David Deutsch - AI, America, Fun, & Bayes

David Deutsch is the founder of the field of quantum computing and the author of The Beginning of Infinity and The Fabric of Reality. Read me Contra David, on AI: https://dwarkeshpatel.com/universal-explainers/ Buy The Beginning of Infinity: https://www.amazon.com/dp/0143121359/ Episode website + Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/david-deutsch Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3PZXA1j Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3Q4fmjS Follow me on Twitter to be notified of future content: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp Follow David on Twitter: https://twitter.com/DavidDeutschOxf Timestamps: 0:00:00 Will AIs be smarter than humans? 0:06:30 Are intelligence differences immutable/heritable? 0:20:08 IQ correlation of twins separated at birth 0:27:08 Do animals have bounded creativity? 0:33:28 How powerful can narrow AIs be? 0:36:55 Could you implant thoughts in VR? 0:38:45 Can you simulate the whole universe? 0:41:19 Are some interesting problems insoluble? 0:44:55 Does America fail Popper's Criterion? 0:49:57 Does finite matter mean there's no beginning of infinity? 0:53:12 The Great Stagnation 0:55:30 Changes in epistemic status is Popperianism 0:59:25 Open-ended science vs gain of function 1:02:51 Contra Tyler Cowen on civilizational lifespan 1:07:16 Fun criterion 1:14:12 Does AGI through evolution require suffering? 1:17:57 Would David enter the Experience Machine? 1:20:05 (Against) Advice for young people