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Trump’s Deal-a-Palooza in the Middle East | Pivot

Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway discuss Donald Trump’s wheeling and dealing visit to the Middle East, the Meta antitrust trial, and the return of HBO Max. Plus, Apple could raise iPhone prices, but without blaming tariffs, and RFK Jr. went swimming…in sewage? Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 6:31 Kara’s Mention at the Meta Trial 16:52 Apple Raising iPhone Prices? 26:18 Max No More 36:41 Fox To Launch Streamer 38:15 Trump’s Middle East Trip 48:05 RFK Jr.’s Busy (and Bizarre) Week 54:11 Predictions #pivot #podcast #karaswisher #scottgalloway #meta #apple #iphone #hbomax #hbo #fox #trump #donaldtrump #middleeast #qatar #ai #rfkjr #robertfkennedyjr Producers: Lara Naaman Zoë Marcus Taylor Griffin Kevin Oliver Audio Engineer: Ernie Indradat Vox Media's Executive Producer of Podcasts: Nishat Kurwa Subscribe to Pivot on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/pivot/id1073226719 Subscribe to Pivot on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4MU3RFGELZxPT9XHVwTNPR Follow us on Instagram and Threads at: https://www.instagram.com/pivotpodcastofficial Follow us on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@PIVOTPODCAST Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at https://podcasts.voxmedia.com/show/pivot

Scott GallowayhostKara Swisherhost
May 16, 20251h 1mWatch on YouTube ↗

CHAPTERS

  1. 0:00 – 6:17

    Scott crashes Kara’s studio: NYU graduation, family banter, and travel tales

    Scott and Kara open with a long, comedic check-in about recording location logistics, Louie’s NYU graduation, and their recent time together in New York. The riffing sets the tone for the episode before they pivot to the news agenda.

    • Scott records from Kara’s studio/apartment setup; jokes about “going through your stuff”
    • Louie’s graduation ceremonies and family celebrations in NYC
    • Webbys and a meetup at San Vicente Bungalows
    • Kara’s FT profile and jokes about British titles/lordships
    • Quick preview of upcoming topics: Trump’s Middle East deals and the Max/HBO branding reversal
  2. 6:17 – 15:02

    Meta antitrust trial drama: Kara gets cited, Meta attacks the media

    They discuss the FTC v. Meta trial moment where Kara’s quote appears in court materials and Meta’s lawyer tries to undermine the FTC’s expert by pointing to media criticism. Scott and Kara argue the strategy is petty and backfires, and they debate whether the FTC’s case is strong enough to win.

    • Kara’s quote used in the FTC’s 2019-era pitch deck shown in court
    • Meta’s legal team frames critics as biased; Scott calls it sloppy and inaccurate
    • Debate: strength of the FTC case vs. changes in competitive landscape since the acquisitions
    • “Hot emails” and testimony (e.g., Systrom) as potentially decisive evidence
    • Broader point: antitrust enforcement doesn’t necessarily hurt shareholders—spin-offs could unlock value
  3. 15:02 – 16:48

    Where are Zuckerberg and Sandberg now? Power, PR shields, and succession

    Kara probes Scott on his last contacts with Mark Zuckerberg and Sheryl Sandberg, then they speculate about Sandberg’s next act. They also touch on the idea of corporate ‘heat shields’—execs who absorb reputational damage—and mention internal political figures like Joel Kaplan.

    • Scott hasn’t spoken to Zuckerberg in a long time; minimal contact with Sandberg
    • Speculation about Sandberg’s ambitions vs. a quieter philanthropic/lifestyle path
    • Discussion of who serves as Meta’s current ‘heat shield’ (Joel Kaplan mentioned)
    • Kara’s critique of corporate spin and reputational laundering
    • Theme: leadership accountability vs. scapegoating communications and policy figures
  4. 16:48 – 20:42

    Apple price hikes, tariffs, and the supply-chain distraction from innovation

    They break down reports that Apple may raise iPhone prices while avoiding tariff blame, against the backdrop of ongoing US-China trade tension. The conversation widens into how tariff chaos forces executives to focus on supply chain shifts instead of product innovation.

    • Apple considering iPhone price increases attributed to features/design—not tariffs
    • 20% Trump-era China tariffs still affect smartphones; Apple shifts some production to India
    • Kara: Trump is ‘making India great again’ by pushing manufacturing away from China
    • Critique that Apple’s recent innovation cadence feels stale (AI, headset, product refresh)
    • Opportunity cost: leadership time spent on geopolitics and logistics vs. next-generation products
  5. 20:42 – 26:13

    What should Apple build next? iCar dreams, healthcare bets, and CEO succession planning

    Scott and Kara debate Apple’s long-term product future: cars, healthcare, and whether Apple still has the creative ‘spark’ to launch new category-defining products. Kara argues boards must actively manage succession and ensure leadership depth to keep innovation alive.

    • Kara’s counterfactual: Apple acquiring BYD and launching an Apple-branded car
    • Scott: operations excellence can’t fully replace visionary product risk-taking
    • Kara: Tim Cook added historic shareholder value by scaling iPhone/services strategy
    • Kara pushes Apple to go deeper into healthcare as a massive disruptable sector
    • Board governance and succession planning: avoiding insecure leaders who ‘shoot’ internal talent
  6. 26:13 – 31:15

    Brand whiplash: Max becomes HBO Max again—and why HBO’s brand is priceless

    They react to Warner Bros. Discovery reversing course and rebranding Max back to HBO Max. Kara frames HBO as an elite, high-trust brand that creates ‘unearned trial’ and argues leadership burned billions by discarding it.

    • Fourth naming era in a decade: HBO Now/Go/Max/HBO Max confusion
    • Kara’s brand thesis: HBO’s name drives trust, trial, and margin
    • HBO’s “punch above weight” content machine vs. Netflix’s massive spend
    • Criticism of Zaslav/board governance and shareholder value destruction
    • They swap favorite HBO titles as proof of HBO’s cultural dominance
  7. 31:15 – 36:37

    WBD’s next move: ‘good bank/bad bank’ and a likely media split

    From the naming fiasco, they move into strategy: how WBD could restructure by separating premium studio/IP assets from declining cable/news assets. Kara predicts a split driven by valuation multiples and consolidation dynamics, constrained by debt structure.

    • Likely outcome: HBO/Warner Bros studio/IP as ‘good bank’ trading at higher multiple
    • Cable and declining linear assets as ‘bad bank’ headed for consolidation/roll-ups
    • Potential combinations with other legacy players (e.g., Comcast mentioned)
    • Debt terms and acceleration clauses may delay spinoff timing
    • Brand architecture: HBO as premium identity with a sub-brand for the broader catalog
  8. 36:37 – 38:01

    Fox enters the streaming wars: FOX One and the niche-audience play

    They briefly discuss Foxcorp’s plan to launch a Fox-branded streaming service ahead of the NFL season. Kara argues there’s a paying audience for it and jokes about how Fox could lean hard into its identity—while Scott notes legal/liability constraints.

    • Fox launching FOX One as a new streamer timed to NFL season
    • Kara: clear market demand for Fox’s audience segment
    • Comedic riff on conspiracy programming vs. reputational/legal risk
    • Scott: Fox is late but could still monetize loyal viewers
    • Streaming fragmentation continues as every media company launches a service
  9. 38:01 – 39:45

    Trump’s Middle East ‘Deal-a-Palooza’: AI chips as bargaining chips

    After the break, they outline Trump’s Middle East trip and the headline-grabbing business commitments and deals. They focus on AI as leverage—chip sales, data centers, and sovereign wealth money—alongside skepticism about the true size of the announced numbers.

    • Trump tour with major CEOs present (Amazon, OpenAI, NVIDIA, Uber, Elon Musk)
    • Big claims: Saudi ‘$600B’ investment commitment (likely overstated)
    • Qatar Airways purchase of Boeing jets; NVIDIA/AMD/Amazon deals tied to Gulf AI pushes
    • AI chips and US tech used as diplomatic/economic leverage
    • Risk debate: exporting frontier AI capacity could erode US strategic advantage
  10. 39:45 – 43:03

    Corruption and conflicts: Trump family businesses entwined with foreign policy

    Kara argues the trip crosses a line by mixing US statecraft with private enrichment: Trump Tower announcements, golf developments, and a lavish Qatari plane. She ties the conflicts to real geopolitical stakes—hostage negotiations, regional security, and US credibility.

    • Concern about blending diplomacy with family business ventures (towers, resorts, golf)
    • Qatar’s reported $400M plane gift as a glaring conflict-of-interest symbol
    • Hostage leverage point: pressure on Qatar becomes compromised by business ties
    • UAE chip access concerns: potential leakage to China due to trade relationships
    • World Financial Liberty stablecoin investment cited as another alignment of private and state interests
  11. 43:03 – 47:52

    Diplomacy vs. optics: Syria sanctions, Iran talks, and Trump’s personal flattery style

    They shift from business deals to foreign-policy implications: lifting Syria sanctions, meeting Syria’s new president, and openness to negotiating with Iran. Scott notes Trump’s unusual rhetoric—personal compliments and dealmaking instincts—while Kara differentiates opportunities in Syria from the Iran challenge.

    • Sanctions lifted on Syria; first US-Syria leader meeting in 25 years
    • Strategic opportunity: wedge Syria away from Russia and stabilize a post-Assad moment
    • Trump signals openness to talks with Iran; ‘no permanent enemies’ framing
    • Scott critiques Trump’s leader-flattery and pomp/pageantry obsession
    • Kara: Iran’s people vs. oppressive leadership; values, women’s rights, and smart diplomacy needed
  12. 47:52 – 51:38

    RFK Jr.’s ‘bizarre week’: denying medical influence while spreading misinformation

    They unpack RFK Jr.’s testimony claiming people shouldn’t take medical advice from him, contrasting it with his long record of vaccine skepticism and health misinformation. Kara argues the bigger story is policy harm—staff cuts and resource shifts that will increase disease and disability.

    • RFK Jr. clip: ‘I don’t think people should be taking medical advice from me’
    • Kara lists RFK’s history: anti-vaccine advocacy, Fauci book, treatment alternatives, EMF claims
    • Argument that he’s backtracking because his statements are now scrutinized
    • Discussion of how leadership tone and misinformation affect public health outcomes
    • Broader critique: medium/long-term damage from gutting science and public health capacity
  13. 51:38 – 54:13

    Public health isn’t branding: ‘Make America Healthy Again’ and the policy levers that matter

    They argue the ‘MAHA’ framing is largely performative unless paired with structural changes that enable health—access to good food, time to exercise, and reduced inequality. Kara points to progressive taxation and addressing food deserts as more serious interventions than RFK-style spectacle.

    • Scott: RFK’s polluted-stream swim symbolizes reckless disregard for safety
    • Kara: real health gains require economic policy—income, access, and prevention
    • Food deserts and affordability of healthy food as core drivers of outcomes
    • Acknowledgement: US food supply issues (e.g., sugar) are real but misused as distraction
    • Comparison to other incompetence risks across agencies and the compounding cost of mismanagement
  14. 54:13 – 1:01:42

    Predictions and wrap: Qatar’s plane likely won’t fly, plus X and sanctions concerns

    In predictions, Kara forecasts the Qatari plane won’t become Air Force One due to security and counterintelligence realities. They close with a quick note about a report alleging X continues accepting payments that may violate sanctions, then end with listener prompts and show credits.

    • Kara predicts the Qatari plane won’t be usable as Air Force One due to security vetting
    • Analogy: the US embassy in Moscow built by Russians and riddled with listening devices
    • Scott frames the plane as a huge, symbolic ‘flying grift’
    • NYT-cited report: X allegedly still accepting payments from sanctioned/terror-linked groups
    • Listener Q&A call-to-action, plug for Scott’s interview with Timothy Snyder, and sign-off/credits

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