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a16z Podcast | Ben and Marc Explain (Practically) Everything – Part 1

Around the firm we use “software eats the world” as a guide for how technology will impact every industry and every person – from education to healthcare and government. As a16z marks its five-year anniversary, we turned to the fellow who came up with the thesis, Marc Andreessen, to explain how it’s rippling around the globe. And to break down all the implications for building companies and managing people we tapped a16z's cofounder Ben Horowitz. With both “a” and “z” in the room, this segment takes stock of the technology industry and startup ecosystem – from entrepreneurs to investors, and where it’s all headed next. Part one of two.

Marc AndreessenhostBen Horowitzhost
Jan 2, 201927mWatch on YouTube ↗

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At a glance

WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT

Andreessen and Horowitz on Software Eating the World, Five Years In

  1. Marc Andreessen argues that smartphones will reach nearly everyone on the planet by the end of the decade, creating a connected market unlike any before and making the next five years prime time to reinvent every industry with software.
  2. Andreessen names healthcare, education and ultimately government as the next big targets, saying technology must break Baumol's cost disease in these sectors or current delivery methods will bankrupt the country.
  3. Ben Horowitz says the real challenge of software displacing jobs is the transition between jobs, and that technology-driven cost cuts in education and healthcare would free money for a stronger social safety net.
  4. Andreessen expects every physical object to become smart over ten to twenty years, arguing that such shifts arrive through long periods of experimentation, as with PCs, smartphones and the web.
  5. Horowitz and Andreessen describe a venture industry that has become more transparent and split into seed and large-scale investing, where startups are cheaper to start but more expensive to grow, and where entrepreneurship is spreading globally.

IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING

5 ideas

Smartphones make the market for technology effectively universal

Andreessen predicts five to seven billion smartphones by the end of the decade, including a thirty-five dollar phone in India and Pakistan, creating an unprecedented connected population.

Healthcare and education are the biggest remaining targets

Andreessen says these sectors suffer from Baumol's cost disease, and applying technology could cut costs and open access without bankrupting governments.

The job problem is about transition, not total numbers

Horowitz notes that jobs like delivering ice or making vinyl records disappeared, so the focus should be on helping people move to new work without losing dignity.

Today's tech market is far larger than in the Netscape era

Andreessen recalls that 90% browser share once meant under 50 million users, whereas now more than two billion people are online and companies like Google and Facebook have over a billion users.

Breakthrough products emerge from many experiments over long periods

Andreessen cites PCs, smartphones dating to 1997, and the internet predating the browser by thirty years to argue that smart objects will arrive gradually through trial and error.

WORDS WORTH SAVING

5 quotes

Why now? Because you can. Because it's possible. Because it can be done.

— Marc Andreessen

Cheaper to start, more expensive to grow.

— Marc Andreessen

The only way to do that is to apply technology. Otherwise, you do bankrupt the planet trying to do it with the current techniques.

— Marc Andreessen

Things in the sunlight, that's when everybody behaves and is at their best.

— Ben Horowitz

Silicon Valley is a network effect, and if you're competing with a Silicon Valley company without the level of engineering talent, without the level of executive talent, it's still rather hard.

— Ben Horowitz

Software eats the world thesisGlobal smartphone adoptionHealthcare and education disruptionBaumol's cost diseaseJobs transition and social safety netInternet of things and smart objectsVenture capital landscape changes

High quality AI-generated summary created from speaker-labeled transcript.

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