Ep #8 | WTF is Going on in the World of Content | w/ Nikhil, Ajay Bijli, Vijay S. & Sajith S.

Ep #8 | WTF is Going on in the World of Content | w/ Nikhil, Ajay Bijli, Vijay S. & Sajith S.

Nikhil KamathAug 14, 20232h 13m

Nikhil Kamath (host), Ajay Bijli (guest), Sajith Sivanandan (guest), Vijay Subramaniam (guest), Nikhil Kamath (host), Sajith Sivanandan (guest), Nikhil Kamath (host), Ajay Bijli (guest), Ajay Bijli (guest), Vijay Subramaniam (guest), Sajith Sivanandan (guest)

Market sizing: OTT vs TV vs theatricalIndia screen supply: multiplex vs single-screen dynamicsOTT subscriptions, ARPU, and ads vs paywallsSports rights as top-of-funnel growth leverTalent economics: fees, transparency, and IP participationWriter scarcity and story quality as bottleneckFuture formats: creators, short-form, gaming, AI

In this episode of Nikhil Kamath, featuring Nikhil Kamath and Ajay Bijli, Ep #8 | WTF is Going on in the World of Content | w/ Nikhil, Ajay Bijli, Vijay S. & Sajith S. explores india’s content economy decoded: theaters, OTT, TV, talent, creators, AI Nikhil Kamath hosts Ajay Bijli (PVR), Vijay Subramaniam (Collective Artists Network), and Sajith Sivanandan (Disney+ Hotstar) to map the Indian content ecosystem for entrepreneurs and investors.

India’s content economy decoded: theaters, OTT, TV, talent, creators, AI

Nikhil Kamath hosts Ajay Bijli (PVR), Vijay Subramaniam (Collective Artists Network), and Sajith Sivanandan (Disney+ Hotstar) to map the Indian content ecosystem for entrepreneurs and investors.

They quantify key market segments: OTT streaming at roughly $2B (ads+subscriptions), TV at ~$8–10B, and theatrical box office at ~₹10,000 crore, with multiplexes generating ~70% of box office despite being a minority of screens.

The group debates the industry’s profitability problems—especially talent fees (often 20–50% of big-film budgets), opaque deal structures, and weak incentives for writers and creators—arguing the long-term fix is better stories and fairer IP/royalty economics.

They also discuss consumption shifts toward short-form video and creators, sports as a funnel for OTT, gaming as attention competition, and AI/deepfakes as a potential disruptor, ending with charity commitments and a viewer poll model.

Key Takeaways

India’s OTT business is still small versus TV—yet the upside is massive.

They cite OTT streaming at about $2B total (ads+subs) versus TV at ~$8–10B, while TV reaches ~800M people and OTT has ~80–90M paying subscribers at least once. ...

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Multiplexes dominate box office revenue despite fewer screens.

India has ~9,000 screens, with ~3,500 multiplex screens, yet multiplexes contribute ~70% of box office because average ticket prices are much higher (multiplex ~₹200 vs single-screen ~₹80–90). ...

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Single screens are shrinking due to real estate economics, not just demand.

Ajay explains many single-screen owners convert properties into smaller cinemas plus commercial real estate, and ~500 screens close annually while multiplexes add ~300, keeping total screens roughly flat. ...

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The theatrical window still matters for recouping big budgets—and also markets OTT.

They argue big films struggle to recoup if released straight to streaming; post-COVID windows shortened (e. ...

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Sports is an acquisition engine more than a pure subscription product.

Sajith describes sports (especially cricket) as a huge top-of-funnel driver bringing “hundreds of millions” to the platform; monetization then depends on discovery and retention into entertainment. ...

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Talent fees aren’t the only problem—opaque back-end economics are.

Vijay defends high upfront fees as rational when creators lack transparent participation in downstream value (global rights, syndication, music royalties, profit points). ...

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The biggest structural bottleneck is story supply and writer incentives.

All converge on “better stories” as the core fix: strong writing can create new stars (e. ...

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Notable Quotes

Box office-wise, 70% of the revenues come from multiplexes.

Ajay Bijli

The creator becomes the product and the distribution.

Sajith Sivanandan

Anywhere between 20 to 50% of that [a big film budget goes to the actor].

Vijay Subramaniam

If content is king, movie content, then theater is the kingdom.

Ajay Bijli

Why is it wrong for a celebrity to make money? Why is it an issue?

Vijay Subramaniam

Questions Answered in This Episode

On the $2B OTT estimate: does it include YouTube-style long-form consumption, or only paid OTT apps (Hotstar/Netflix/Prime/SonyLIV/Jio)? What’s excluded?

Nikhil Kamath hosts Ajay Bijli (PVR), Vijay Subramaniam (Collective Artists Network), and Sajith Sivanandan (Disney+ Hotstar) to map the Indian content ecosystem for entrepreneurs and investors.

Get the full analysis with uListen AI

Ajay: you mentioned ~500 screens close and ~300 open annually—what specific policy changes (fire rules, zoning, taxation, licensing) would most increase net screen growth?

They quantify key market segments: OTT streaming at roughly $2B (ads+subscriptions), TV at ~$8–10B, and theatrical box office at ~₹10,000 crore, with multiplexes generating ~70% of box office despite being a minority of screens.

Get the full analysis with uListen AI

Sajith: if OTT has ~80–90M people who have paid at least once, what’s the realistic path to expand that base—lower pricing, more regional originals, bundling with telecom, or improving payments UX?

The group debates the industry’s profitability problems—especially talent fees (often 20–50% of big-film budgets), opaque deal structures, and weak incentives for writers and creators—arguing the long-term fix is better stories and fairer IP/royalty economics.

Get the full analysis with uListen AI

Vijay: what would a “fair” India-specific back-end participation model look like (profit points, revenue share by territory, viewership-based bonuses)? What data transparency is required for it to work?

They also discuss consumption shifts toward short-form video and creators, sports as a funnel for OTT, gaming as attention competition, and AI/deepfakes as a potential disruptor, ending with charity commitments and a viewer poll model.

Get the full analysis with uListen AI

The panel says writers aren’t incentivized: what concrete steps can platforms and talent agencies take in the next 12 months (minimum guarantees, residuals, writer rooms, fellowships, contests)?

Get the full analysis with uListen AI

Transcript Preview

Nikhil Kamath

Let's establish market size.

Ajay Bijli

Box office-wise, 70% of the revenues-

Nikhil Kamath

Mm

Ajay Bijli

... come from multiplexes.

Nikhil Kamath

Is OTT growing on the back of theaters?

Speaker

[clears throat] Sure.

Ajay Bijli

The actors fees, what percentage of the budget?

Speaker

Anywhere between 20 to 50% of that. I think, I think we've got to change that. Why is it wrong for a celebrity to make money? Why is it an issue?

Nikhil Kamath

[upbeat music] How do you greenlight original content?

Ajay Bijli

Uh, creativity and commerce is something that should happen hand in-

Speaker

Hand in hand

Ajay Bijli

... hand in hand.

Sajith Sivanandan

I think short form-

Nikhil Kamath

Mm

Sajith Sivanandan

... gives you a higher likelihood of success.

Speaker

What do you have to give that's different?

Sajith Sivanandan

The creator becomes-

Speaker

The dis- the distribution

Sajith Sivanandan

... the product and the distribution. [upbeat music]

Nikhil Kamath

Hi, everyone. Uh, [chuckles]

Ajay Bijli

Hi.

Nikhil Kamath

I like how I'm sitting with the three of you and pretending to know what I'm doing here. [chuckles]

Speaker

[chuckles]

Sajith Sivanandan

It's, uh, two of us then.

Nikhil Kamath

Huh? [laughing]

Speaker

[laughing] That's true.

Nikhil Kamath

Hotstar makes plenty of content. Uh, another interesting fact that I realized today is the three of you did not know each other before today.

Ajay Bijli

No, that's right.

Nikhil Kamath

And, uh, how strange is that, that the head of the largest multiplex company, the largest streaming company, and the largest talent company of India do not know each other?

Sajith Sivanandan

I mean, I, I knew of both of them. [laughing] Just I'm pretty sure they had no clue about me. Just, just to... [laughing]

Nikhil Kamath

And a non-industry, somebody who has nothing to do with content, is friends with all three of you and introducing you.

Speaker

I think the compliment sticks with you.

Sajith Sivanandan

Thank you. Yes. [laughing]

Speaker

[laughing] I think you're doing something right.

Sajith Sivanandan

My network is- [laughing]

Ajay Bijli

At one level, it shows the diversity of the industry-

Nikhil Kamath

Yeah

Ajay Bijli

... as well, isn't it?

Speaker

Absolutely.

Nikhil Kamath

And I met the-

Ajay Bijli

In their own field. [chuckles]

Nikhil Kamath

I met the three of you in the most interesting ways possible.

Speaker

That's right.

Ajay Bijli

Yeah.

Nikhil Kamath

I met Ajay many, many years ago at a common friend's Diwali party. Neeraj's Diwali, right?

Sajith Sivanandan

That's right, Neeraj Kanwar.

Nikhil Kamath

Neeraj's Diwali party in Delhi.

Sajith Sivanandan

Yeah.

Nikhil Kamath

And we sat and we spoke for a long time, and ate food, and stuff like that, and then we've always kept in touch. Sajith is, uh, again, a friend from Bangalore. I knew him when he was the CEO of Google Pay-

Ajay Bijli

Okay

Nikhil Kamath

... which is what he did.

Ajay Bijli

I should head it.

Nikhil Kamath

[chuckles]

Sajith Sivanandan

CEO is a big term. [chuckles]

Nikhil Kamath

Which is what he did before being the CEO of Hotstar. Vijay and I, uh, we met on this random night in Bombay. So I was walking down Bandra and, uh, it was raining, and I had an umbrella with me and-

Speaker

Uh-huh

Nikhil Kamath

... there was this guy with all these Bollywood actresses walking on the other side of the road. [laughing]

Speaker

[laughing] Not true.

Nikhil Kamath

And you were, like, being very cozy with all of them. [laughing]

Sajith Sivanandan

Sounds like a movie that Ajay would make. [laughing]

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