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Safety in Numbers: Keeping AI Open

Arthur Mensch, co-founder of Mistral and co-author of Deepmind's 2022 "Chinchilla" paper, recently released Mistral-7B, a popular open-source language model. Their latest offering, Mixtral, a mixture of experts model, is attracting attention in the AI community. Join Arthur and a16z General Partner Anjney Midha in a discussion about the nuances of open source, the comparative performance of open and closed models, and the innovations needed for scaling large language models (LLMs) effectively. Topics covered: 00:00 - Introduction to scaling laws and their impact 02:14 - Arthur Mensch and the Founding of Mistral 07:57 - Mistral 7b and the launch of Mixtral 13:27 - Misconceptions about open source, the state of open vs. closed models, and future requirements for scaling LLMs 18:41 - Open Source in AI: Scaling laws, Industry Impact, data efficiency, and new model architectures 22:56 - Safety concerns of open source models. 25:17 - Recommendations for policymakers in regulating AI technologies. 33:17 - Predictions on how advancements in LLMs will change user interactions with technology 36:36 - Potential applications in various fields like gaming and enterprise. 38:53 - Call to action for builders, researchers, and developers Resources: Find Arthur on Twitter: https://twitter.com/arthurmensch Find Anjney on Twitter: https://twitter.com/AnjneyMidha Learn more about Mistral: https://mistral.ai Stay Updated: Find a16z on Twitter: https://twitter.com/a16z Find a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16z Subscribe on your favorite podcast app: https://a16z.simplecast.com/ Follow our host: https://twitter.com/stephsmithio Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures.

Anjney MidhahostArthur Menschguest
Dec 28, 202339mWatch on YouTube ↗

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At a glance

WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT

Mistral's Arthur Mensch Makes the Case for Open-Source AI

  1. Mensch describes how the Chinchilla work corrected earlier scaling-law assumptions, showing that model size and data should grow together, and how Llama extended this by over-training models for cheaper inference.
  2. Mixtral is a sparse mixture-of-experts model with 46 billion total parameters that executes only about 12 billion per token, which Mensch says matches Llama 2 70B at roughly six times lower cost.
  3. Mensch argues open source is driven by both ideology and business, says the open-versus-closed gap is about six months, and claims open models are safe for the current generation because community scrutiny exposes misuse.
  4. On policy, Mensch says regulators should target applications rather than the models themselves, since an LLM is like a programming language, and that compute-based thresholds like FLOPS are a poor measure of capability.
  5. Looking ahead, he sees the frontier in data efficiency, reasoning and adaptive compute, with a future of small specialized models in complex systems and in areas like games and enterprise.

IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING

5 ideas

Model size and data should scale together

Mensch says earlier work advocated growing model size much faster than data, but his team found that quadrupling compute should roughly double both model size and data.

Over-training cuts inference cost

Going beyond Chinchilla-optimal training on more tokens compresses the model more, so it is cheaper to run at inference, an approach Mensch says the Llama paper established in the open.

Mixture of experts decouples capacity from cost

By duplicating dense layers into eight experts and routing each token to two, Mixtral has many parameters but only executes about 12 billion per token, improving latency and cost.

Open source is framed as faster and safer

Mensch argues community contributions speed progress and that open scrutiny, like in cybersecurity, is how vulnerabilities are found, whereas closed APIs rely on a few large companies and can still be exploited.

Regulate the application, not the model

Mensch compares LLMs to programming languages and says regulation should apply to products like a healthcare diagnosis assistant, with strong evaluations rather than FLOPS thresholds.

WORDS WORTH SAVING

5 quotes

Large language models are like programming languages. Uh, and so you don't regulate, uh, programming languages. You regulate, uh, malwares. You, you ban malwares.

— Arthur Mensch

It has always been the case that open source, uh, at the end, well, ends up being going faster, and that's the reason why, uh, the entire internet runs on Linux. I don't see why it would be any different for AI.

— Arthur Mensch

There's no point in regulating something that is neutral in itself, that is just a mathematical tool.

— Arthur Mensch

Uh, it doesn't really matter if they reason like we do. We don't even know how we reason, so we are not going to know about how machines reason anytime soon.

— Arthur Mensch

I saw Mistral 7B on an iPhone. I saw Mistral 7B on a stuffed parrot as well.

— Arthur Mensch

Chinchilla scaling lawsOver-training for inference efficiencySparse mixture of experts (Mixtral)Open-source vs closed modelsAI safety and red teamingRegulating applications, not modelsData efficiency and reasoning

High quality AI-generated summary created from speaker-labeled transcript.

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