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E80: Recession deep dive: VC psychology, macro risks, Tiger Global, predictions and more

0:00 Bestie catchup and Friedberg intros! 4:40 Breaking down current macro risks, Great Recession comparisons 31:55 How a historically large amount of dry powder is impacting VC firms as the market shifts, problems with mega funds 41:31 Tiger Global's historic loss and where they might have gone wrong; Sacks' gives his playbook for raising capital in a downturn 58:35 How startup employees can protect themselves in a down market, questions to ask and metrics to know while evaluating startups to work at 1:13:21 Psychological impact of investing after taking huge losses 1:29:00 Predictions on how the market shakes out Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/cullenroche/status/1524441227931774976 https://www.axios.com/2022/04/08/consumer-debt-soars-credit-cards https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/default.htm https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-12/musk-seeks-to-scrap-tesla-margin-loan-with-new-twitter-funding https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1523780820112007168 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf https://twitter.com/TheBenSchmark/status/1522669777478684672 https://twitter.com/AndrewE_Dunn/status/1523653942252826624 https://twitter.com/mattturck/status/1524773379416408064 https://twitter.com/jonsakoda/status/1522625236130144256 https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund/ https://twitter.com/ZoeSchiffer/status/1523017143939309568 https://twitter.com/BurryArchive/status/1524504399070081025 https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/05/04/dow-rallies-fed-ups-rates/9649150002/ https://twitter.com/Airbnb/status/1524379284260892674 #allin #tech #news

Jason CalacanishostChamath PalihapitiyahostDavid Friedberghost
May 13, 20221h 41mWatch on YouTube ↗

Episode Details

EPISODE INFO

Released
May 13, 2022
Duration
1h 41m
Channel
All-In Podcast
Watch on YouTube
▶ Open ↗

EPISODE DESCRIPTION

0:00 Bestie catchup and Friedberg intros! 4:40 Breaking down current macro risks, Great Recession comparisons 31:55 How a historically large amount of dry powder is impacting VC firms as the market shifts, problems with mega funds 41:31 Tiger Global's historic loss and where they might have gone wrong; Sacks' gives his playbook for raising capital in a downturn 58:35 How startup employees can protect themselves in a down market, questions to ask and metrics to know while evaluating startups to work at 1:13:21 Psychological impact of investing after taking huge losses 1:29:00 Predictions on how the market shakes out Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/cullenroche/status/1524441227931774976 https://www.axios.com/2022/04/08/consumer-debt-soars-credit-cards https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/default.htm https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-12/musk-seeks-to-scrap-tesla-margin-loan-with-new-twitter-funding https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1523780820112007168 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf https://twitter.com/TheBenSchmark/status/1522669777478684672 https://twitter.com/AndrewE_Dunn/status/1523653942252826624 https://twitter.com/mattturck/status/1524773379416408064 https://twitter.com/jonsakoda/status/1522625236130144256 https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund/ https://twitter.com/ZoeSchiffer/status/1523017143939309568 https://twitter.com/BurryArchive/status/1524504399070081025 https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/05/04/dow-rallies-fed-ups-rates/9649150002/ https://twitter.com/Airbnb/status/1524379284260892674 #allin #tech #news

SPEAKERS

  • Jason Calacanis

    host
  • Chamath Palihapitiya

    host
  • David Friedberg

    host
  • Narrator

    other

EPISODE SUMMARY

In this episode of All-In Podcast, featuring Jason Calacanis and Chamath Palihapitiya, E80: Recession deep dive: VC psychology, macro risks, Tiger Global, predictions and more explores venture Capital Reckoning: Wealth Destruction, Recession Reality, Founder Reset The hosts dissect the rapid reversal from zero-interest-rate-fueled asset bubbles to a broad-based market crash wiping out an estimated 14% of global wealth in months. They explain how Fed money printing, quantitative tightening, and inflation have driven multiple compression across equities, crypto, and private tech valuations, with recession viewed as effectively underway.

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