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Why Technology Still Matters with Marc Andreessen

With much coverage of technology lined with pessimism, the a16z Podcast returns to highlight the bright side of technology, alongside the founders building it. But before featuring the solutions in progress, we wanted to explore why building the future is still so important. And who better to traverse this ground than a16z’s own cofounder Marc Andreessen, who has built and invested in the future time and time again, especially when it wasn't the obvious thing to do. Together with Marc, this episode explores technology through the lens of history – including the three stages of human psychology as we encounter new technologies, how that process often manifests in regulation, when to change your mind, the Cambrian explosion of opportunity coming from distributed work, the importance of founder-led companies, and perhaps most importantly, we examine why there's still much reason for optimism. Topics Covered: 00:00 - Welcome back! 02:12 - The importance of tech today 05:34 - Historical negativity toward technology 10:13 - The invention of the bicycle 14:01 - Innovation vs status in society 21:57 - Automobile moral panic and red flag laws 26:28 - Balaji’s arc on social networking 29:28 - Surfacing signal from noise 36:10 - The role of timing in innovation 40:04 - Today’s major unlocks 47:51 - Remote work and society reshuffling 53:08 - Changing your mind 57:52 - Retaining a lens of optimism 1:08:58 - What Marc’s excited about 1:13:39 - Bourgeois vs managerial capitalism 1:23:12 - Reform vs starting anew Resources: * Marc on Twitter: https://twitter.com/pmarca * Pessimist’s Archive: https://pessimistsarchive.org/ Stay Updated: * Find us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/a16z * Find us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16z * Subscribe on your favorite podcast app: https://a16z.simplecast.com/ * Follow our host: https://twitter.com/stephsmithio Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures.

Steph SmithhostMarc Andreessenguest
Nov 9, 20221h 31mWatch on YouTube ↗

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At a glance

WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT

Marc Andreessen Explains Why Building New Technology Still Matters Today

  1. Marc Andreessen argues that technology is the only reason human life improved from being nasty, brutish, and short, and that new technologies always provoke fear and backlash, from fire and the bicycle to cars and social networks.
  2. Drawing on Elting Morison's book about the naval gunnery innovator Sims, he describes a three-stage reaction to new technology: ignore it, offer rational counterarguments, then resort to name-calling in a status and power fight.
  3. He explains how his firm invests despite that pattern by asking whether a technology would be a big deal if it worked and whether smart people are working on it, accepting that timing is hard and being early can equal being wrong.
  4. He calls remote work the biggest recent unlock, since it breaks 4,000 years of agglomeration in cities, and says a16z changed its own mind about it after running a two-year involuntary experiment during COVID.
  5. Using James Burnham's idea of bourgeois versus managerial capitalism, he concludes that institutions rarely reform, so progress comes from founders starting new things, and stagnation of the old world increases the opportunity for new entrants.

IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING

5 ideas

Technology is the sole driver of human progress

Marc argues human DNA has not changed, so the shift away from a nasty, brutish, and short existence came only through tools that give people leverage on the world.

Backlash to new tech is really about status and power

Though framed as concern over dangers, Marc says the blowback reflects fear that a technology will reorder who is in charge, who has status, and who gets money.

New technologies face a predictable three-stage reaction

Following Elting Morison's book, Marc says the status quo first ignores a technology, then argues rationally against it, then turns to name-calling; he says he has seen this about 50 times in 30 years.

Objections to a technology double as a founder's to-do list

Marc says the rational reasons something can't work are also the list of opportunities for builders, citing Ethereum's move to proof of stake, which removed the energy objection.

Being early can look the same as being wrong

Marc notes that technologies like VR, the fax machine, and TV took decades to work, so investors must accept being wrong some of the time and bet if it would matter and smart people are working on it.

WORDS WORTH SAVING

5 quotes

Just because every successful new technology is greeted initially as a joke, right, does not mean that every new technology that's greeted as a joke is going to be successful, right?

— Marc Andreessen

being 30 years early is the same as being wrong.

— Marc Andreessen

I, I think basically progress happens by starting new things, right?

— Marc Andreessen

the more the sort of older world stagnates, the bigger the opportunity on the entrepreneurial side.

— Marc Andreessen

I would like to believe Netflix and chill is not the terminal point of humanity.

— Marc Andreessen

Life before technology and why tech is the answerMoral panic around new technologiesSims and the three-stage resistance cycleRed flag laws and the carTiming and being early in innovationRemote work and societal reshufflingBourgeois versus managerial capitalism

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