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Daniel Kahneman Doesn't Trust Your Intuition | Re:Thinking with Adam Grant

The TED Audio Collective is a collection of podcasts for the curious. Daniel Kahneman is a Nobel Prize winner who transformed our understanding of the biases that cloud our thinking. In this conversation, he and Adam explore when to trust our intuition and when to second-guess it. Danny explains how he finds joy in being wrong, spells out steps to smarter interviewing, and reveals how he—the master decoder of decision-making—makes decisions. Find the transcript for this episode at go.ted.com/T4GDK The TED Audio Collective videos may be used for non-commercial purposes under a Creative Commons License, Attribution–Non Commercial–No Derivatives (or the CC BY – NC – ND 4.0 International) and in accordance with our TED Talks Usage Policy (https://www.ted.com/about/our-organiz...). For more information on using TED for commercial purposes (e.g. employee learning, in a film or online course), please submit a Media Request at https://media-requests.ted.com.

Adam GranthostDaniel Kahnemanguest
Jan 12, 202336mWatch on YouTube ↗

At a glance

WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT

Kahneman on reducing misery, delaying intuition, and learning joyfully from errors

  1. Kahneman argues societal progress should prioritize reducing misery over maximizing happiness, because the people who suffer most are a smaller, distinct group and policy should target them directly.
  2. He critiques positive psychology as potentially conservative when it encourages people to feel better about unchanged circumstances rather than changing the conditions creating suffering.
  3. Kahneman explains that intuition is unavoidable but should be delayed—especially in organizational judgments like hiring—so information is gathered before a gut impression hardens into confirmation-seeking.
  4. He describes a structured Israeli army interview system where rating specific traits first and then adding an “intuition at the end” outperformed either pure intuition or pure scoring alone.
  5. Kahneman reflects on rethinking parts of Thinking, Fast and Slow (including replication issues and neglect of individual differences) and shares practical tools like the “inner crowd,” where averaging your own repeated judgments improves accuracy.

IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING

5 ideas

Policy should target misery more than happiness.

Kahneman argues increasing happiness and reducing misery aren’t symmetric tasks; suffering is concentrated in a minority, so directing resources to reduce severe misery yields different—and often more urgent—policy priorities (e.g., mental health).

Positive psychology can unintentionally preserve harmful conditions.

He suggests some interventions risk helping people accommodate bad circumstances rather than changing the circumstances themselves, making the approach “deeply conservative” in effect.

Don’t eliminate intuition—postpone it.

Kahneman’s practical advice is to delay forming a global impression because early intuitions shut down information intake and trigger rationalization and confirmation during the rest of the process.

Use structure first, then allow a final holistic judgment.

In his Israeli army interviewer system, scoring multiple predefined traits before giving an overall intuitive rating produced the best results; the “intuition at the end” added predictive value beyond the trait averages.

People cling to ideas because they treat them as scarce and identity-linked.

Kahneman stays open to being wrong partly because he sees ideas as abundant; discarding weak ideas is easier when your self-worth isn’t attached to any single hypothesis.

WORDS WORTH SAVING

5 quotes

I think my focus would be neither happiness nor character. It would be misery. And, and I think that there is a task for society, um, to reduce misery, not to increase happiness.

Daniel Kahneman

The l- the dimension is labeled by its positive pole, and that's very unfortunate because actually increasing happiness and reducing misery are very different things.

Daniel Kahneman

I've really enjoyed changing my mind because I enjoy being surprised, and I enjoy being surprised because I feel I'm learning something.

Daniel Kahneman

I have never thought that ideas are rare. And, you know, if that idea isn't any good, then there is another that's going to be better.

Daniel Kahneman

Our advice is not to do without intuition. It is to delay it.

Daniel Kahneman

Misery reduction vs happiness maximizationCritique of positive psychologyEngagement vs wellbeing at workJoy of being wrong and identity-free ideasDelaying intuition to prevent premature closureStructured interviews: trait ratings plus final holistic judgmentInner crowd: second opinions from yourself over timeIndividual differences vs average effects in psychologyCollaboration norms from work with Amos TverskyNobel Prize effects on career timing

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