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Baseten CEO Tuhin Srivastava on Custom Models, and Building the Inference Cloud

Baseten CEO and co-founder Tuhin Srivastava sits down with Sarah Guo and Elad Gil to discuss the rapid growth of AI inference demand, Baseten’s 30x growth, and why inference is becoming the strategic “last market.”

Sarah GuohostTuhin SrivastavaguestElad Gilhost
Apr 30, 202642mWatch on YouTube ↗

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At a glance

WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT

Baseten CEO on custom models, scaling inference, and compute constraints

  1. Baseten’s growth is driven by the rapid expansion of the application layer and the mainstreaming of post-training/RL techniques that let companies “own” and specialize inference.
  2. Most production inference on Baseten is custom (about 90–95% of tokens), with customers modifying, compiling, and optimizing open-source weights for both quality and performance rather than running vanilla models.
  3. GPU supply is extremely tight with minimal slack, pushing providers toward multi-year contracts with significant prepay and making operational reliability and access to quality suppliers as critical as software.
  4. Customers prioritize model capability first and cost second, using a mix of frontier closed models and increasingly strong open-source models (including Chinese-origin models), while navigating security and geopolitical considerations.
  5. Baseten’s product direction emphasizes an end-to-end loop: inference produces data and eval signals, which feeds post-training, which in turn drives more inference—plus runtime innovations like cache-aware routing, prefill/decode separation, and agent sandboxes.

IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING

5 ideas

Workflow moats beat model moats for most application companies.

Srivastava argues the durable advantage is proprietary user signal embedded in end-to-end workflows (e.g., clinician edits and EMR integration), which labs can’t easily access to post-train long-horizon systems.

The market is still early: enterprise inference adoption is mostly ahead of us.

By inference volume, he estimates ~99% is still from AI-native app companies today, implying a large upcoming wave as enterprises move from API trials to custom-model deployment.

Custom models are already the production default for serious users.

Baseten sees ~90–95% of tokens as “custom” inference—customers fine-tune/post-train and also compile/quantize/optimize for latency and cost, not just accuracy.

Capability-first buying drives model choice; cost optimization comes later.

Customers start with the best-performing model for value creation, then optimize cost/latency—meaning infrastructure must support rapid switching and deep optimization across many models.

GPU scarcity is deeper than most narratives suggest, and “good supply” is rarer than raw supply.

He describes mid-90s utilization as normal and notes many new suppliers lack data-center and inference-SLA maturity, shrinking the set of truly reliable providers to a small top tier.

WORDS WORTH SAVING

5 quotes

I think everyone is real-realizing that you can put AI everywhere.

— Tuhin Srivastava

To the extent that it is encoded in workflows, um, that is where they will be able to develop moat.

— Tuhin Srivastava

It is all custom.

— Tuhin Srivastava

No post-training pre-product market fit is what I... Is what I'd say.

— Tuhin Srivastava

As much as we hear about it, I don't think people realize how bad it really is.

— Tuhin Srivastava

Read the available transcript
30x growth and inference as a massive marketWhy the application layer persists vs. frontier labsServing AI-native companies that sell into enterprisesOpen-source model mix and frontier capability raceChinese models: security concerns and geopoliticsCustom inference, compilation, and performance tuningGPU supply crunch, contracts, and cost of capitalRuntime roadmap: KV-cache routing, prefill/decode split, speculationScale edge cases and hyperscaler limitationsHiring leadership and operations/pager cultureJevons paradox and rising demand from efficiency“Concierge everything” agentic future

SPEAKERS

  • Sarah Guo

    host

    Co-host of the No Priors podcast and investor focused on AI and technology startups.

  • Tuhin Srivastava

    guest

    Founder and CEO of Baseten, an AI inference cloud platform.

  • Elad Gil

    host

    Co-host of the No Priors podcast and technology investor/entrepreneur.

High quality AI-generated summary created from speaker-labeled transcript.

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