All-In PodcastE146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Episode Details
EPISODE INFO
- Released
- September 22, 2023
- Duration
- 1h 42m
- Channel
- All-In Podcast
- Watch on YouTube
- ▶ Open ↗
EPISODE DESCRIPTION
(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:05) GOP Primary update: polling, acceptable candidates, tentpole issues (11:56) All-In Summit 2023 recap (24:12) IPOs and M&A heat up: Arm, Instacart, and Klaviyo go public, Cisco acquires Splunk for $28B, but did the "great reopening" fall short? (42:34) Did the Fed break the VC model? How LPs will evaluate fund managers going forward (50:45) Breaking down Instacart and Klaviyo's businesses (1:01:12) Revaluing Airtable and the path forward for ZIRP-era unicorns (1:13:14) Fed pauses rate hikes, but says rates will stay higher for longer, plus: what breaks next in the economy? (1:32:51) Science Corner: new "inverse-vaccine" treatment is a potential game changer for autoimmune diseases Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/new-hampshire https://youtu.be/yjj1QjZlQMM https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-21/cisco-to-buy-splunk-for-157-a-share-in-28-billion-deal https://twitter.com/pitdesi/status/1704874017357025499 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ARM:NASDAQ?comparison=NASDAQ%3ACART%2CNYSE%3AKVYO&window=5D https://twitter.com/aswathdamodaran/status/1704246090198036914 https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-81823-q2-earnings https://www.lendingtree.com/content/uploads/2023/08/ccs-chart-3-3.jpg https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US https://www.ey.com/en_gl/ipo/trends https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/statistics https://www.google.com/finance/quote/COIN:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/EXPE:NASDAQ https://www.axios.com/2023/09/19/instacarts-ipo-venture-capital https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1579091/000119312523221345/d55348ds1.htm https://influencermarketinghub.com/amazon-ad-revenue https://twitter.com/jasonlk/status/1704212644402540573 https://www.saastr.com/5-interesting-learnings-from-klaviyo-at-650000000-in-arr https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1078755080478715904 https://i.insider.com/4dd4d1cf4bd7c8c90f000000 https://twitter.com/asanwal/status/1703492397739516068 https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/20/fed-rate-decision-september-2023-.html https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil https://kalshi.com/markets/fed/fed-interest-rates#fed-23nov https://www.popularmechanics.com/cars/hybrid-electric/a42558850/tesla-price-cuts-worth-buying https://hellometer.io https://www.nature.com/articles/s41551-023-01086-2 #allin #tech #news
SPEAKERS
Jason Calacanis
hostChamath Palihapitiya
hostDavid Friedberg
hostNarrator
otherGuest
guest
EPISODE SUMMARY
In this episode of All-In Podcast, featuring Jason Calacanis and Chamath Palihapitiya, E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more explores higher Rates, Broken IPOs, and Unicorn Resets Reshape Venture Capital Future The episode blends post-conference debriefs from the All-In Summit with a deep dive into the changing macro environment for tech, IPOs, and venture capital. The hosts argue that recent IPOs like Instacart, Klaviyo, and Arm were poorly structured, signaling that the long-awaited “reopening” of the IPO window is weaker than hoped. They contend that higher-for-longer interest rates, fiscal imbalances, and consumer pressure are forcing a regime shift from capital abundance to capital scarcity, breaking many late-stage VC assumptions and valuations. The discussion also touches on the coming reckoning for overfunded unicorns, platform risk in SaaS, union negotiations, and a promising new scientific approach to autoimmune disease.
RELATED EPISODES
