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Joe Rogan Experience #2064 - Mike Baker

Mike Baker is a former CIA covert operations officer and current CEO of Portman Square Group, a global intelligence firm. He's also the host of "Black Files Declassified" on Discovery+ and the Science Channel, author of "Company Rules, Or Everything I Know About Business I Learned from the CIA," and host of "The President's Daily Brief" podcast. http://www.portmansquaregroup.com/https://www.thefirsttv.com/pdb/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Joe RoganhostMike BakerguestGuestguest
Jun 27, 20242h 23mWatch on YouTube ↗

CHAPTERS

  1. 0:00 – 1:37

    Why Ukraine vanished from headlines after Oct 7

    Joe and Mike open with the observation that Hamas’ October 7 attack instantly dominated global attention and pushed the Ukraine war out of the news cycle. Mike frames it as both a media attention problem and a strategic benefit for actors who want Ukraine deprioritized.

  2. 1:37 – 5:25

    Narrative reversal: Hamas’ strategy of embedding within civilians

    Mike argues Hamas anticipated Israel’s response and deliberately embeds command centers, tunnels, and weapons under civilian sites to drive civilian deaths and shift global sympathy. They discuss how quickly blame moved from Hamas’ massacre to condemnation of Israel.

  3. 5:25 – 7:27

    Evidence claims: hospitals, hostages, and the media’s credulity

    They review reports of weapons and suspected hostage-holding areas in hospitals like Rantisi and Al-Shifa. The discussion then pivots to frustration with major outlets repeating Hamas claims—especially the misreported hospital blast—without verification.

  4. 7:27 – 13:02

    Antisemitism, campus protests, and US political layers

    Joe and Mike describe a surge in visible antisemitism and how protest movements range from sincere humanitarian concerns to propaganda-driven activism. They cite examples in US politics and argue that calls like “ceasefire” can function as de facto acceptance of the status quo.

  5. 13:02 – 17:44

    What happens after Hamas: governance vacuum and US proposals

    Mike explores the problem of what could replace Hamas in Gaza if Israel degrades its capability. They discuss polling on Palestinian support, skepticism toward the Palestinian Authority, and US pressure for pauses and post-conflict governance plans.

  6. 17:44 – 25:11

    How Oct 7 happened: intelligence failure, op-sec, and IRGC support

    They dig into how Hamas could evade Israel’s surveillance and human sources, emphasizing compartmentalization, low-tech comms, and strict need-to-know practices. Mike highlights Iran’s IRGC role in training and funding and rejects claims Israel ‘let it happen.’

  7. 25:11 – 34:09

    Follow the money: aid pipelines, Hamas corruption, and tunnel ‘taxes’

    Joe presses for mechanics of how Gaza aid is distributed and how Hamas benefits. Mike describes NGO/UN vendor systems, Hamas-controlled businesses, extortion-style cuts, and the leadership’s wealth outside Gaza.

  8. 34:09 – 37:05

    Regional escalation risks: Hezbollah, Yemen, and the Iran ‘center of gravity’

    They assess worst-case scenarios involving a widening regional war and increased proxy attacks. Mike argues durable stability routes through confronting Iran’s regime, not just its proxies, while still noting direct war is not the desired path.

  9. 37:05 – 50:19

    Biden’s Iran sanctions waiver and the ‘fungible money’ argument

    Mike criticizes the decision to extend a sanctions waiver that releases $10B in previously frozen assets while US troops are attacked by Iranian-backed groups. They argue ‘humanitarian-only’ restrictions are unrealistic because money is fungible.

  10. 50:19 – 54:51

    China–US summit, ‘cleaned up’ San Francisco, and climate diplomacy skepticism

    The conversation shifts to Biden meeting Xi in San Francisco and the city’s rapid cleanup for APEC, which they treat as politically revealing. Mike is skeptical of climate cooperation given China’s coal expansion and emphasizes the need for military deconfliction channels.

  11. 54:51 – 1:29:27

    Mike Baker’s podcast growth and how he builds the daily brief

    They pause geopolitical discussion to talk about Mike’s show, The President’s Daily Brief, its ranking, and the workflow behind producing morning and afternoon editions. Mike describes his approach to sources and why he avoids social-media-driven news consumption.

  12. 1:29:27 – 1:36:59

    Ukraine update: casualty estimates, stalemate fears, and corruption concerns

    They return to Ukraine, citing UK intelligence casualty estimates and the likelihood of winter slowing operations while Russia targets energy infrastructure. Mike discusses US political fatigue, Republican skepticism, and the persistent challenge of corruption and accountability for aid.

  13. 1:36:59 – 1:49:03

    Nord Stream theories and Russia’s manpower tactics (prisoners, Wagner, POW claims)

    Joe raises Nord Stream sabotage narratives, and Mike leans toward recent reporting implicating a Ukrainian special-ops effort with plausible deniability. They then cover Russia’s willingness to absorb losses, including recruiting prisoners and reports about POW usage.

  14. 1:49:03 – 2:09:08

    Trump’s legal battles, rally dynamics, and 2024 uncertainty

    The conversation pivots to US politics: Trump’s popularity spikes amid prosecutions, crowd response at UFC 295, and skepticism over valuation claims in the Mar-a-Lago case. They speculate on Democratic nominee possibilities and discuss election fraud claims and voting systems.

  15. 2:09:08 – 2:23:30

    Border security as national security: ‘got-aways’ and terrorism risk

    They argue the scale of illegal crossings and ‘got-aways’ creates an intelligence and law-enforcement nightmare, especially amid Middle East instability. Mike emphasizes that secure borders and fair immigration are compatible but require functional governance.

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