E92: Adam Neumann's second act, a16z's $350M bet, housing policy, Inflation Reduction Act & more

E92: Adam Neumann's second act, a16z's $350M bet, housing policy, Inflation Reduction Act & more

All-In PodcastAug 20, 20221h 39m

David Friedberg (host), Jason Calacanis (host), Chamath Palihapitiya (host), Narrator, David Sachs (host), Guest (guest)

Interpersonal dynamics of the All‑In hosts and the evolution of the podcast into a ‘job’Adam Neumann’s new venture Flow, WeWork’s legacy, and a16z’s $350M betVenture capital business models and Andreessen Horowitz’s strategy to become a ‘Blackstone of tech’California housing policy, NIMBYism, zoning battles, and school‑funding incentivesGlobal geopolitics: China–Russia–Saudi ties, petro‑strategy, and U.S. energy independenceThe Inflation Reduction Act: climate subsidies, carbon tax vs. industrial policy, and permitting reformTax and regulatory changes: 15% corporate minimum tax, 87,000 IRS agents, and drug‑price negotiation

In this episode of All-In Podcast, featuring David Friedberg and Jason Calacanis, E92: Adam Neumann's second act, a16z's $350M bet, housing policy, Inflation Reduction Act & more explores tech titans debate Neumann’s comeback, housing wars, and climate policy The episode opens with Dave Friedberg moderating and the All‑In crew publicly processing recent on‑air conflict, reaffirming their friendship while admitting the podcast has evolved into a demanding ‘job.’

Tech titans debate Neumann’s comeback, housing wars, and climate policy

The episode opens with Dave Friedberg moderating and the All‑In crew publicly processing recent on‑air conflict, reaffirming their friendship while admitting the podcast has evolved into a demanding ‘job.’

They then dive into Adam Neumann’s $350M Flow funding from a16z, dissecting repeat founders, REIT economics, and Andreessen Horowitz’s strategy as an institutional tech asset manager.

The conversation shifts to housing policy and NIMBYism in California, using Marc Andreessen’s Atherton zoning letter as a springboard to debate zoning, school funding, and why California’s housing market is so broken.

In the back half, they cover the emerging China–Russia–Saudi alignment, the Inflation Reduction Act’s real impact on energy and climate tech, tax and IRS changes, drug‑pricing reforms, and briefly revisit the FBI’s Mar‑a‑Lago search and Trump’s future.

Key Takeaways

Repeat founders can be backable even after spectacular failures if they have proven audacity and category‑defining track records.

Despite WeWork’s implosion, Neumann created a globally recognized brand and is putting significant personal capital at risk in Flow, which VCs may view as outweighing past governance issues.

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Flow is more REIT than tech, so its upside is likely capped by real‑estate fundamentals, not software‑style multiples.

The hosts argue that multifamily housing is valued on funds‑from‑operations and cap rates; a national ‘apartment brand’ might deliver higher rents and lower vacancy, but still fits within REIT economics.

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Andreessen Horowitz’s giant check into Flow reflects its institutional strategy and capital‑deployment constraints, not just conviction in Neumann.

With tens of billions under management, writing one $350M check serves their goal of becoming an all‑tech asset platform, simplifies deployment, and burnishes their brand as a firm that backs controversial ‘bad‑boy’ founders.

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California’s housing crisis is systemically driven by permitting friction, tax structures, and school‑funding gerrymanders, not just one wealthy suburb.

Using Atherton as a media villain misses the bigger issue: Byzantine approvals, tenant rules, and ZIP‑code‑based school finance create powerful incentives for affluent communities to block density almost everywhere.

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Geopolitically, energy‑rich nations are rationally monetizing hydrocarbons now while diversifying into global financial assets, not forming a simple ‘axis of evil.’

Chamath frames Saudi, Russia, and others as acting like portfolio managers—maximizing resource rents and redeploying into tech stocks and sovereign wealth funds—while Sachs warns U. ...

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The Inflation Reduction Act effectively sidelines pure carbon‑tax schemes by using massive subsidies and permitting reforms to force technologies onto a level playing field.

By showering capital on clean energy and clarifying fossil‑fuel permitting, the bill accelerates cost declines and market competition directly, making complex global carbon‑pricing regimes less central or feasible.

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New tax and IRS provisions will likely hit small and mid‑sized businesses and create second‑order distortions, even as they are sold as ‘deficit reduction.’

The hosts are skeptical that 87,000 new IRS agents and a 15% minimum tax will mainly target billionaires or big‑tech loopholes, and note that back‑loaded ‘savings’ in the bill resemble startup projections that rarely materialize.

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Notable Quotes

Credible audacity trumps prior blunders.

Jason Calacanis, on why Neumann can still raise massive capital

Doing anything in the physical world with atoms is ten times harder than doing anything with bits.

David Sacks, explaining why his firm avoids asset‑heavy models like Flow

I don’t think they’re necessarily out to generate massive returns for LPs; they want to become a credible, reliable institution to absorb hundreds of billions of dollars.

Chamath Palihapitiya, on Andreessen Horowitz’s long‑term business model

We’ve so broken the free market for housing that we then come along and say, ‘See, the free market’s not working. We need more government mandates.’

David Sacks, on California’s housing policy failures

What this bill did was kill the idea of a carbon tax.

Chamath Palihapitiya, on the Inflation Reduction Act’s impact on climate policy design

Questions Answered in This Episode

Is Flow fundamentally a tech company or just a modern REIT with better branding, and how should that shape expectations for returns?

The episode opens with Dave Friedberg moderating and the All‑In crew publicly processing recent on‑air conflict, reaffirming their friendship while admitting the podcast has evolved into a demanding ‘job.’

Get the full analysis with uListen AI

How could California redesign school funding and permitting to reduce NIMBY resistance while still respecting local community character?

They then dive into Adam Neumann’s $350M Flow funding from a16z, dissecting repeat founders, REIT economics, and Andreessen Horowitz’s strategy as an institutional tech asset manager.

Get the full analysis with uListen AI

Does the Inflation Reduction Act create durable, market‑driven clean‑energy businesses, or are we building subsidy‑dependent sectors that collapse if policy shifts?

The conversation shifts to housing policy and NIMBYism in California, using Marc Andreessen’s Atherton zoning letter as a springboard to debate zoning, school funding, and why California’s housing market is so broken.

Get the full analysis with uListen AI

What is the right balance between maintaining strategic relationships with illiberal regimes and reducing Western dependency on their energy and capital?

In the back half, they cover the emerging China–Russia–Saudi alignment, the Inflation Reduction Act’s real impact on energy and climate tech, tax and IRS changes, drug‑pricing reforms, and briefly revisit the FBI’s Mar‑a‑Lago search and Trump’s future.

Get the full analysis with uListen AI

How can the U.S. simplify its tax system to reduce the need for massive IRS staffing while still fairly capturing revenue from sophisticated corporations and high earners?

Get the full analysis with uListen AI

Transcript Preview

David Friedberg

J Cal, what's it feel like to be a guest on your own podcast today?

Jason Calacanis

I'm excited. Oh, God.

David Friedberg

Good.

Jason Calacanis

So delightful. You did a great job, by the way. I really like, um, the punch-up to the formatting, where you actually put the questions in.

David Friedberg

Yeah, I think it's, uh... 'Cause I want us to all agree on the stuff we want to grok on, you know?

Jason Calacanis

In a professional TV show, they would have pre-interviews with everybody, get all their positions. Then they put the positions into the document and they, you know, they basically do what, what, uh, what's called a pre-interview.

Chamath Palihapitiya

Or here's another idea, you could do your job.

Jason Calacanis

Well, I mean... (laughs)

David Friedberg

(laughs)

Chamath Palihapitiya

You could do your job. How about that? How about you try that?

Jason Calacanis

Yeah.

Chamath Palihapitiya

How about that?

Jason Calacanis

Yeah.

David Friedberg

(laughs)

Jason Calacanis

Or how about I turn you three miserable (beep) into actual likable people in 91 episodes, which nobody thought was possible? (laughs)

David Friedberg

I actually think I'm becoming less likable the longer I'm on this (beep) show. (laughs)

Jason Calacanis

(laughs)

David Friedberg

(laughs)

Jason Calacanis

That's... I think that correlates with all of us. (laughs)

David Friedberg

(laughs)

Jason Calacanis

All of our likeabilities just... Ooh.

Narrator

We're going all in. Let your winners ride. Rain Man, David Sachs. Ah, ah, ah. Going all in. And I said, we open source it to the fans and they've just gone crazy with it. WSI. Queen of Quinoa. And I'm going all in.

David Friedberg

Hello, and welcome to the All-In Pod. I am your moderator for today, out of the hot seat, doing the easy beat, Dave Friedberg. I'm joined today by our esteemed panel. Back from his European shopping spree, our national treasure, America's favorite dictator, Chamath Palihapitiya. (laughs) Chamath, how are you feeling? (laughs) I'm feeling great. Jet-lagged? You're okay? No. You're recovered? I'm good. Yeah, good.

Chamath Palihapitiya

I'm a little... I've got, I got a little head cold though. (sniffs)

David Friedberg

Oh. Well, sorry to hear that.

Jason Calacanis

Hope it's not COVID 2.0.

Chamath Palihapitiya

No, I tested. I'm COVID negative.

Jason Calacanis

Thank, God.

David Friedberg

Okay. Also with us, as usual, from his emergency bunker ahead of the US civil war, the Rain Man, David Sachs.

Jason Calacanis

(laughs)

David Friedberg

How are you, David? Good. Happy with the late start this morning, I'm sure. And of course, everyone's favorite ski bum, producer of the Woodstock of tech conferences, the one and done All-In Summit in Miami, Jason Calacanis.

Jason Calacanis

(laughs)

David Friedberg

Jason, what's it like to be a guestie today?

Jason Calacanis

Oh, it's so delightful. When you said you wanted to moderate, that to me was, mm, chef's kiss. I get to, I get to comment and not be the moderator. I love it.

David Friedberg

Yeah, so we're, we're mixing it up a little bit today. I'm gonna take the lead. J Cal is gonna sit back. Uh, I'll say a couple of words before we start, because I think last week we got a little nasty. Uh, definitely heard that from listeners. Um, you know, I, I, and so I wanna kind of just address it real quick and then we can, uh, kick off the show. I, I think it's important to say that none of us really started out doing this pod as a job or thinking that it would become a real regular thing, right? We, we started doing it for fun, ad hoc, from time to time, and then it became this thing that people listened to, and it became this thing that we started doing every week and people actually cared about it, and suddenly it became this real obligation. It's almost like we got pregnant and had a baby, and now it's like four men and a baby. And so, you know, I think we all feel this like, you know, challenging obligation that we never expected to take on of like taking care of the show, taking care of the pod. And we all have like different points of view on what we want the pod to be and what we want it to become. J Cal cares about, you know, getting up in the rankings and listening to the audience, and ultimately has shared that he wants to monetize, but, you know, at points. We've not always agreed on different points about that. You know, Chamath has the things he wants to bring to the table. Sachs has things he wants to talk about. And so, you know, it's really difficult kind of running the pod, managing the pod with four very different points of view, very different perspectives on what it is we all want to kind of get out of this over time, and I think it causes us to get really frustrated with each other. We end up having real fights. You know, you have the biggest fights with your best friends. Uh, you know, you really (laughs) let loose and lash out. I think last week, I listened back, I was pretty contemptuous in my kind of retort to J Cal about hitting up on the inflation topic, and I want to apologize to J Cal for doing that. I think it was, uh... You know, I think, yeah, I think it was a little rough. But at the same time, I just want to point out, like, you know, we're gonna keep doing the show, um, because I think, you know, as much as we all disagree, as much as we fight, and as much as we may even start to dislike each other, uh, and not get along, I think it's really important that we keep doing this. And, and I think restating that commitment and trying to do better, uh, is really important. So, you know, we're gonna try different stuff out, try and find ways to find common ground and keep doing the show productively with each other. Uh, as one experiment this week, I'm gonna moderate and we're gonna, you know, try and take it that way. But, you know, I just wanted to say those few words before we kick this off, guys, 'cause I thought it was important, especially after the last couple of weeks. I think it's been a bit of a struggle. We've been having a tough time, and I just want to be open about it and, you know, highlight that. You know, as an example, you can fight with people, you can disagree with them, and you can still keep trying, and I want to set that example. I want us to keep doing that. So, anyway, just thought that'd be

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