Holden Karnofsky — History's most important century

ℹ️ EPISODE INFO

Released

January 3, 2023

Duration

1h 56m

Channel

Dwarkesh Podcast

Watch on YouTube

▶ Open ↗

📝 EPISODE DESCRIPTION

Holden Karnofsky is the co-CEO of Open Philanthropy and co-founder of GiveWell. He is also the author of one of the most interesting blogs on the internet, Cold Takes. We discuss:

• Are we living in the most important century?
• Does he regret OpenPhil’s 30 million dollar grant to OpenAI in 2016?
• How does he think about AI, progress, digital people, & ethics?

Highly recommend! 𝐄𝐏𝐈𝐒𝐎𝐃𝐄 𝐋𝐈𝐍𝐊𝐒

• Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/holden-karnofsky
• Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3Qi11SY
• Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3CmZXav

𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐌𝐏𝐒 00:00:00 - Intro 00:00:58 - The Most Important Century 00:06:44 - The Weirdness of Our Time 00:21:20 - The Industrial Revolution 00:35:40 - AI Success Scenario 00:52:36 - Competition, Innovation , & AGI Bottlenecks 01:00:14 - Lock-in & Weak Points 01:06:04 - Predicting the Future 01:20:40 - Choosing Which Problem To Solve 01:26:56 - $30M OpenAI Investment 01:30:22 - Future Proof Ethics 01:37:28 - Integrity vs Utilitarianism 01:40:46 - Bayesian Mindset & Governance 01:46:56 - Career Advice

🎤 SPEAKERS

• Holden Karnofsky

  guest

• Dwarkesh Patel

  host

🧾 EPISODE SUMMARY

In this episode of Dwarkesh Podcast, featuring Holden Karnofsky and Dwarkesh Patel, Holden Karnofsky — History's most important century explores holden Karnofsky explains why AI could define humanity’s entire future Holden Karnofsky outlines his “Most Important Century” thesis: if we develop AI that can do essentially all the cognitive work humans do to advance science and technology, this century could determine the long‑run trajectory of civilization.

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