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Howard Marks: AI, Debt vs Equity & The Next 40 Years Of Investing | Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance?

I sat down with Howard Marks, the co-founder of Oaktree and the man who has been writing the memos every serious investor on earth opens first for over thirty years, and what was supposed to be a conversation about debt and cycles became a conversation about how anyone gets above-average at anything in a world where everyone smart is already trying — we covered why he picked bonds over stocks for an entire career and got rich doing the opposite of what everyone wanted to do, why the S&P returns 10% a year but almost never between 8 and 12, why he changed his mind on AI after a single conversation with Claude, what AI can't do that great investors still can, why he thinks India's biggest export business sits in the crosshairs of AI, and where the $10 bill nobody has picked up is hiding right now. 00:00 Introduction 02:05 From Queens to Wharton beginnings 08:10 Mujo and independence of events 15:17 Why cycles exist in markets 22:09 Pandemic, recessions, and recovery age 28:38 Where we are today 36:08 Drifting versus seeing the river 42:57 Oak Tree and accidental entrepreneurship 49:45 Why bonds over equities 57:14 Distressed bonds and excess returns 1:05:36 Beginning a new career today 1:12:42 Active management versus indexation 1:20:08 Learning from Andrew, second level thinking 1:27:25 How to become contrarian and better 1:34:28 Learning from history, final advice #NikhilKamath Co-founder of Zerodha and Gruhas Host of 'WTF is' & 'People By WTF' Podcast Twitter: https://x.com/nikhilkamathcio/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/nikhilkamathcio/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nikhilkamathcio/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/nikhilkamathcio/ #HowardMarks Co-founder and co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/howardmarksbook/ Twitter: https://x.com/HowardMarksBook Watch 'WTF is' Podcast on Spotify https://tinyurl.com/4nsm4ezn Watch 'People by WTF' Podcast on Spotify https://tinyurl.com/yme92c59 Watch 'WTF Online' on Spotify https://tinyurl.com/4tjua4th #WTFiswithnikhilkamath #PeopleByWTF #WTFOnline

Nikhil KamathhostHoward Marksguest
May 4, 20261h 43mWatch on YouTube ↗

Episode Details

EPISODE INFO

Released
May 4, 2026
Duration
1h 43m
Channel
Nikhil Kamath
Watch on YouTube
▶ Open ↗

EPISODE DESCRIPTION

I sat down with Howard Marks, the co-founder of Oaktree and the man who has been writing the memos every serious investor on earth opens first for over thirty years, and what was supposed to be a conversation about debt and cycles became a conversation about how anyone gets above-average at anything in a world where everyone smart is already trying — we covered why he picked bonds over stocks for an entire career and got rich doing the opposite of what everyone wanted to do, why the S&P returns 10% a year but almost never between 8 and 12, why he changed his mind on AI after a single conversation with Claude, what AI can't do that great investors still can, why he thinks India's biggest export business sits in the crosshairs of AI, and where the $10 bill nobody has picked up is hiding right now. 00:00 Introduction 02:05 From Queens to Wharton beginnings 08:10 Mujo and independence of events 15:17 Why cycles exist in markets 22:09 Pandemic, recessions, and recovery age 28:38 Where we are today 36:08 Drifting versus seeing the river 42:57 Oak Tree and accidental entrepreneurship 49:45 Why bonds over equities 57:14 Distressed bonds and excess returns 1:05:36 Beginning a new career today 1:12:42 Active management versus indexation 1:20:08 Learning from Andrew, second level thinking 1:27:25 How to become contrarian and better 1:34:28 Learning from history, final advice #NikhilKamath Co-founder of Zerodha and Gruhas Host of 'WTF is' & 'People By WTF' Podcast Twitter: https://x.com/nikhilkamathcio/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/nikhilkamathcio/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nikhilkamathcio/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/nikhilkamathcio/ #HowardMarks Co-founder and co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/howardmarksbook/ Twitter: https://x.com/HowardMarksBook Watch 'WTF is' Podcast on Spotify https://tinyurl.com/4nsm4ezn Watch 'People by WTF' Podcast on Spotify https://tinyurl.com/yme92c59 Watch 'WTF Online' on Spotify https://tinyurl.com/4tjua4th #WTFiswithnikhilkamath #PeopleByWTF #WTFOnline

SPEAKERS

  • Nikhil Kamath

    host

    Indian investor and entrepreneur; host of “WTF is with Nikhil Kamath”.

  • Howard Marks

    guest

    Co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management and investing author known for memos and books like “The Most Important Thing.”

EPISODE SUMMARY

In this episode of Nikhil Kamath, featuring Nikhil Kamath and Howard Marks, Howard Marks: AI, Debt vs Equity & The Next 40 Years Of Investing | Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance? explores howard Marks on cycles, credit discipline, AI, and investing humility Howard Marks describes his path from a middle-class Queens upbringing through Wharton and the University of Chicago to a career shaped heavily by serendipity, including his move into bonds and high-yield credit.

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