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E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more

0:00 Jason's new "family office" and Sacks' new strategy 2:39 Understanding where all sides stand in the Russia/Ukraine War three weeks in 15:21 Sanctions risking a major food shortage: possible solutions, how we got here, creating distributed manufacturing and supply chains, capitalist incentives flipping 34:59 Breaking down the second- and third-order effects of the massive sanctions on Russia; best case/worst case outcomes for this new form of economic warfare, deglobalization 49:26 US economy big picture outlook: inflation, rising rates, decreasing uncertainty potentially a bullish sign in public markets; how that flows to private markets 1:02:06 Rewriting foreign policy playbooks Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/16/us/politics/russia-troop-deaths.html https://www.axios.com/zelensky-russian-invasion-ukraine-ea623eb5-4a14-4458-9640-af981081e4a4.html https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/russia-ukraine-invasion-francis-fukuyama-b2035413.html https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1504601558184517637 https://uscnpm.org/2022/03/12/hu-wei-russia-ukraine-war-china-choice/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/03/16/ukraine-zelensky-information-war/ https://twitter.com/RichardHanania/status/1504824837964926981 https://twitter.com/ClintEhrlich/status/1504618754784735232 https://www.ft.com/content/7b341e46-d375-4817-be67-802b7fa77ef1 https://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/first-drought-now-war-global-wheat-supplies-peril-rcna19298 https://www.agweb.com/news/policy/politics/if-you-think-fertilizer-prices-are-bad-now-heres-why-china-could-make https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/Fig4.png https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/skyrocketing-fertilizer-prices-gouge-farmer-profits-groups-blame-consolidation https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cu22 https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1504214235114577926 https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/10/there-are-more-than-11-million-open-jobs-in-america-right-now.html https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/03/16/business/fed-meeting-interest-rates https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1503989745939980292 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957 https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2021-06-16/the-latest-kremlin-official-says-summit-will-not-be-easy https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/biden-says-ukraine-has-work-to-do-on-corruption-to-get-into-nato https://theintercept.com/2022/03/15/ukraine-russia-war-sovereignty-negotiations/ https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/09/01/joint-statement-on-the-u-s-ukraine-strategic-partnership/ https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/ https://www.amazon.com/Changing-World-Order-Nations-Succeed/dp/1982160276/ https://www.salon.com/2021/01/19/who-is-victoria-nuland-a-really-bad-idea-as-a-key-player-in-bidens-foreign-policy-team/ #allin #tech #news

Jason CalacanishostDavid FriedberghostChamath Palihapitiyahost
Mar 19, 20221h 14mWatch on YouTube ↗

Episode Details

EPISODE INFO

Released
March 19, 2022
Duration
1h 14m
Channel
All-In Podcast
Watch on YouTube
▶ Open ↗

EPISODE DESCRIPTION

0:00 Jason's new "family office" and Sacks' new strategy 2:39 Understanding where all sides stand in the Russia/Ukraine War three weeks in 15:21 Sanctions risking a major food shortage: possible solutions, how we got here, creating distributed manufacturing and supply chains, capitalist incentives flipping 34:59 Breaking down the second- and third-order effects of the massive sanctions on Russia; best case/worst case outcomes for this new form of economic warfare, deglobalization 49:26 US economy big picture outlook: inflation, rising rates, decreasing uncertainty potentially a bullish sign in public markets; how that flows to private markets 1:02:06 Rewriting foreign policy playbooks Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/16/us/politics/russia-troop-deaths.html https://www.axios.com/zelensky-russian-invasion-ukraine-ea623eb5-4a14-4458-9640-af981081e4a4.html https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/russia-ukraine-invasion-francis-fukuyama-b2035413.html https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1504601558184517637 https://uscnpm.org/2022/03/12/hu-wei-russia-ukraine-war-china-choice/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/03/16/ukraine-zelensky-information-war/ https://twitter.com/RichardHanania/status/1504824837964926981 https://twitter.com/ClintEhrlich/status/1504618754784735232 https://www.ft.com/content/7b341e46-d375-4817-be67-802b7fa77ef1 https://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/first-drought-now-war-global-wheat-supplies-peril-rcna19298 https://www.agweb.com/news/policy/politics/if-you-think-fertilizer-prices-are-bad-now-heres-why-china-could-make https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/Fig4.png https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/skyrocketing-fertilizer-prices-gouge-farmer-profits-groups-blame-consolidation https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cu22 https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1504214235114577926 https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/10/there-are-more-than-11-million-open-jobs-in-america-right-now.html https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/03/16/business/fed-meeting-interest-rates https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1503989745939980292 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957 https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2021-06-16/the-latest-kremlin-official-says-summit-will-not-be-easy https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/biden-says-ukraine-has-work-to-do-on-corruption-to-get-into-nato https://theintercept.com/2022/03/15/ukraine-russia-war-sovereignty-negotiations/ https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/09/01/joint-statement-on-the-u-s-ukraine-strategic-partnership/ https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/ https://www.amazon.com/Changing-World-Order-Nations-Succeed/dp/1982160276/ https://www.salon.com/2021/01/19/who-is-victoria-nuland-a-really-bad-idea-as-a-key-player-in-bidens-foreign-policy-team/ #allin #tech #news

SPEAKERS

  • Jason Calacanis

    host
  • David Friedberg

    host
  • Chamath Palihapitiya

    host
  • Narrator

    other

EPISODE SUMMARY

In this episode of All-In Podcast, featuring Jason Calacanis and David Sacks, E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more explores war, sanctions, and food shocks reshape global markets and geopolitics The hosts discuss the Russia-Ukraine war’s military trajectory, the emerging contours of a possible peace deal, and the role of U.S. diplomacy versus European mediators. They argue sanctions on Russia are historically severe, potentially effective in forcing compromise, but also likely to trigger major second-order effects, including recession risks and a tighter Russia–China alignment.

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