Because, quite frankly, that's also been one of the problems, and that's why you're getting a lot of people saying climate change doesn't happen.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
Climate change is not about that image that you have, that sort of very cinema image that you have, that you're going to get these vast numbers-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Dramatic
- SNSunita Narain
... of people just dying and just... I mean, we saw that in COVID, okay? So we have lived through it.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
We have seen COVID happen-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm
- 1:33:50 – 1:46:22
Why doesn’t bollywood make movies around climate
- NKNikhil Kamath
a question?
- SNSunita Narain
That's something to understand.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Like Hollywood-
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- NKNikhil Kamath
... back in the day-
- SNSunita Narain
Mm
- NKNikhil Kamath
... has made smoking cool-
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Has made diamonds expensive-
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Has defined what we perceive to be attractive today-
- SNSunita Narain
Mm
- NKNikhil Kamath
... beyond symmetry, if one might say. Why doesn't Bollywood, your industry... You've done so much work, right? Like social causes, movies around that. Don't you think it's a good way to reach a large plethora of people by making movies around climate?
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Absolutely, but I feel it comes from the fact that a lot of people feel they're not gonna be affected by it. You know, because we feel that because we are protected by the wealth that we have, there will be some elite institution that we believe in that is gonna come and solve this, but that's not the case. As, uh, ma'am said, you know, as she rightly said, that climate change is something that is gonna be a great equalizer. And there'll only be enough narrative around it, which I really feel is missing, especially in the industry that I am from, because people feel it's not gonna affect them. You know, we live in a world... We live in our bubble, and our bubble gives us a lot of comfort, right? We are still- we have access to the best of things. I feel the narrative will only shift when we are truly affected by it.
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
And that's what happens.
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
As, as when we started our conversation, that's exactly what I said, that even today, when I am in rooms, and this conversation has been so educational for me, 'cause I'm just taking in so many different perspectives, and I'm not privy to information like so, right? What my path in the fight is, that I'm just trying to get as many people like me to start talking about it.
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
You know, when it, it needs to become popular culture.
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
That's the impact that media or films have, right? I want climate change and all the effects, and I need people to be fearful in many ways, and I really hope that there are many more films that are made. In fact, there was a film-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Thank you
- BPBhumi Pednekar
... called Kadvi Hawa that was made.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
It was-
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah
- BPBhumi Pednekar
... such a phenomenal film, but a film like so didn't really... It didn't really do well. It didn't reach a large audience because it also makes it... People, people feel they rather have an ostrich mentality, where they behave and they pretend like everything is okay around us. You know, , but that's not gonna happen.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Do you think fear sells more or does greed when it comes to movies?
- 1:46:22 – 1:49:55
Why we are focussed on optics more than action
- SNSunita Narain
we are getting too... It's- we're getting too glib about this whole thing. It's very, you know, because I'm a climate change activist, because climate change is important, everybody need. So then everybody is into net zero.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
Everything is net zero, everything is carbon neutral, means that I can do everything I want, but I've not somehow emitted or I've bought emissions. Mm. It's not adding up, and I think the tr-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
I mean, I'm only saying this because, you know, we can- we just don't have time to lose anymore in anything which is glib and, and, and doesn't add up, and we don't have time to waste. I mean-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
No, I, I just want to-
- SNSunita Narain
Uh
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... query you, Sunita. I, I mean, I completely agree with you in the world that we work in the most-
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... right? Which is the mitigation, uh, uh, side of things. And there's this, been this glibness and this, like, you know, the narrative has caught on, and basically what it's mean is that more and more people and companies are trying to show that they are acting without doing anything fundamentally different on the ground, right? I think on adaptation, it has the potential to be a little bit different-
- SNSunita Narain
No, but can I... Let's keep-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
It automatically becomes much more real.
- SNSunita Narain
But keep the, no, but keep the mitigation story also. I think there's a lot of real stuff we could do, okay?
- MGMirik Gogri
Absolutely.
- SNSunita Narain
There's a lot of real stuff that companies-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah
- SNSunita Narain
... can do, that people can do. There is, there, I mean, there are lots of things can be done that can reduce emissions. Uh, maybe you will not have the same wealth, but you would have wellbeing.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
And there is- we need to understand that it's possible. My problem is that we don't tend to do it, and we tend to be able to get away with it. Mm. And that's where I feel that one of the biggest roles that we are missing in the climate change is the ability to be able to call out a spade, a spade. Mm. I mean, when Greta started her movement, I think the shock value of having a young person say so, so clearly, so loudly, and with so much conviction, that, you know, this is just not adding up. Unfortunately, she still remains-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah
- SNSunita Narain
... incredible, but there is now a growing movement of, not you,
- NDNavroz K Dubash
[chuckles]
- SNSunita Narain
but I can see you having done something, and therefore, there's a realness that I can see. But I see a lot of young people who are just getting co-opted by the system- Mm ... by which they're part of the system. They go there, they say the things- Mm ... but they're not, it's not adding up. Mm. So I'm just saying my, my advice just simply is that I think we cannot afford to lose another decade in sweet nothingness.
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah, no, but Sunita, to your, to the point you were making of co-opting, I agree with you a hundred percent. Somebody wise once said: "Don't fear the man who has a hundred books in a library, fear the person who has one book and has never read it."
- SNSunita Narain
Mm.
- MGMirik Gogri
And I feel like society at large is like that today. Unfortunately, this ecosystem is also filled with a lot of people like that.
- SNSunita Narain
But I think we need, we- I think we have enough people on who are not like that.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
And I think to me, um, when I think back, I think the fact is that we need to give those people more voice, uh, more space, because otherwise you end up with just being able to get away by believing that you're making a difference, but you're really not making a difference. And I believe a difference can be made. It's not as if I've opted out of the system and said, "Nothing is possible-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah
- 1:49:55 – 1:52:38
What are Carbon Credits and Offsetting ?
- SNSunita Narain
study called Discredited, looking at the voluntary carbon market. Now, I very strongly believe in the role of markets and carbon crediting to make transformation. Why? Because you need money, and you need to get large amount of money for the kind of technology- Mm ... and other needs that we have. Now, if you could mobilize the market to say, "Okay, I can- I am interested in getting an offset." An offset simply means that I, um, I emit- Mm ... but if you reduce your emission... then I will buy that emission reduction from you, put it in my account, and I take the credit from it.
- MGMirik Gogri
Mm.
- SPSpeaker
Do you think the means of offsetting is accurate?
- SNSunita Narain
So, you know, when I study, it's a sh- it's a scam.
- SPSpeaker
'Cause in India-
- SNSunita Narain
It's not even a, it's not even-
- SPSpeaker
We tried-
- SNSunita Narain
It's such a fraud, I cannot tell you.
- SPSpeaker
We tried to invest in it.
- SNSunita Narain
Ah.
- SPSpeaker
The first company we found was somebody selling stoves which are more efficient-
- MGMirik Gogri
Stoves
- SPSpeaker
... the, the large Indian company, and they were playing that off to be an offset.
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
No, but, but can I say-
- SPSpeaker
It's globally.
- SNSunita Narain
Can I-
- SPSpeaker
It's globally now.
- SNSunita Narain
But it's, yeah, it's not just India story.
- MGMirik Gogri
But I think it's maturing in the- it's- this is the stock of the industry, which is, that happen. I am hopeful that it will at least mature in the down the line.
- SPSpeaker
I don't know. I'd be very surprised.
- SNSunita Narain
It will not mature unless you have rules-
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah
- SNSunita Narain
... unless you have integrity-
- MGMirik Gogri
Because of rules-
- SNSunita Narain
... you have regulation. I mean, the, the industry today is not doing... I mean, they're basically saying good things. I mean, they're saying, "We're investing in a smokeless-
- SPSpeaker
Rainforest
- SNSunita Narain
... chula." So giving you a, uh, a chula-
- SPSpeaker
Mm
- SNSunita Narain
... which uses less wood, therefore reduces the amount of wood that you use. We are investing in trees that are planted. All good ideas.
- 1:52:38 – 1:53:10
Nikhil Summarises the Episode so far
- SPSpeaker
yeah. So let me just summarize where we are, because this is quite long. [chuckles] We started with identifying what climate change is. We then went into energy transition being the real solution. We spoke about solar, we spoke about wind, we spoke about what's wrong with the grid. Uh, we're debating fission, fusion now, and the likelihood of it working. Next, we will move on to things like mitigation, geoengineering, what worked in the ozone layer, how did we solve that problem, and things like that,
- 1:53:10 – 2:04:40
Mirik’s view on nuclear fission and fusion
- SPSpeaker
but go for fission, fusion.
- MGMirik Gogri
Uh, so I think fission is definitely, and, again, this is my sense, fission is definitely an important part of the solution, and I think it really needs to step up. And I think apart from Germany, all the countries [chuckles] are going out, down that route. I think the Generation IV reactors, which are the small modular reactors, and with thorium coming in, in fact, I think we are investors in nuclear fission and fusion both, uh, itself. So I think overall, I am for fission specifically, and the SMRs, and this is like NTPC of India has also mentioned that they would want to look at those solutions. And fission, we have been doing it for the past fifty, sixty years, and if you look at the track record, it's pretty good in terms of-
- SPSpeaker
I think people are extrapolating something like one disaster with the repercussions over hundreds of years, and counting that as the true cost, and that is mitigating the fission-fusion effort.
- MGMirik Gogri
So-
- SPSpeaker
I have a counterview to this, but-
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah, yeah
- SPSpeaker
... go ahead.
- MGMirik Gogri
Go ahead. I, I know we, we had a discussion-
- SPSpeaker
Yeah
- MGMirik Gogri
... in the past, yes. Uh, but, uh, I, I think though, again, these are the kind of narratives that are, from my angle, crea- being created, and that's why you need to look at the data. Because if you are not putting a power plant, nuclear power plant, you are effectively, right now, for the base load, consuming fossil fuels. So in a way, by saying that this is not right, you are effectively allowing X number of deaths from air pollution and all those things to happen. So, and in fact, I don't know the numbers, but it's like billions of tons of CO2 have been saved because there has been a nuclear fission industry. Coming to fusion, fusion has the classic joke of it's always 30 years away. Uh, but I think-
- SPSpeaker
But for the first time, it isn't 30 years away.
- MGMirik Gogri
I think. [chuckles]
- SPSpeaker
You think?
- MGMirik Gogri
Uh, so again, I don't think till 2050 it can create a scalable impact. But my-
- SPSpeaker
Superficially, we are thinking-
- MGMirik Gogri
My sense is-
- SPSpeaker
... fusion might be possible, if not in the next twenty, thirty years.
- MGMirik Gogri
I would say fusion is not the solution to the climate crisis right now, but it's an important tool when you go beyond 2050 to 2100, for that, that society, which again-
- SPSpeaker
But fission is a tool right now.
- MGMirik Gogri
Fission is... I, again, we can counter, but, uh, I think we should debate it, definitely. But I think it is a tool, for sure.
- SPSpeaker
You are into fusion. You know, [clears throat] like he said, fusion is always 30 years away. In India, there's also been a God-given number-
- MGMirik Gogri
But for the first time, we had fusion.
- SPSpeaker
Uh, huh, but-
- MGMirik Gogri
But that's, uh-
- SPSpeaker
But, but, but-
- MGMirik Gogri
Net energy gain, not the net system gain.
- SPSpeaker
You, you know, the carbon budget for 1.5 is about 500 gigatons.
- MGMirik Gogri
Explain.
- SPSpeaker
Okay.
- MGMirik Gogri
What is 1.5?
- 2:04:40 – 2:05:40
Way Forward for Developing Nations
- NDNavroz K Dubash
most effective way forward is shifts on the demand side-
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah, that's true
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... which India is really well-placed to take advantage of because I think you were saying it earlier, Sunita, we haven't locked into things. We haven't fully built out our cities. We haven't established our behavioral patterns. You know, how we build our cities, how we light, how we create architectural norms, these are things that are actually the cheapest with the shortest turnaround time. So one of the interesting things is consumer technologies typically have much shorter technology turnaround times because they have shorter life-
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... than supply technologies. So you can actually-
- MGMirik Gogri
Iterate.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
I- iterate much faster, right? So, and for a developing country, those shifts in consumption patterns have to be about shifts that also enhance development, the kinds of things you're talking about when it comes to waste.
- MGMirik Gogri
I'm going to bring it back to our target crowd.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Mm.
- MGMirik Gogri
A twenty-year-old
- 2:05:40 – 2:11:45
How can a 20-year-old contribute to climate action today?
- MGMirik Gogri
boy or girl who wants to start a career here or a business here. In all the energy transition pathways we spoke about, what would you recommend? So I think for my sense, uh, bioenergy and everything around to do with bioenergy, waste management, and circularity. I think if you look at these three elements, which are sort of interconnected in a ways because it promotes circularity, I think that's, in India, a very right problem to solve, and I think given the kind of audience also in terms of knowledge, better knowledge of the supply chain, better local on-ground, uh, implementation, operational challenges, uh, that will be my at least.
- SNSunita Narain
So for me, my only advice is, in India, I think what has really been important has been when we have been very frugal in our engineering-
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah
- SNSunita Narain
... looking for answers that work for us. I mean, what Mirik said is what I would like to talk about, which is really, you know, the, not just the fact that you take waste and you make, uh, energy out of, but you have so much happening in India where you're beginning to do things completely differently from the rest of the world, and I think that's the power of imagination. I can name, I can tell you of many cases where people have taken on ventures, where they are doing upcycling of waste material-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
... where they are doing-- I mean, there is this young person I met recently who's doing this amazing job of, he's basically sourcing all the flowers that are thrown out of temples, and he is making-
- MGMirik Gogri
Full, full agree.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
And he is making agarbattis out of it.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
That's cool.
- SNSunita Narain
Okay?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yes.
- SNSunita Narain
Uh, there are huge opportunities, but again, those agarbattis are affordable. They can be used by large numbers of people. They, they, they work for environment. I, I see incredible work happening in this country by the young, and I think they're very different from my generation because they're much more connected to the question of climate change, to the need to do something urgently, but also much more nimble in thinking.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
So I, I'll, I'll give you an area of opportunity. So I, a- and this comes back to something I said earlier. I think the scope for decentralized energy services that enhance productivity in rural areas-
- MGMirik Gogri
Like the solar for agriculture
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... is, is a really huge, uh, issue. But the general point I would make-
- MGMirik Gogri
So you would suggest to a young person that way?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Create a company. So there's, so there's this guy we both know-
- MGMirik Gogri
Which goes to farmers, takes a solar thing and says-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
So Harish Hande from SELCO. SELCO is a great example of a small company where Harish Hande has talked about using renewable energy to provide development gains, whether it's, uh, uh, uh, cold storage for medicines and vaccines-
- SNSunita Narain
Mm
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... uh, whether it's for productivity enhancement, whether it's for agricultural processing, and figuring out not just, and this is where I comes up with the, that it's not that I'm technology phobe-
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah, yeah
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... Mirik, by any means, right? But you have to build out the institutional structure-
- MGMirik Gogri
No, we hear you.
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... the, the case.
- SNSunita Narain
Absolutely.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
You have to make sure that the politics of it work-
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah.
- 2:11:45 – 2:13:47
What are some forums for engaging in climate change discussions?
- NKNikhil Kamath
I may ask you guys, if I'm a young person and I want to participate in conversations around this, like, I want to talk to you on a forum, I want to talk to you on a forum, I want to talk to you guys, where do I go? Like, just to-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Well-
- SNSunita Narain
You, you should read Down to Earth. [chuckles]
- NDNavroz K Dubash
And, well, and Co- COVID has-
- NKNikhil Kamath
[chuckles]
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... COVID has actually really expanded, ironically-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Are there, like, online forums?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Where-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Yeah, huge
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... everybody does webinars.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Which ones? Which ones?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Everybody does webinars now.
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah, there's some-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Like two-way, two-way conversation, if I want to be a part of the community?
- SNSunita Narain
So webinars, I think a lot of our institutions are doing-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah
- SNSunita Narain
... uh, open webinar. I mean, the good thing with COVID-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Can you name some good ones, like the funds that come to your mind first?
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Well, I mean, uh, I think all of our organizations, where, where I was, the Center for Policy Research, the new organization we set up, Sustainable Futures Collaborative-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Infinitheum
- NDNavroz K Dubash
... uh, but TERI, uh, all the others in our ecosystem, everything is now open acce- open access in, uh, in terms of webinars.
- SNSunita Narain
Yeah, we reach out to huge numbers of people.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Mm.
- MGMirik Gogri
I, I'll take a different lens. Like, lot of climate tech VCs are doing mixers. Specifically, I'm talking about Bangalore and Mumbai areas, and-
- NKNikhil Kamath
What's a mixer?
- MGMirik Gogri
So it's basically a, sort of a dinner, uh, not dinner, but it's people meet up and-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Oh, they have singles mixers.
- MGMirik Gogri
Huh, sort of. There's cl-
- NKNikhil Kamath
Really?
- MGMirik Gogri
... climate dating also is something-
- 2:13:47 – 2:22:05
Can we solve for Climate Change the same way we did for ozone?
- NKNikhil Kamath
topic, uh, what did we do right with the ozone issue? Ozone was, like, this world-ending issue many years ago.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
Well, it's very-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
It's not a-
- SNSunita Narain
... clear.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
I mean, it's a very simple story, but a very clear story. It does not have the lessons for climate change, so that is something we need to start and understand very clearly.
- NKNikhil Kamath
Okay.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
May even have set us on the wrong course.
- SNSunita Narain
And we need to understand what-
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Oh, really?
- SNSunita Narain
... what has happened with ozone actually not only does not work for climate change, but we have, may have, exactly as Navroz is saying, we may have derailed-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Yeah
- SNSunita Narain
... the climate change action because of the action. So what happened in ozone? We had a chemical made by a multinational, which was destroying the world's-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Ozone layer
- SNSunita Narain
... ozone layer.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
Okay? That same multinational came up with an alternative which only made sure that the ozone layer was less destroyed.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
Okay? But there was an alternative technology available from the same multinational.
- BPBhumi Pednekar
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
Okay? And many more such companies that came on, DuPont and many others that came up. Now, the global consensus around it was, we need to do something, because the ozone layer is, uh, being damaged. We need to repair it. For that, we need to phase out this technology.... and to phase out this technology, we need to phase in the new technology, which now is being held also on proprietary grounds by this same company which made the first technology. So what was the deal? The deal was that money would be put in to buy the technology, which was in proprietary hands. Public money would be used, and that technology would then be given to countries which had a 10-year lead time to catch up. So you took public money, you had a problem that was created by a company, that company was ne- not held to account.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Which company?
- SNSunita Narain
DuPont.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
DuPont.
- SNSunita Narain
Okay? They were not held to ... ICICI and DuPont. Uh, they were not held to account. They were not told that they had damaged the ozone layer. Polluter pay should, uh, operate. They should be asked to pay for it. In fact, the global agreement was that now that you have found the new technology, we will buy that from you and replace your old technology with it. Okay? And we have gone through four variations of this now, by the time we have reached today, HFC-134a-
- NDNavroz K Dubash
Now, HF4s are also coming in.
- SNSunita Narain
Which, now HF4s are coming.
- NDNavroz K Dubash
What is HF4? Uh-
- SNSunita Narain
Each one of them are new chemicals, which are basically-
- 2:22:05 – 2:31:08
Are carbon capture projects the future?
- SPSpeaker
Carbon capture projects, do they have a future? Are they, uh, legitimately a possibility that can curtail some of the ill effects?
- MGMirik Gogri
So, like, in carbon capture at source-
- SNSunita Narain
Mm
- MGMirik Gogri
... definitely has some role to play.
- SPSpeaker
Right.
- MGMirik Gogri
So again, in cement you will require, when you go from CO2 to chemicals and, say, sustainable aviation fuel, e-fuels, and all those, that is definitely there. Direct air capture, which is there, uh, I think it is just too energy intensive. I think it is like the current numbers are, it's three megawatt hours. Again, not taking, not taking the numbers, it's just too energy intensive right now. I really don't see a pathway to energy intensity reducing so that it can be really scaled up, uh, until-
- SNSunita Narain
No
- MGMirik Gogri
... some new technology comes in, it's-
- SPSpeaker
I'll give you a funny, uh, story around this. There are people in Bombay, some kid pitched us this company, which is doing carbon capture, and he's putting it in parks and stuff like that. People in places like Delhi, Bombay are attempting it, young guys, which is quite interesting.
- MGMirik Gogri
No, you can. So basically, fundamentally, it's not a difficult technology. If I take a... Again, slightly technical, if I take a base and just rotate air a- around it, you will capture some carbon dioxide because it will react to it, and you get it captured. So it's not a impossible technology, it's a simple technology, but is it scalable?
- SPSpeaker
It costs.
- MGMirik Gogri
That's when the energy budget comes in, and then it's quite high so far. Having said that, in a lot of the IPCC reports, I don't know, but they have mentioned that you require some sort of carbon capture as well in the later years at least.
- SNSunita Narain
So planting trees-
- SPSpeaker
So I just say-
- SNSunita Narain
... captures carbon as well.
- MGMirik Gogri
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
Okay? I mean, this is the point. There's nothing against carbon capture.
- MGMirik Gogri
Mm.
- SNSunita Narain
Okay, the point is, what method are you going to use? How energy intensive it's going to be, how affordable is it going to be, how scalable is it going to be?
- MGMirik Gogri
I think the key, key element is-
- SNSunita Narain
And keeping in mind 2030.
- SPSpeaker
But, let me just, doing carbon capture using fossil fuels.
- MGMirik Gogri
Mm.
- SPSpeaker
Not like trees, which are using solar energy.
- MGMirik Gogri
But you know, you know what, it's open the-
- SNSunita Narain
No, so carbon capture using fossil fuel is a very different thing, where you're saying, "I have-
- SPSpeaker
I build this machine which-
- SNSunita Narain
... a power plant."
- SPSpeaker
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
I have a power plant-
- 2:31:08 – 2:34:45
Can Geoengineering Be Effective in Addressing Global Issues?
- SNSunita Narain
Hmm.
- SPSpeaker
It could be adding sulfur in the stratosphere, covering ice with limestone, trying to tweak the after effects of climate. Thoughts, anybody?
- SNSunita Narain
I've never looked at it. I have no clue.
- MGMirik Gogri
So, so I think there is sulfur, stratospheric sulfur-
- SPSpeaker
Stratosphere
- MGMirik Gogri
... uh, aerosol injections.
- SNSunita Narain
Hmm.
- MGMirik Gogri
Then you have marine cloud brightening, which is also an interesting thing. My-
- SPSpeaker
Ocean, ocean seeding.
- MGMirik Gogri
Ocean fertilization is an interesting thing.
- SPSpeaker
Ocean fertilization.
- MGMirik Gogri
Uh, with what we are burning with fossil fuels, we are effectively running a large geo, uh, engineering experiment itself, right? So first, that's also an experiment. My thought process is we should do all the research. I am not against doing all the research.
- SPSpeaker
I think some people have gone behind- beyond research, and they're implementing.
- MGMirik Gogri
That's why, that's why I would, I would right now at least-
- SPSpeaker
Yeah
- MGMirik Gogri
... draw the line that the-
- SNSunita Narain
That is the arrogance of man.
- MGMirik Gogri
No, no, but-
- SNSunita Narain
I mean, to think that you could tinker around with nature to that extent, that you could fix-
- SPSpeaker
No, but they tinkered, but to begin with-
- SNSunita Narain
To fix what you have so badly broken.
- MGMirik Gogri
So-
- SNSunita Narain
And you've completely disrupted nature today, you've gone way beyond nature's absorptive capacities. It's the arrogance, the, of man, which has brought us to this stage-
- SPSpeaker
But we're not saying we should not research it in-
- SNSunita Narain
And we think that the arrogance of man is going to get us out of it?
- MGMirik Gogri
I, I, I think I, I agree with you. So my sense is, what are the risks? Like, again, the bigger dystopian future that you-
- SNSunita Narain
Hmm
- MGMirik Gogri
... asked the question, like, there are certain tipping points of climate you, which you may hit if you are not doing-- if you are doing business as usual-
- SNSunita Narain
Hmm
- MGMirik Gogri
... now, whether it's the permafrost thaw or the Western Antarctic ice sheet and all that. So I-
- 2:34:45 – 2:39:40
How Should a Carbon Tax Be Levied?
- SPSpeaker
What do we think about the idea of carbon tax? Uh, uh, putting a price on carbon from straight economic logic is a good thing, and a carbon tax is a better way to do it than a cap and trade system, right?
- MGMirik Gogri
No question.
- SPSpeaker
In, in, in my view, and I think it's- But how do you tax it? Do you tax it on carbon consumption, on energy?
- MGMirik Gogri
I think you can just tax the fossil fuels itself, so then that's the simplest-
- SPSpeaker
You, you, you would, you would tax it at the pla- at the choke-
- SNSunita Narain
At source
- SPSpeaker
... at the choke points.
- MGMirik Gogri
Choke. Okay.
- SPSpeaker
Basically, at the fewest-
- SNSunita Narain
What are the choke points?
- SPSpeaker
The fewest points, which is at production, basically.
- MGMirik Gogri
Production.
- SPSpeaker
Production, import, et cetera, et cetera.
- MGMirik Gogri
Yeah.
- SNSunita Narain
Right, so you would go tax, um- But the import- Oh. No, but the CBAM is that's, that's the-
- MGMirik Gogri
CBAM is what that-
- SNSunita Narain
So that's Europe's answer.
- MGMirik Gogri
Ah, okay.
- SNSunita Narain
Europe has basically put a carbon adjusted border mechanism in place. Essentially-
- SPSpeaker
Carbon border adjustment mechanism.
- SNSunita Narain
Bo-
- SPSpeaker
Yeah, CBAM.
- SNSunita Narain
It's too late at night-
- SPSpeaker
Yeah [chuckles]
- SNSunita Narain
... for me to get CBAM right in terms of its, uh... Uh, essentially, it's a, it's a measure, benign if you look at it, to say, "Oh, we are putting a tax to make sure there's a level playing field, so that the Indians who don't have clean technology cannot come into our markets." But it's actually a t- trade measure-
- SPSpeaker
Yeah
- SNSunita Narain
... being put in by the Europeans to, um, to stop the import of a lot of products, which they now want to grow their own industry in. And it does put the whole- I mean, the point is, globalization hasn't worked, as you said, that elephant. But the problem is that we are all wedded to globalization today, because we are export-oriented industries. We don't have any other economic system. So in my view, these kind of taxation systems that are emerging in the world, the US has IRA, which is a subsidy system, works the same, 'cause you're subsidizing your own industry versus other industry. Europe has a taxation system. I think those are going to be bad for climate change. We need cooperation in climate change, not competit- uh, not competition, not polarization. We need the world to come together.
- MGMirik Gogri
And to that point, I think one of the sense that I have is the world, every country or region will have its own strength.
- SPSpeaker
Mm.
- MGMirik Gogri
And if you're not... Because of the problem is so big, if everyone is saying, "I want to do everything myself. I want to do manufacturing myself, I want to do research myself, everything at myself," I think that just creates inefficiencies. At time where we don't have that, we really need to have that cooperation across the board.
Episode duration: 2:57:53
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