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E32: Behind the scenes of Elon hosting SNL, CDC failures, America's real-time UBI experiment & more

Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Referenced in the show: NY Times - A Misleading C.D.C. Number https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/11/briefing/outdoor-covid-transmission-cdc-number.html medRxiv - COVID-19 Aerosolized Viral Loads, Environment, Ventilation, Masks, Exposure Time, Severity, And Immune Response: A Pragmatic Guide Of Estimates https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206110v6.full Business Insider - Silicon Valley VCs are at war with the ‘far left radicals’ running California https://www.businessinsider.com/silicon-valley-venture-capitalists-at-front-lines-california-recall-2021-5 NY Post - Powerful teachers union influenced CDC on school reopenings, emails show https://nypost.com/2021/05/01/teachers-union-collaborated-with-cdc-on-school-reopening-emails/ MMA - Governor Reeves Announces End to Pandemic Unemployment Assistance https://mma-web.org/governor-reeves-announces-end-to-pandemic-unemployment-assistance/ Tweets: https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1392154915640729605 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1392223301154447361 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1391591653824204801 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1391257138698375168 https://twitter.com/skepticaliblog/status/1391958173955682309 https://twitter.com/TaylorLorenz/status/1390390598444609538 https://twitter.com/friedberg/status/1392551233618026496 https://twitter.com/bytecoin8 Show Notes: 0:00 Jason goes behind the scenes of Elon's SNL appearance 23:36 CDC failures, misleading information on COVID spreading outdoors 39:10 Reacting to Stanley Druckenmiller's thoughts on current Fed policy, decoupling of capital markets from policy 48:32 America's real-time UBI experiment, Business Insider's piece covering All-In 1:05:23 Friedberg's science corner: synthetic biology IPO/SPACs, stem cell breakthroughs & more 1:19:15 Should the besties start a third party? Is it possible? #allin #tech #news

David FriedberghostChamath PalihapitiyahostJason Calacanishost
May 13, 20211h 23mWatch on YouTube ↗

CHAPTERS

  1. 0:00 – 2:27

    Market carnage cold open & Jason’s SNL flex

    The episode opens with jokes about a red stock screen before Jason explains his absence and the group tees up the main story: Jason was backstage helping Elon Musk prepare to host SNL.

    • Light banter about stocks being down
    • Jason returns after a personal emergency/absence
    • Besties introduce each other and set the tone
    • Tease: Jason was with Elon backstage at SNL
  2. 2:27 – 4:19

    How Jason got recruited: brainstorming with Elon and entering the SNL machine

    Jason recounts meeting Elon in Miami, riffing on edgy ideas, and getting invited not as a ticketed guest but as a helper in the writers’ room. He describes SNL’s long-running process and the culture shock of bringing an outsider’s approach into a 46-year-old institution.

    • Dinner-table idea session with Elon turns into an SNL invite
    • Jason frames his role as wingman/punch-up support
    • SNL’s established process vs. Elon/Jason’s improvisational style
    • Jason’s first impressions of writers’ room dynamics
  3. 4:19 – 5:21

    Inside SNL production: Lorne Michaels stories, script volume, and what makes sketches work

    Jason describes spending time with Lorne Michaels and observing how sketches move from script to performance. The group discusses how talent, set design, and live production can transform material that reads flat on paper.

    • Lorne Michaels anecdotes (worst hosts, old episodes)
    • Reading 40+ scripts and the difficulty of judging humor on paper
    • How performers and set design elevate sketches
    • Jason’s self-described role as a ‘punch-up guy’
  4. 5:21 – 7:36

    Punch-up highlights: Chad, Murder Durder, and the “Asperger’s” monologue line

    The besties dig into specific sketches and Jason reveals which moments he influenced. The conversation centers on how the Asperger’s joke landed publicly, unexpectedly becoming a media narrative and an emotional moment for people behind the scenes.

    • Chad sketch as an example of major production effort
    • Murder Durder: ‘dumb on paper, great in execution’
    • Jason claims credit for the Asperger’s monologue setup
    • Media reaction reframes a joke as a major ‘admission’ moment
  5. 7:36 – 16:39

    Jeopardy pitches, OJ tag, and the boundaries of “can we laugh at this?”

    Jason shares the darker ‘Dictator Jeopardy’ idea that got shelved for security concerns, then the ‘Asperger’s Jeopardy’ alternative. He also recounts how an OJ joke rehearsal turned into a memorable punch-up moment that made it into the show.

    • Elon’s ‘Dictator Jeopardy’ concept and why it was dropped
    • ‘Asperger’s Jeopardy’ pitch and sensitivity navigation
    • OJ joke rehearsal: Jason’s tag “And he killed both times”
    • Discussion of modern comedy norms and hesitation to laugh
  6. 16:39 – 23:15

    What got cut for time: FOMO Capital and SNL’s format constraints

    Jason reveals a sketch that reached rehearsals but was cut for runtime, illustrating how SNL trims a longer dress show down to broadcast length. The ‘FOMO Capital’ premise becomes a lens on market excess, NFTs, and venture behavior.

    • SNL runs a longer version then cuts multiple sketches
    • FOMO Capital sketch premise and escalating absurd pitches
    • Why even strong sketches can be removed (time, pacing)
    • Modern investing mania as comedy fuel
  7. 23:15 – 26:57

    Mask culture whiplash: SF vs Austin vs Miami vs New York + SNL’s strict testing regime

    The conversation pivots from the afterparty into COVID norms across cities, contrasting social enforcement and compliance. Jason describes SNL’s daily testing, vaccination expectations, and on-set PPE, while Sacks argues it reflects irrational fear rather than ‘taking it seriously.’

    • Jason’s travel anecdotes show stark regional differences
    • SNL safety protocols: daily tests, wristbands, masks/shields
    • NYC’s ongoing mask usage: respect vs convenience vs signaling
    • Debate: caution as trauma response vs virtue signaling
  8. 26:57 – 39:10

    CDC credibility crisis: outdoor spread, misleading statistics, and policy consequences

    Sacks, Chamath, and Friedberg dissect a NYT critique of CDC guidance, arguing the agency overstated outdoor transmission risk. They debate the ‘precautionary principle,’ the real-world effects on schools/camps/mandates, and how institutions lose trust when they double down instead of correcting errors.

    • NYT argument: CDC ‘under 10%’ outdoor spread framing is misleading
    • Empirical vs deterministic reasons outdoor transmission is rare
    • Mandates ripple into schools, summer camps, and local policy
    • Trust problem: gaming communication vs owning mistakes
  9. 39:10 – 48:17

    Stanley Druckenmiller’s warning: Fed still in emergency mode and markets push back

    Friedberg introduces Druckenmiller’s CNBC/WSJ comments: the Fed is clinging to emergency policy after the emergency has passed. The besties discuss QE, debt issuance, inflation expectations, and how markets re-price risk when policy narratives diverge from economic reality.

    • Druckenmiller: ‘clinging to an emergency after it has passed’
    • QE, new debt issuance, and Fed absorption of bond supply
    • Retail demand ‘years above trend’ and inflation fears
    • Markets as a real-time ‘vote’ against official narratives
  10. 48:17 – 50:45

    Real-time UBI experiment: labor shortages, wage spikes, and states opting out of benefits

    The discussion shifts to stimulus and unemployment benefits as a de facto UBI test that may be suppressing labor participation. They cite businesses struggling to hire, rising wages, and policy moves in states like Montana and Mississippi to curb enhanced benefits and incentivize return to work.

    • Stimulus + enhanced UI impacts willingness to return to work
    • Restaurants and service businesses face acute hiring constraints
    • Wage pressure examples: Chipotle, Uber driver earnings
    • States opt out and add back-to-work bonuses
  11. 50:45 – 53:58

    California’s surplus, migration, and the ‘milk the crisis’ governance critique

    Jason and Sacks debate California’s reported surplus and how much is driven by federal bailout money and capital gains. They argue leaders risk ‘killing the golden goose’ by treating the private sector as something to be skinned rather than partnered with, especially amid out-migration and volatile markets.

    • Breakdown of CA surplus: federal transfers + capital gains windfall
    • Concern: taxpayers leaving reduces future receipts
    • Government/private sector as a partnership vs extraction mindset
    • Spending share of GDP and historical comparisons
  12. 53:58 – 1:05:22

    Media backlash & going direct: Business Insider, Vox/Taylor Lorenz, and why the ‘container’ changed

    The besties react to a Business Insider profile and broader media criticism, arguing traditional outlets feel threatened by direct-to-audience influence. Chamath offers a structural explanation: digital infinite space kills scarcity, incentives shift to clickbait, and truth becomes less economically valuable than attention.

    • Business Insider piece: influence, politics, and ‘how dare they’ framing
    • Sacks: reporters upset about bypassing gatekeepers (‘going direct’)
    • Chamath: scarcity of print vs infinity of online reshapes incentives
    • Vox/Taylor Lorenz critique of ‘besties’ and the bit’s origin story
  13. 1:05:22 – 1:19:28

    Friedberg’s Science Corner: synthetic biology IPOs, business models, and stem-cell breakthroughs

    Friedberg explains why synthetic biology is approaching a ‘Netscape moment’ with Zymergen and Ginkgo Bioworks going public at huge valuations despite limited revenue. The conversation covers platform vs product models, enabling infrastructure like fermentation, and medical frontiers including mRNA programming and induced pluripotent stem cells—plus real examples like restoring vision.

    • Synthetic biology as ‘DNA is software’ and industrial rewrite potential
    • Zymergen and Ginkgo valuations vs current revenue reality
    • Toolchain debate: pick-and-shovels vs product companies; scale via fermentation
    • Medical horizon: mRNA therapeutics, protein toolkits, IPSC stem-cell therapies
  14. 1:19:28 – 1:23:26

    Third-party talk: why it’s hard, the ‘Reason Party,’ and tech progress vs political decay

    The episode closes with a discussion of whether a third party is viable, with Sacks arguing the system structurally enforces two parties so change requires capturing one. He frames a broader thesis: society is racing between technological acceleration and social/political deterioration, prompting Jason’s tongue-in-cheek ‘Reason Party’ idea.

    • Structural barriers to a true third party in the US
    • Sacks: movements must take over an existing party
    • Big picture: tech acceleration vs political deterioration
    • Jason jokes about registering the ‘Reason Party’ and the show wraps

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