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Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time – Ada Palmer

Had Ada Palmer back on – this time to talk about Machiavelli, perhaps the most misunderstood thinker of all time. Machiavelli cut his teeth as a high-level diplomat for Florence, a position from which he got to closely observe the most important rulers in Europe at the time, including the ones who were on the path to destroying his dearly beloved Florence. In 1513 the Medici retook control of Florence and, wrongly suspecting Machiavelli of participating in a coup attempt, fired, tortured, and exiled him. Machiavelli could have fled his exile and worked for any number of different principalities that would have been eager to make use of his talents. Instead, he decided to rot in the countryside and compile his career’s lessons about power, politics, and human nature into a book he dedicated to the very man whose new regime had tortured and exiled him, Lorenzo di Piero de’ Medici. But at least the Medici were in a position to use his insights to defend Florence. Machiavelli the patriot did not want any other hands to touch this book, because those hands, armed with these lessons, might pose an existential danger to Florence. The closest modern analogy, at least as Machiavelli would have seen it, would be Szilard’s letter warning FDR about the possibility of a nuclear fission bomb. What were those insights? And how were they inspired by Machiavelli’s dangerous diplomatic missions all across Europe, and his extensive reading of antiquity? Watch this episode with Ada Palmer to find out! By the way, Ada is launching a new podcast which I’m very excited about. The first season will be about Machiavelli – a perfect way to dive deeper into the topics we discussed in this episode. Subscribe at Beforecast’s website to be notified of the first episode: https://beforecast-seven.vercel.app/ Subscribe on YouTube: @Beforecast Follow her on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/adapalmer Check out her FixTheNews Podcast episode: https://savingtheworldpod.transistor.fm/ And if you want even more Ada check out her books and more: https://www.adapalmer.com/ 𝐄𝐏𝐈𝐒𝐎𝐃𝐄 𝐋𝐈𝐍𝐊𝐒 * Transcript: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/ada-palmer-2 * Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/ada-palmer-machiavelli-is-the-most-misunderstood/id1516093381?i=1000772996754 * Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/1Wx4gaPNEuauMODv8W2XTA?si=Bzfl_SSvSXCr4Xh4u2Q6lg 𝐒𝐏𝐎𝐍𝐒𝐎𝐑𝐒 * Cursor recently saved one of my podcast recordings. When a video file from a shoot came out corrupted, I pointed Cursor at it: it recovered the footage on its own, tracking down the right reference file from the file’s metadata and realigning the out-of-sync audio. My whole team now uses Cursor for everyday tasks, not just coding. Get started at https://cursor.com/dwarkesh * Jane Street’s hiring process has been going viral on Twitter lately. The memes are pretty funny, but I wanted to see what their interviews were actually like. So I had Ricson, one of Jane Street’s ML researchers, walk me through a retired puzzle: he gave me an image dataset where 50% of the files had been corrupted – I had to figure out how to recover them. If you’re interested in these sorts of puzzles, you can find Jane Street’s open roles at https://janestreet.com/dwarkesh * Crusoe is turning the AI datacenter buildout into an industrial process. At their massive Colorado factory, they assemble Spark units, modular datacenters with power, cooling, and fire suppression built in. They also manufacture specific components in-house to skip the longest lead times. Crusoe has experience running these Spark units on a range of energy sources, including solar and used EV batteries, ensuring they don’t get bottlenecked by grid availability. Learn more at https://crusoe.ai/dwarkesh To sponsor a future episode, visit https://dwarkesh.com/advertise. 𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐌𝐏𝐒 00:00:00 – How Florence bargained with Cesare Borgia for survival 00:15:08 – Machiavelli’s analytical innovations 00:23:58 – Why popes became warlords 00:36:13 – Why the common people demanded nepotism 00:47:57 – Cesare Borgia brought terror to rulers and justice to the people 00:57:55 – Art as a proxy for war 01:06:41 – Florence, a city famous in hell 01:15:57 – The Prince was a job application to Machiavelli’s torturers 01:41:39 – During the Renaissance, original ideas had to be couched in antiquity 01:50:44 – Why copyright began with the Inquisition 02:02:12 – Machiavelli wasn't Machiavellian

Dwarkesh PatelhostAda Palmerguest
Jun 16, 20262h 8mWatch on YouTube ↗

CHAPTERS

  1. 0:00 — Florence’s survival strategy vs. Cesare Borgia: bribery, delay, and “eat us last” diplomacy

    Ada Palmer sets the crisis backdrop for Machiavelli’s career by describing how Italian city-states survived in a world of rapid conquests. Florence’s realistic objective wasn’t to “win,” but to buy time by bargaining with the most dangerous nearby power: Cesare Borgia.

  2. 15:08 — Machiavelli’s innovations: analyzing means, incentives, and the role of fortune

    The discussion reframes Machiavelli as a careful analyst of how power is acquired and maintained, not a simplistic advocate of “ends justify means.” Palmer emphasizes his methodological novelty: judging actions by probable outcomes while acknowledging that fortune still controls much of history.

  3. 23:58 — Why popes became warlords: Italy’s uniquely destabilizing elective monarchy

    Palmer explains how the papacy—an elected, non-hereditary monarchy with immense temporal power—created a special kind of volatility in Italy. Each pope could overturn city governments, reward relatives, and reset alliances, producing chaos unmatched elsewhere in Europe.

  4. 36:13 — Fighting the pope while staying Catholic: Guelphs, Ghibellines, and local faction logic

    The conversation unpacks how Catholics could plausibly fight papal armies without abandoning Catholicism. In Italy, “papal vs imperial” factions had become inherited local rivalries where loyalty to the abstract institution often clashed with hatred of particular people and families.

  5. 36:13 — Patronage as the society’s “glue”: why people demanded nepotism

    Palmer describes patronage—not meritocracy—as the core infrastructure of trust, loyalty, and even justice. The surprising twist: ordinary people sometimes demanded nepotism because it made power predictable and reduced the risk of betrayal within military and administrative chains.

  6. 47:57 — Cesare Borgia’s terror and his popularity: impartial justice after massacres

    The episode highlights a counterintuitive political outcome: Borgia’s brutality against elites could coincide with mass approval from common people. By wiping out factional rulers and imposing outsider “neutral” adjudication, he offered something rare—more even-handed justice.

  7. 57:55 — Liberty vs benevolent tyranny: why Florence feared outside conquest

    Palmer clarifies Machiavelli’s republican concept of liberty: if someone can arbitrarily execute you, you are not free. Even a ‘good’ conqueror destroys the legal-process barrier that separates citizenship from slavery in Machiavelli’s vocabulary.

  8. 57:55 — Art as diplomacy: cultural magnificence as a cheaper substitute for war

    The conversation reframes Renaissance artistic brilliance as strategic statecraft. Florence’s cultural production was not merely surplus wealth—it was a tool to influence stronger powers, win prestige, and reduce the probability of invasion.

  9. 1:06:31 — Antiquity as a disguise for originality: why Renaissance thinkers wrote “commentaries”

    Palmer argues that Renaissance intellectual fashion penalized overt originality, rewarding ideas presented as rediscovered ancient wisdom. This explains why major innovations often appear embedded in commentaries on Livy, Plato, or Seneca rather than in straightforward original treatises.

  10. 1:15:57 — Exile and The Prince as a job application to Machiavelli’s torturers

    Machiavelli’s exile is presented as unusually punitive: isolation designed to test whether he will defect to other courts. Instead, he writes The Prince as a private, patriotic bid to return to service—an act that complicates the popular image of Machiavelli as purely self-serving.

  11. 1:23:31 — Printing, censorship, and copyright: how the Inquisition shaped modern publishing control

    The episode traces how early printing created a new problem: authors losing control of their texts, reputations, and accuracy. Palmer connects censorship and copyright’s origins to the Inquisition’s licensing regime, which traded pre-publication approval for monopoly printing rights.

  12. 2:02:12 — “Machiavelli wasn’t Machiavellian”: how a caricature (Old Nick) eclipsed the thinker

    Palmer closes by explaining how “Machiavelli” split into two cultural entities: the real analyst-patriot and the convenient villain archetype. The Machiavellian stereotype became a reusable dramatic and philosophical character (Shakespeare’s “Machiavel”), often detached from Machiavelli’s intent and context.

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