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Scott Galloway: Why young men quietly leave the Democrats

Republicans pulled young men from 35 percent in 2016 to 48 percent. Galloway blames rage algorithms, deficit silence, and a masculinity vacuum.

Scott GallowayguestSteven Bartletthost
Nov 3, 20241h 54mWatch on YouTube ↗

At a glance

WHAT IT’S REALLY ABOUT

Masculinity, Algorithms, And Trump: Scott Galloway Dissects 2024 Election

  1. Scott Galloway argues the 2024 U.S. election will hinge less on policies and more on which side offers a more compelling, aspirational vision of masculinity, particularly to disaffected young men. He maintains that America is economically strong by global standards, yet widespread inequality, social media algorithms, and political performance culture have created a perception of decline and deep polarization. Galloway contends Democrats have neglected young men and over-indexed on identity politics and DEI, while Republicans and Trump have successfully made these men feel ‘seen’—despite policies he believes will economically harm them long-term. He predicts a close race, says he is betting on Harris for value reasons, and warns that deficits, attacks on bodily autonomy, and algorithm-driven loneliness and extremism pose bigger systemic risks than either candidate alone.

IDEAS WORTH REMEMBERING

5 ideas

The election may be decided by which side defines masculinity more persuasively.

Galloway argues that swing male voters—especially young men—will respond more to visions of what it means to be a man than to policy PDFs. He characterizes the far-right’s pitch as ‘provocative, aggressive, speak your mind, be tough,’ which many young men find more aspirational than what he sees on the far-left: ‘be more like a woman.’ He believes Democrats are missing an opportunity to frame masculinity positively around three roles—provider, protector, procreator—and to link that explicitly to their economic agenda and defense of bodily autonomy.

America is economically strong overall, but prosperity is concentrated and youth are falling behind.

By metrics like GDP growth, stock market dominance, energy production, and unemployment, the U.S. is outperforming other G7 economies. Yet most of the gains are accruing to the top 1%, while the average American under 40 is ~24% less wealthy than 40 years ago and the average 70-year-old is ~72% wealthier. Home ownership, childbearing, and independent living are all down among the young. This divergence fuels rage, shame, and a perception that the country is ‘headed in the wrong direction,’ even though macro numbers look strong.

Social media and performance incentives have turned politicians into outrage-driven entertainers.

Because small-dollar donations flow to viral, incendiary clips, Galloway says incentives now reward ‘performers’ rather than legislators: say something extreme, trigger your base, get clipped for TikTok, and raise money. This dynamic, amplified by algorithms that prioritize rage over nuance, crowds out serious policy discussion—like explaining to young people how today’s deficits are effectively tomorrow’s taxes on them—and deepens polarization. He notes this cycle also shifts power from general elections to primaries in gerrymandered safe districts, sending more extremists to Congress.

Young men are leaving Democrats more than they are becoming ideologically conservative.

Citing data showing Republicans’ share of young men rising from 35% (2016) to 48% (2023), Galloway contends the main story is a ‘flight from’ the Democratic Party. He points to the DNC’s ‘Who We Serve’ page listing 16 demographic groups but omitting young men, despite them leading negative stats: 3 of 4 homeless people are men, men are three times more likely to die by suicide, 12 times more likely to be incarcerated, and now often earn less than young women. Families see sons struggling and perceive Democrats as ‘fighting for everyone except them,’ while Republicans and Trump at least rhetorically acknowledge them.

Galloway advocates shifting from race-based to class-based affirmative action and DEI.

He credits race-based affirmative action with historic progress, but argues it’s now creating new resentments and misallocations (e.g., wealthy non-white students benefiting while poor white kids do not). He favors systems like the University of California’s ‘adversity score,’ which focus on socioeconomic background and resilience. Under such a regime, most current non-white beneficiaries (who are disproportionately poorer) would still qualify, while affluent non-whites would lose some advantages and low-income whites would gain access. He believes Democrats should reorient rhetoric and policy toward the middle class and economic disadvantage instead of identity silos.

WORDS WORTH SAVING

5 quotes

I actually think the election is gonna be decided based on who presents a more aspirational, effective vision of masculinity.

Scott Galloway

Young men do not feel seen by the Democratic Party. It’s like, ‘You’re fighting for everyone except for me, and my group is not doing well.’

Scott Galloway

Deficits are essentially a tax on young people paid in 10 or 20 years.

Scott Galloway

Anything wonderful in your life is super fucking hard. That’s it.

Scott Galloway

The biggest threat of AI is loneliness… too many reasonable facsimiles of relationships that reduce our desire to make real friends and take real risks.

Scott Galloway

Aspirational masculinity and its influence on the 2024 U.S. electionEconomic reality versus public ‘vibes’: inequality, youth stagnation, and deficitsPolitical performance, social media algorithms, and podcast-driven campaigningYoung men’s alienation from the Democratic Party and attraction to TrumpDEI, identity politics, and class-based affirmative actionGeopolitics: Ukraine, Israel–Hamas, China, and information warfare via TikTokMale mental health, pornography, and Galloway’s emerging ‘code for men’

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