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The Marketplace 100: A Glimpse Into the Future of Commerce

Over the last decade, we’ve seen the marketplace model evolve and grow, and this year a16z is back with our fourth edition of the Marketplace100 – a ranking of the top private marketplaces by GMV – giving a unique window into what may be to come. This year’s list features nearly three dozen newcomers, including marketplaces for refurbished electronics, precious metals, and sustainably raised meat. And in this episode, we break down key trends from the report together with a16z’s Consumer partners Connie Chan, Olivia Moore, and Zach Cohen. If you’d like to see the full ranking of the largest consumer-facing marketplace startups and private companies, you can find the full report at https://a16z.com/marketplace-100. Topics Covered: 00:00- Introduction 02:15 - Why marketplaces? 04:50 - What metrics matter 07:07 - Newcomers on the list 09:00 - Entertainment and personalization 12:53 - Curated marketplaces 13:53 - Trust and safety 20:44 - Mental health trends 22:49 - Untapped supply 24:01 - Disintermediation 27:05 - Transient vs foundational trends 31:01 - Companies entering the category 36:39 - Sleeper categories for 2024 Resources: * Find the full Marketplace 100 report: https://a16z.com/marketplace-100. * Find Connie on Twitter: https://twitter.com/conniechan * Find Olivia on Twitter: https://twitter.com/omooretweets * Find Zach on Twitter: https://twitter.com/zachcohen25 Stay Updated: * Find a16z on Twitter: https://twitter.com/a16z * Find a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16z * Subscribe on your favorite podcast app: https://a16z.simplecast.com/ * Follow our host: https://twitter.com/stephsmithio Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures.

Steph SmithhostConnie ChanguestOlivia MooreguestZach Cohenguest
Mar 23, 202346mWatch on YouTube ↗

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At a glance

WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT

a16z Partners Unpack Marketplace 100 Trends: Curation, Video, Trust, and AI

  1. Connie Chan explains that a16z loves marketplaces for their defensibility and network effects, and the 2023 list ranks private marketplaces by 2022 GMV using anonymized credit card data from Consumer Edge across more than 12,000 companies.
  2. Shopping is shifting from search-based transactions toward discovery and entertainment, with Whatnot's video-driven model and Temu's personalization and gamification cited as examples.
  3. Curation and trust and safety are central, enabling new supply to join, as seen in curated marketplaces, Temu's warehouse oversight, mental health marketplaces helping therapists accept insurance, and sneaker marketplaces protecting sellers.
  4. The partners discuss disintermediation, arguing marketplaces keep users by providing value to both sides, such as Wyzant's coordination and payments or Peek's vertical software for suppliers.
  5. Looking ahead, they see video as a lasting trend, ticketing growth as likely transient, social platforms moving into commerce, and AI plus marketplace infrastructure tools lowering the barrier to building marketplaces.

IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING

5 ideas

Marketplaces are prized for defensibility and network effects

Connie Chan says the larger a marketplace gets, the harder it is to disrupt, which is why Craigslist persists despite a bare-bones interface and why many of venture's biggest returns have been marketplaces.

GMV is a lagging indicator of marketplace health

Olivia Moore says that when evaluating investments the team looks at growth in active supply and demand, listing-to-sale conversion, and user and revenue retention rather than GMV alone.

Search-based and discovery-based marketplaces need different experiences

For specific-item purchases like car parts, inventory volume matters most, while browsing-driven marketplaces must invest in UX, personalization, and entertainment, as Whatnot and Temu do.

Curation and added trust layers unlock new supply

Olivia Moore notes that high-end brands and food merchants that avoid Amazon or DoorDash will list on curated marketplaces like Sense and Locale, which also gives buyers more conviction in what they get.

Marketplaces can create supply that didn't exist online before

Mental health marketplaces help therapists get credentialed to accept insurance, bringing appointments down to $10–$30 versus $100–$200 for uncovered care, much as Airbnb created new hosts.

WORDS WORTH SAVING

5 quotes

A marketplace, the larger it gets, the harder it is to disrupt.

— Connie Chan

Disintermediation, I feel like, is the elephant in the room when it comes to a lot of marketplaces, and probably the easiest and, like, most obvious question to answer when- or to ask when you're talking to someone building a marketplace.

— Olivia Moore

I think that kind of static e-commerce transaction experience is getting a little boring, and consumers want more shopping entertainment.

— Zach Cohen

even if it doesn't seem like there's room to create a new marketplace, there's always something about the experience on existing platforms that one side is probably secretly unhappy with and is willing to change to something new if you're kind of able to nail it and finally get it really right for them.

— Olivia Moore

It all comes down to conviction that whatever I bought is something I actually want. That's what all shopping boils down to, right?

— Connie Chan

Marketplace 100 methodology and GMVNewcomers like RockAutoEntertainment and personalized shoppingCurated marketplaces and trust and safetyMental health marketplacesDisintermediationAI and marketplace infrastructure

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