E148: McCarthy ousted, border chaos, Cruise's robotaxi "accident" & more

E148: McCarthy ousted, border chaos, Cruise's robotaxi "accident" & more

All-In PodcastOct 7, 20231h 18m

Jason Calacanis (host), David Sacks (host), Chamath Palihapitiya (host), David Friedberg (host), David Sacks (host), Narrator, Narrator

Correction and reassessment of Airtable’s ARR, growth, and valuationKevin McCarthy’s ouster as Speaker: causes, CRs, and Ukraine fundingU.S. federal budgeting dysfunction: omnibus bills vs. 12 regular appropriations billsSouthern border surge, ‘Remain in Mexico,’ and emerging bipartisan pressure for a wallAutonomous vehicles and the Cruise robo‑taxi accident in San FranciscoSocietal risk aversion and regulatory overreach stalling technologies (nuclear, gene therapy, AVs)JSX’s ‘private‑style’ airline model and regulatory pushback from major carriers and unions

In this episode of All-In Podcast, featuring Jason Calacanis and David Sacks, E148: McCarthy ousted, border chaos, Cruise's robotaxi "accident" & more explores mcCarthy’s ouster, border breakdown, robotaxis, and tech risk backlash The hosts open with a brief correction on earlier claims about Airtable’s valuation and growth, using it to illustrate how stale or misleading online data can distort perceptions of late‑stage startups. They then dive into Kevin McCarthy’s historic removal as Speaker, arguing it reflects a revolt against omnibus spending, endless continuing resolutions, and unaccountable Ukraine funding rather than a simple ‘far‑right’ coup. The conversation shifts to the southern border, where they contend the Biden administration is being forced—politically and practically—to reverse course and adopt Trump‑like border security measures, including physical barriers and ‘virtual wall’ technologies. In the back half, they discuss the Cruise robo‑taxi accident, the broader backlash against autonomous vehicles and other frontier tech, and how an extreme aversion to risk and regulatory capture are slowing down transformational innovations like AVs, nuclear, biotech, and even experimental airlines such as JSX.

McCarthy’s ouster, border breakdown, robotaxis, and tech risk backlash

The hosts open with a brief correction on earlier claims about Airtable’s valuation and growth, using it to illustrate how stale or misleading online data can distort perceptions of late‑stage startups. They then dive into Kevin McCarthy’s historic removal as Speaker, arguing it reflects a revolt against omnibus spending, endless continuing resolutions, and unaccountable Ukraine funding rather than a simple ‘far‑right’ coup. The conversation shifts to the southern border, where they contend the Biden administration is being forced—politically and practically—to reverse course and adopt Trump‑like border security measures, including physical barriers and ‘virtual wall’ technologies. In the back half, they discuss the Cruise robo‑taxi accident, the broader backlash against autonomous vehicles and other frontier tech, and how an extreme aversion to risk and regulatory capture are slowing down transformational innovations like AVs, nuclear, biotech, and even experimental airlines such as JSX.

Key Takeaways

Verify private company data, especially when it comes from viral threads.

The hosts walk back earlier comments on Airtable after speaking directly with its CEO, noting ARR is likely around $500M with solid growth—far above the stale figures circulating on X. ...

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McCarthy’s removal is fundamentally about rejecting status‑quo spending practices.

They argue the decisive issue wasn’t just personality or ‘far‑right’ ideology, but McCarthy’s failure to honor promises to end giant omnibus bills and return to 12 single‑subject appropriations bills. ...

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Exploding debt and rising long‑term rates mean deficits now tangibly constrain growth.

With long rates rising due to a higher term premium, the bond market is finally pricing in U. ...

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Border policy is politically forcing Democrats toward Trump‑style enforcement tools.

Record migrant encounters, overwhelmed cities like New York, and DHS quietly authorizing new ‘physical barriers’ suggest the administration is effectively conceding that a strong border (wall plus sensors and manpower) is necessary. ...

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A mix of physical walls and advanced sensor towers is likely the pragmatic border solution.

They suggest rapidly deploying high‑range surveillance towers (from firms like Elbit and Anduril) along the border to gather real‑time data and identify hotspots, then concentrating walls and enforcement resources where crossings are heaviest. ...

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Statistically, autonomous vehicles can save far more lives than they risk—if allowed to scale.

With ~45,000 U. ...

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Regulatory risk aversion and capture are delaying high‑impact tech across sectors.

From halting gene‑therapy trials after a single death, to nuclear being frozen post‑Chernobyl and Fukushima, to SpaceX’s Starship delays over debris concerns, they see a pattern: wealthy societies adopt ‘zero‑loss’ ethics that block innovations which would disproportionately benefit the world’s poorest via cheaper energy, food, and medicine.

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Notable Quotes

This isn’t Republican versus Democrat; it’s about forcing Congress to follow the law and pass 12 spending bills instead of hiding everything in one massive CR.

Chamath Palihapitiya

We’re finally at the point where rising interest rates mean deficits actually matter.

David Sacks

We’re defending Ukraine’s border but not our own.

David Sacks

Fifty thousand people a year are dying on U.S. roads because of basic human stupidity—DUIs, speeding, not wearing seatbelts—and autonomous driving can take most of that off the streets.

David Friedberg

Those of us who are rich and in charge can say, ‘I don’t want to take any more risks because one person died,’ while a million people are starving to death. That’s the cost of our lost risk tolerance.

David Friedberg

Questions Answered in This Episode

If Congress were forced back to 12 stand‑alone appropriations bills, what specific spending cuts or reforms would realistically emerge that omnibus bills currently hide?

The hosts open with a brief correction on earlier claims about Airtable’s valuation and growth, using it to illustrate how stale or misleading online data can distort perceptions of late‑stage startups. ...

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Where should the line be drawn for acceptable risk in deploying new technologies like AVs, nuclear, and gene therapy, and who should get to decide that risk threshold?

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What concrete, data‑driven border policy would balance humanitarian asylum obligations with the need for order and economic sustainability in receiving cities?

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How can regulators be redesigned to internalize the opportunity cost of slowing innovation—for example, the lives lost or wealth foregone during multi‑year delays?

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Given Tesla’s data advantage in full self‑driving, what—if anything—can legacy automakers and AV startups do to catch up, and should regulators treat those approaches differently?

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Transcript Preview

Jason Calacanis

How was your colonoscopy, by the way?

David Sacks

(laughs) Oh, yeah.

Chamath Palihapitiya

Oh, well, uh, that was, uh-

David Sacks

Talk about your anus.

Chamath Palihapitiya

Talk about my anus?

David Sacks

(laughs)

Chamath Palihapitiya

Have you guys had yours recently? Who's had a colonoscopy?

Jason Calacanis

I had mine in December, my first one.

Chamath Palihapitiya

Was that your first one?

Jason Calacanis

I had it... Yeah, my first one.

Chamath Palihapitiya

Yeah, I was delinquent on mine too.

Jason Calacanis

They... It used to be 50, and they moved the age down to 45.

Chamath Palihapitiya

Yeah, they did move the age down. Friedberg, have you had one yet? That's a yes. We got a yes.

David Sacks

I'm due.

Chamath Palihapitiya

Sacks, have you had yours?

David Sacks

I'm due.

Chamath Palihapitiya

By the way, I got a report, because, uh, actually, Sacks, you did have one, and they found, uh, a bunch of DeSantis merchandise up there.

Jason Calacanis

(laughs)

David Sacks

(laughs)

Chamath Palihapitiya

They found a DeSantis hat, a DeSantis pin. Tons of DeSantis stuff right up your ass. (laughs)

David Sacks

(laughs)

Chamath Palihapitiya

At our age, we should be four for four on the colonoscopies. We're one for four. They gotta get that stat up. Every week, I wanna check in here. Propofol, uh, Mi-... Shout out Michael Jackson, is the greatest drug ever. I counted 15 seconds, I was knocked out. I woke up, and the next thing I know, I was in m- the recovery room.

Jason Calacanis

Were you groggy?

Chamath Palihapitiya

I was not groggy. No, I was fine. You literally don't remember anything, no pain, no suffering. I did have-

Jason Calacanis

But were you able to have a regular schedule the rest of the day?

Chamath Palihapitiya

Not really. So, uh, I don't wanna dissuade anybody from having this, but you do have to take a drink called Prep, which clears you out. And when I say clears you out-

Jason Calacanis

Oh, I love that. Oh, I love it. I love that.

Chamath Palihapitiya

... it clears you out. Yeah, I hit a record low weight. I'm 168 now, so that was the one benefit, but I di-

Jason Calacanis

Well, how much weight did you lose?

Chamath Palihapitiya

Three pounds, maybe?

Jason Calacanis

Come on.

Chamath Palihapitiya

Oh, yeah. Yeah, yeah.

Jason Calacanis

Were you working when you were prepping? No.

Chamath Palihapitiya

I was working when I was prepping, so Monday when I was prepping, but then literally, (laughs) you take this Prep stuff. An hour later, you're, you need to be ready to evacuate at any time.

David Sacks

Normally, the diarrhea is coming out of your mouth.

Chamath Palihapitiya

Absolutely, absolutely. (laughs)

Jason Calacanis

(laughs)

Chamath Palihapitiya

(laughing) Well played. There's your call to open, folks.

David Friedberg

I'm going all in.

Jason Calacanis

Let your winners ride.

Chamath Palihapitiya

Rain Man David Sachs.

David Friedberg

I'm going all in.

David Sacks

And I said- We open source it to the fans, and they've just gone crazy with it.

Jason Calacanis

Love you guys.

Chamath Palihapitiya

West Side Queen of Quinoa.

David Friedberg

I'm going all in.

Chamath Palihapitiya

All right, everybody. Welcome to another amazing episode of the All In podcast, Episode 148. The docket is absurd. Uh, the number of lawsuits and the amount of news that has happened in just the last week has been insane. Uh, but we wanna, at the top of the show, do a quick correction, right? It's an all-in correction. If we make a mistake here, we don't hide it in the show notes. We just talk about it right up front. Sacks, you were in touch with the Airtable CEO, Howie Liu, who's been a guest on This Week in Startups. I'm gonna have him on again, actually, soon. Maybe you could just discuss what we got wrong, e- and how we got it wrong-

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