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E40: A Bestie gets COVID, Delta breakthrough, Billionaire Space Race & more

Show Notes: 0:00 Bestie game show: Who got COVID? How was the experience? 9:30 Delta breakthrough causing concern, potential new approaches, vaccine mandates 24:26 Implications on the economy, will people self-isolate even without government shutdowns? 40:09 Billionaire Space Race: Addressing the negativity, benefits of innovators 47:29 Investments in space, parallels to 1500's maritime shipping, potential for global broadband 1:04:07 Besties go to space, Bezos' cheap shot, Elon's support, Melvin Capital's tough first half of 2021 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: WSJ Opinion - What Drives GOP Resistance to Vaccines? https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-drives-gop-resistance-to-vaccines-11623190392 NYT - Some Republican Leaders Speak Up for Vaccines https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/07/14/world/covid-variant-vaccine-updates Reuters - Living with COVID-19: Israel changes strategy as Delta variant hits https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/living-with-covid-19-israel-changes-strategy-delta-variant-hits-2021-07-13/ Study Finds - Over 200 COVID ‘long hauler’ symptoms identified, many lasting longer than 6 months https://www.studyfinds.org/200-covid-long-hauler-symptoms/ CNN Opinion - Richard Branson's disappointing space jaunt https://www.cnn.com/2021/07/12/opinions/richard-branson-jeff-bezos-space-flight-is-a-waste-thomas/index.html Truth Out Op-ed - Billionaire Tax Cheat Travels to Space for a Few Minutes https://truthout.org/articles/billionaire-tax-cheat-travels-to-space-for-a-few-minutes Fox News - Richard Branson says critics are 'not fully educated' on benefits of space travel https://www.foxnews.com/media/richard-branson-critics-not-fully-educated-space-travel CNBC - Investment in space companies put at record $8.9 billion in 2020 despite Covid https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/25/investing-in-space-companies-hits-record-8point9-billion-in-2020-report.html Bloomberg - Melvin Struggles to Shake Reddit Attack With 46% Loss So Far https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-08/melvin-can-t-shake-reddit-attack-with-46-loss-in-first-half Books: Andy Weir - Project Hail Mary https://www.amazon.com/Project-Hail-Mary-Andy-Weir/dp/0593135202 Jeremy England - Every Life Is on Fire https://www.amazon.com/Every-Life-Fire-Thermodynamics-Explains/dp/1541699017 Tweets: https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/1415287991954640901 https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1415122089720254467 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1414157827145404419 https://twitter.com/blueorigin/status/1413521627116032001 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1386825367948644352 #allin #tech #news

Jason CalacanishostChamath PalihapitiyahostDavid Friedberghost
Jul 15, 20211h 18mWatch on YouTube ↗

At a glance

WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT

COVID breakthrough scare, Delta risks, and billionaire space dreams collide

  1. The episode opens with David Sacks recounting his breakthrough COVID-19 infection after being fully vaccinated with Pfizer, contracted outdoors at a restaurant from another vaccinated person. The besties use his case to dig into Delta’s heightened transmissibility, waning vaccine effectiveness, booster strategies, policy implications, and the economic/psychological impact of renewed COVID fears. They then pivot to the “billionaire space race,” defending Branson, Bezos, and Musk against critics while exploring the long-term economic and civilizational upside of private space ventures and satellite internet. The conversation closes with light banter on space tourism, tech investing in space, and personal anecdotes.

IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING

5 ideas

Breakthrough infections can be mild but highlight Delta’s extreme transmissibility.

Sacks’ breakthrough case, plus infections in another vaccinated diner and his child, shows vaccinated people can still catch and spread Delta, though his symptoms resembled a mild cold and avoided hospitalization.

Vaccine protection against infection appears to wane over time, increasing urgency for boosters.

Israeli data and pharma/virologist briefings suggest Pfizer’s effectiveness against infection drops from ~95% to ~64%, with older vaccination cohorts showing more breakthroughs and supporting the case for third-shot boosters.

Mass vaccination remains critical to slowing dangerous variants and protecting the unvaccinated.

The hosts emphasize that high viral replication in unvaccinated populations accelerates mutation, increasing the odds of more lethal or vaccine-evading strains and framing non-vaccination as a self-imposed Darwinian risk.

Policy will likely shift toward stricter requirements in workplaces, schools, and services.

Even the libertarian-leaning Sacks endorses employers and institutions requiring vaccination, arguing that unvaccinated people create an externality risk; they foresee economic discrimination against the unvaccinated rising.

Fear and policy, not just disease severity, could drive meaningful economic setbacks.

Freeburg stresses that even mild breakthrough cases can spook consumers and policymakers into de facto or formal lockdown behavior, threatening a fragile recovery through reduced travel, dining, and in-person work.

WORDS WORTH SAVING

5 quotes

If you are not vaccinated, you are choosing to get the Delta variant at this point.

David Sacks (referencing Jason’s tweet and current data)

We cannot get our shit together… We are in an alternate universe.

Chamath Palihapitiya, on U.S. politicization and media failures around vaccination

This is the beginning of the beginning… we are completely re-imagining how the human race can work.

Chamath Palihapitiya, on the significance of the new space age

So many of our problems are not a problem of underfunding. We have the wrong ideas. We have the wrong organization. We have the wrong execution.

David Sacks, on critics who say space money should solve earthly problems

If history is any predictor of the future, this pioneering work… could transform our species once again.

David Friedberg, comparing early space ventures to 15th-century maritime exploration

David Sacks’ breakthrough COVID infection and clinical detailsDelta variant transmissibility, vaccine effectiveness, and booster shotsPolicy implications: mandates, ‘vaccine passports,’ and economic impactsGlobal vaccination, variants, and the role of media and politicsBillionaire space race: Branson’s flight, Bezos vs. Musk, and public backlashCommercial space economics: satellites, broadband, tourism, and long-term marketsPhilosophical debate on space exploration vs. fixing problems on Earth

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